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| 000 | 13708naa a2203061 4500 | |
| 001 | oai:DiVA.org:uu-224420 | |
| 003 | SwePub | |
| 008 | 140512s2014 | |||||||||||000 ||eng| | |
| 009 | oai:prod.swepub.kib.ki.se:129737233 | |
| 024 | 7 | a https://urn.kb.se/resolve?urn=urn:nbn:se:uu:diva-2244202 URI |
| 024 | 7 | a https://doi.org/10.1016/S0140-6736(14)60497-92 DOI |
| 024 | 7 | a http://kipublications.ki.se/Default.aspx?queryparsed=id:1297372332 URI |
| 040 | a (SwePub)uud (SwePub)ki | |
| 041 | a engb eng | |
| 042 | 9 SwePub | |
| 072 | 7 | a ref2 swepub-contenttype |
| 072 | 7 | a art2 swepub-publicationtype |
| 100 | 1 | a Wang, Haidong4 aut |
| 245 | 1 0 | a Global, regional, and national levels of neonatal, infant, and under-5 mortality during 1990-2013 :b a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2013 |
| 264 | 1 | c 2014 |
| 338 | a print2 rdacarrier | |
| 500 | a Correction in: Lancet, vol. 384 article nr. 9947, doi: 10.1016/S0140-6736(14)61633-0 | |
| 520 | a BACKGROUND: Remarkable financial and political efforts have been focused on the reduction of child mortality during the past few decades. Timely measurements of levels and trends in under-5 mortality are important to assess progress towards the Millennium Development Goal 4 (MDG 4) target of reduction of child mortality by two thirds from 1990 to 2015, and to identify models of success.METHODS: We generated updated estimates of child mortality in early neonatal (age 0-6 days), late neonatal (7-28 days), postneonatal (29-364 days), childhood (1-4 years), and under-5 (0-4 years) age groups for 188 countries from 1970 to 2013, with more than 29 000 survey, census, vital registration, and sample registration datapoints. We used Gaussian process regression with adjustments for bias and non-sampling error to synthesise the data for under-5 mortality for each country, and a separate model to estimate mortality for more detailed age groups. We used explanatory mixed effects regression models to assess the association between under-5 mortality and income per person, maternal education, HIV child death rates, secular shifts, and other factors. To quantify the contribution of these different factors and birth numbers to the change in numbers of deaths in under-5 age groups from 1990 to 2013, we used Shapley decomposition. We used estimated rates of change between 2000 and 2013 to construct under-5 mortality rate scenarios out to 2030.FINDINGS: We estimated that 6·3 million (95% UI 6·0-6·6) children under-5 died in 2013, a 64% reduction from 17·6 million (17·1-18·1) in 1970. In 2013, child mortality rates ranged from 152·5 per 1000 livebirths (130·6-177·4) in Guinea-Bissau to 2·3 (1·8-2·9) per 1000 in Singapore. The annualised rates of change from 1990 to 2013 ranged from -6·8% to 0·1%. 99 of 188 countries, including 43 of 48 countries in sub-Saharan Africa, had faster decreases in child mortality during 2000-13 than during 1990-2000. In 2013, neonatal deaths accounted for 41·6% of under-5 deaths compared with 37·4% in 1990. Compared with 1990, in 2013, rising numbers of births, especially in sub-Saharan Africa, led to 1·4 million more child deaths, and rising income per person and maternal education led to 0·9 million and 2·2 million fewer deaths, respectively. Changes in secular trends led to 4·2 million fewer deaths. Unexplained factors accounted for only -1% of the change in child deaths. In 30 developing countries, decreases since 2000 have been faster than predicted attributable to income, education, and secular shift alone.INTERPRETATION: Only 27 developing countries are expected to achieve MDG 4. Decreases since 2000 in under-5 mortality rates are accelerating in many developing countries, especially in sub-Saharan Africa. The Millennium Declaration and increased development assistance for health might have been a factor in faster decreases in some developing countries. Without further accelerated progress, many countries in west and central Africa will still have high levels of under-5 mortality in 2030. | |
| 650 | 7 | a MEDICIN OCH HÄLSOVETENSKAPx Hälsovetenskapx Folkhälsovetenskap, global hälsa, socialmedicin och epidemiologi0 (SwePub)303022 hsv//swe |
| 650 | 7 | a MEDICAL AND HEALTH SCIENCESx Health Sciencesx Public Health, Global Health, Social Medicine and Epidemiology0 (SwePub)303022 hsv//eng |
| 700 | 1 | a Liddell, Chelsea A4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Coates, Matthew M4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Mooney, Meghan D4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Levitz, Carly E4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Schumacher, Austin E4 aut |
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| 700 | 1 | a Phillips, Bryan4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Lofgren, Katherine T4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Sandar, Logan4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Dorrington, Rob E4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Rakovac, Ivo4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Jacobs, Troy A4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Liang, Xiaofeng4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Zhou, Maigeng4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Zhu, Jun4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Yang, Gonghuan4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Wang, Yanping4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Liu, Shiwei4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Li, Yichong4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Ozgoren, Ayse Abbasoglu4 aut |
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| 700 | 1 | a Adelekan, Ademola4 aut |
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| 700 | 1 | a Alvarez, Elena4 aut |
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| 700 | 1 | a Ammar, Walid4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Anwari, Palwasha4 aut |
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| 700 | 1 | a Asad, Majed Masoud4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Assadi, Reza4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Banerjee, Amitava4 aut |
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| 700 | 1 | a Bedi, Neeraj4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Bekele, Tolesa4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Bell, Michelle L4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Bhutta, Zulfiqar4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Blore, Jed4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Basara, Berrak Bora4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Boufous, Soufiane4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Breitborde, Nicholas4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Bruce, Nigel G4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Bui, Linh Ngoc4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Carapetis, Jonathan R4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Cárdenas, Rosario4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Carpenter, David O4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Caso, Valeria4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Castro, Ruben Estanislao4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Catalá-Lopéz, Ferrán4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Cavlin, Alanur4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Che, Xuan4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Chiang, Peggy Pei-Chia4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Chowdhury, Rajiv4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Christophi, Costas A4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Chuang, Ting-Wu4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Cirillo, Massimo4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a da Costa Leite, Iuri4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Courville, Karen J4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Dandona, Lalit4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Dandona, Rakhi4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Davis, Adrian4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Dayama, Anand4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Deribe, Kebede4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Dharmaratne, Samath D4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Dherani, Mukesh K4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Dilmen, Uğur4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Ding, Eric L4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Edmond, Karen M4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Ermakov, Sergei Petrovich4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Farzadfar, Farshad4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Fereshtehnejad, Seyed-Mohammadu Karolinska Institutet4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Fijabi, Daniel Obadare4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Foigt, Nataliya4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Forouzanfar, Mohammad H4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Garcia, Ana C4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Geleijnse, Johanna M4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Gessner, Bradford D4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Goginashvili, Ketevan4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Gona, Philimon4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Goto, Atsushi4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Gouda, Hebe N4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Green, Mark A4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Greenwell, Karen Fern4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Gugnani, Harish Chander4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Gupta, Rahul4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Hamadeh, Randah Ribhi4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Hammami, Mouhanad4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Harb, Hilda L4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Hay, Simon4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Hedayati, Mohammad T4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Hosgood, H Dean4 aut |
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| 700 | 1 | a Idrisov, Bulat T4 aut |
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| 700 | 1 | a Jonas, Jost B4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Juel, Knud4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Kabagambe, Edmond Kato4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Kazi, Dhruv S4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Kengne, Andre Pascal4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Kereselidze, Maia4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Khader, Yousef Saleh4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Khalifa, Shams Eldin Ali Hassan4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Khang, Young-Ho4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Kim, Daniel4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Kinfu, Yohannes4 aut |
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| 700 | 1 | a Kokubo, Yoshihiro4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Kosen, Soewarta4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Defo, Barthelemy Kuate4 aut |
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| 700 | 1 | a Lan, Qing4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Larsson, Andersu Uppsala universitet,Biokemisk struktur och funktion4 aut0 (Swepub:uu)andlarss |
| 700 | 1 | a Lee, Jong-Tae4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Leinsalu, Mall4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Lim, Stephen S4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Lipshultz, Steven E4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Logroscino, Giancarlo4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Lotufo, Paulo A4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Lunevicius, Raimundas4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Lyons, Ronan Anthony4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Ma, Stefan4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Mahdi, Abbas Ali4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Marzan, Melvin Barrientos4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Mashal, Mohammad Taufiq4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Mazorodze, Tasara T4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a McGrath, John J4 aut |
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| 700 | 1 | a Mokdad, Ali H4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Monasta, Lorenzo4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Montico, Marcella4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Moore, Ami R4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Moschandreas, Joanna4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Msemburi, William T4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Mueller, Ulrich O4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Muszynska, Magdalena M4 aut |
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| 700 | 1 | a Ohkubo, Takayoshi4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Omer, Saad B4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Caicedo, Angel J Paternina4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Wyk, Victoria Pillay-van4 aut |
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| 700 | 1 | a Soshnikov, Sergey S4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Sposato, Luciano A4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Stathopoulou, Vasiliki Kalliopi4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Stroumpoulis, Konstantinos4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Tabb, Karen M4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Talongwa, Roberto Tchio4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Teixeira, Carolina Maria4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Terkawi, Abdullah Sulieman4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Thomson, Alan J4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Thorne-Lyman, Andrew L4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Toyoshima, Hideaki4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Dimbuene, Zacharie Tsala4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Uwaliraye, Parfait4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Uzun, Selen Begüm4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Vasankari, Tommi J4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Vasconcelos, Ana Maria Nogales4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Vlassov, Vasiliy Victorovich4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Vollset, Stein Emil4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Vos, Theo4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Waller, Stephen4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Wan, Xia4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Weichenthal, Scott4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Weiderpass, Elisabeteu Karolinska Institutet4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Weintraub, Robert G4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Westerman, Ronny4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Wilkinson, James D4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Williams, Hywel C4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Yang, Yang C4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Yentur, Gokalp Kadri4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Yip, Paul4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Yonemoto, Naohiro4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Younis, Mustafa4 aut |
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| 700 | 1 | a El Sayed Zaki, Maysaa4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Zhu, Shankuan4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Lopez, Alan D4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Murray, Christopher J L4 aut |
| 710 | 2 | a Karolinska Institutetb Biokemisk struktur och funktion4 org |
| 773 | 0 | t The Lancetg 384:9947, s. 957-979q 384:9947<957-979x 0140-6736x 1474-547X |
| 856 | 4 8 | u https://urn.kb.se/resolve?urn=urn:nbn:se:uu:diva-224420 |
| 856 | 4 8 | u https://doi.org/10.1016/S0140-6736(14)60497-9 |
| 856 | 4 8 | u http://kipublications.ki.se/Default.aspx?queryparsed=id:129737233 |
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