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Impacts of Variatio...
Impacts of Variations in Caspian Sea Surface Area on Catchment-Scale and Large-Scale Climate
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- Koriche, Sifan A. (author)
- Univ Reading, Dept Meteorol, Reading, Berks, England.;Jimma Univ, Sch Civil & Environm Engn, JiT, Jimma, Oromiyaa, Ethiopia.;Baylor Univ, Dept Geosci, Waco, TX 76798 USA.;Univ Texas Austin, Jackson Sch Geosci, Austin, TX 78712 USA.
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- Nandini-Weiss, Sri D. (author)
- Univ Bremen, MARUM Ctr Marine Environm Sci, Bremen, Germany.;Univ Hamburg, Inst Oceanog, Ctr Earth Syst Res & Sustainabil CEN, Hamburg, Sweden.
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- Prange, Matthias (author)
- Univ Bremen, MARUM Ctr Marine Environm Sci, Bremen, Germany.
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- Singarayer, Joy S. (author)
- Univ Reading, Dept Meteorol, Reading, Berks, England.
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- Arpe, Klaus (author)
- Max Planck Inst Meteorol, Hamburg, Germany.
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- Cloke, Hannah L. (author)
- Uppsala universitet,Luft-, vatten- och landskapslära,Univ Reading, Dept Meteorol, Reading, Berks, England.;Univ Reading, Dept Geog & Environm Sci, Reading, Berks, England.;CNDS, Ctr Nat Hazards & Disaster Sci, Uppsala, Sweden.
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- Schulz, Michael (author)
- Univ Bremen, MARUM Ctr Marine Environm Sci, Bremen, Germany.
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- Bakker, Pepijn (author)
- Vrije Univ Amsterdam, Dept Earth Sci, Amsterdam, Netherlands.
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- Leroy, Suzanne A. G. (author)
- Aix Marseille Univ, CNRS, Aix En Provence, France.;Univ Liverpool, Sch Environm Sci, Liverpool, Merseyside, England.
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- Coe, Michael (author)
- Woodwell Climate Res Ctr, Falmouth, MA USA.
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Univ Reading, Dept Meteorol, Reading, Berks, England;Jimma Univ, Sch Civil & Environm Engn, JiT, Jimma, Oromiyaa, Ethiopia.;Baylor Univ, Dept Geosci, Waco, TX 76798 USA.;Univ Texas Austin, Jackson Sch Geosci, Austin, TX 78712 USA. Univ Bremen, MARUM Ctr Marine Environm Sci, Bremen, Germany.;Univ Hamburg, Inst Oceanog, Ctr Earth Syst Res & Sustainabil CEN, Hamburg, Sweden. (creator_code:org_t)
- American Geophysical Union (AGU), 2021
- 2021
- English.
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In: Journal of Geophysical Research - Atmospheres. - : American Geophysical Union (AGU). - 2169-897X .- 2169-8996. ; 126:18
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Abstract
Subject headings
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- The Caspian Sea (CS) is the largest inland lake in the world. Large variations in sea level and surface area occurred in the past and are projected for the future. The potential impacts on regional and large-scale hydroclimate are not well understood. Here, we examine the impact of CS area on climate within its catchment and across the northern hemisphere, for the first time with a fully coupled climate model. The Community Earth System Model (CESM1.2.2) is used to simulate the climate of four scenarios: (a) larger than present CS area, (b) current area, (c) smaller than present area, and (d) no-CS scenario. The results reveal large changes in the regional atmospheric water budget. Evaporation (e) over the sea increases with increasing area, while precipitation (P) increases over the south-west CS with increasing area. P-E over the CS catchment decreases as CS surface area increases, indicating a dominant negative lake-evaporation feedback. A larger CS reduces summer surface air temperatures and increases winter temperatures. The impacts extend eastwards, where summer precipitation is enhanced over central Asia and the north-western Pacific experiences warming with reduced winter sea ice. Our results also indicate weakening of the 500-hPa troughs over the northern Pacific with larger CS area. We find a thermal response triggers a southward shift of the upper troposphere jet stream during summer. Our findings establish that changing CS area results in climate impacts of such scope that CS area variations should be incorporated into climate model simulations, including palaeo and future scenarios.
Subject headings
- NATURVETENSKAP -- Geovetenskap och miljövetenskap -- Klimatforskning (hsv//swe)
- NATURAL SCIENCES -- Earth and Related Environmental Sciences -- Climate Research (hsv//eng)
- NATURVETENSKAP -- Geovetenskap och miljövetenskap -- Meteorologi och atmosfärforskning (hsv//swe)
- NATURAL SCIENCES -- Earth and Related Environmental Sciences -- Meteorology and Atmospheric Sciences (hsv//eng)
Keyword
- Caspian Sea
- CESM1
- 2
- 2 model
- evaporation
- precipitation
- subtropical jet
Publication and Content Type
- ref (subject category)
- art (subject category)
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- By the author/editor
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Koriche, Sifan A ...
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Nandini-Weiss, S ...
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Prange, Matthias
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Singarayer, Joy ...
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Arpe, Klaus
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Cloke, Hannah L.
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Schulz, Michael
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Bakker, Pepijn
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Leroy, Suzanne A ...
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Coe, Michael
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- About the subject
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- NATURAL SCIENCES
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NATURAL SCIENCES
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and Earth and Relate ...
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and Climate Research
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- NATURAL SCIENCES
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NATURAL SCIENCES
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and Earth and Relate ...
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and Meteorology and ...
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Journal of Geoph ...
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Uppsala University