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A regression discon...
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Bonander, CarlGothenburg University,Göteborgs universitet,University of Gothenburg,Institutionen för medicin, avdelningen för samhällsmedicin och folkhälsa,Institute of Medicine, School of Public Health and Community Medicine
(author)
A regression discontinuity analysis of the social distancing recommendations for older adults in Sweden during COVID-19.
- Article/chapterEnglish2022
Publisher, publication year, extent ...
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2022-08-13
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Oxford University Press,2022
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electronicrdacarrier
Numbers
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LIBRIS-ID:oai:DiVA.org:uu-483707
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https://urn.kb.se/resolve?urn=urn:nbn:se:uu:diva-483707URI
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https://doi.org/10.1093/eurpub/ckac101DOI
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https://urn.kb.se/resolve?urn=urn:nbn:se:kau:diva-91754URI
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https://lup.lub.lu.se/record/161d38a4-ee00-4950-9262-6dc3c0942894URI
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https://gup.ub.gu.se/publication/318777URI
Supplementary language notes
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Language:English
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Summary in:English
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Subject category:ref swepub-contenttype
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Subject category:art swepub-publicationtype
Notes
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BACKGROUND: This paper investigates the impact of a non-mandatory and age-specific social distancing recommendation on isolation behaviors and disease outcomes in Sweden during the first wave of the COVID-19 pandemic (March to July, 2020). The policy stated that people aged 70 years or older should avoid crowded places and contact with people outside the household.METHODS: We used a regression discontinuity design-in combination with self-reported isolation data from COVID Symptom Study Sweden (n = 96,053; age range: 39-79 years) and national register data (age range: 39-100+ years) on severe COVID-19 disease (hospitalization or death, n = 21,804) and confirmed cases (n = 48,984)-to estimate the effects of the policy.RESULTS: Our primary analyses showed a sharp drop in the weekly number of visits to crowded places (-13%) and severe COVID-19 cases (-16%) at the 70-year-threshold. These results imply that the age-specific recommendations prevented approximately 1,800 to 2,700 severe COVID-19 cases, depending on model specification.CONCLUSION: It seems that the non-mandatory, age-specific recommendations helped control COVID-19 disease during the first wave of the pandemic in Sweden, as opposed to not implementing a social distancing policy aimed at older adults. Our study provides empirical data on how populations may react to non-mandatory, age-specific social distancing policies in the face of a novel virus.SUPPLEMENTARY MATERIAL: Online appendix with figures, tables, extra methods and results.
Subject headings and genre
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Stranges, DeboraLund University, Sweden
(author)
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Gustavsson, Johanna,1972-Karlstad University,Karlstads universitet,Centrum för forskning om samhällsrisker, CSR (från 2020)(Swepub:kau)johagust
(author)
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Almgren, MatildaSkåne University Hospital, Sweden(Swepub:lu)med-ma21
(author)
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Inghammar, MalinLund University,Lunds universitet,Infektionsmedicin,Sektion III,Institutionen för kliniska vetenskaper, Lund,Medicinska fakulteten,Infection Medicine (BMC),Section III,Department of Clinical Sciences, Lund,Faculty of Medicine,Skåne University Hospital(Swepub:lu)med-mig
(author)
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Moghaddassi, MahnazLund University,Lunds universitet,Socialmedicin och global hälsa,Forskargrupper vid Lunds universitet,Social Medicine and Global Health,Lund University Research Groups(Swepub:lu)smi-mmo
(author)
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Nilsson, AntonLund University,Lunds universitet,EPI@LUND,Forskargrupper vid Lunds universitet,Lund University Research Groups(Swepub:lu)nek-anl
(author)
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Pujol, Joan CapdevilaZOE Ltd, UK,ZOE Limited
(author)
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Steves, ClaireKing’s College London, UK
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Franks, Paul WLund University,Lunds universitet,Genetisk och molekylär epidemiologi,Forskargrupper vid Lunds universitet,Genetic and Molecular Epidemiology,Lund University Research Groups,Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health(Swepub:lu)med-plf
(author)
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Gomez, Maria FLund University,Lunds universitet,Diabetiska komplikationer,Forskargrupper vid Lunds universitet,Diabetic Complications,Lund University Research Groups(Swepub:lu)mphy-mgo
(author)
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Fall, Tove,1979-Uppsala universitet,Science for Life Laboratory, SciLifeLab,Molekylär epidemiologi,Uppsala University, Sweden(Swepub:lu)med-tfa
(author)
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Björk, JonasLund University,Lunds universitet,Kirurgi och folkhälsa,Forskargrupper vid Lunds universitet,EPI@LUND,Surgery and public health,Lund University Research Groups,Skåne University Hospital(Swepub:lu)ymed-jbj
(author)
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University of GothenburgInstitutionen för medicin, avdelningen för samhällsmedicin och folkhälsa
(creator_code:org_t)
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COVID Symptom Study Sweden
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In:European Journal of Public Health: Oxford University Press32:5, s. 799-8061101-12621464-360X
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Bonander, Carl
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Stranges, Debora
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Gustavsson, Joha ...
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Almgren, Matilda
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Inghammar, Malin
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Moghaddassi, Mah ...
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Nilsson, Anton
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Pujol, Joan Capd ...
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Steves, Claire
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Franks, Paul W
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Gomez, Maria F
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Fall, Tove, 1979 ...
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Björk, Jonas
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Uppsala University
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Karlstad University
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