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TRANSITION PROBABIL...
TRANSITION PROBABILITIES FOR GENERALIZED SIR EPIDEMIC MODEL
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- El Maroufy, H. (author)
- Universite Sultan Moulay Slimane de Beni-Mellal
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- Omari, L. (author)
- Universite Sidi Mohamed Ben Abdellah
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- Taib, Ziad, 1953 (author)
- Gothenburg University,Göteborgs universitet,Institutionen för matematiska vetenskaper, matematisk statistik,Department of Mathematical Sciences, Mathematical Statistics,University of Gothenburg,Chalmers tekniska högskola,Chalmers University of Technology
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(creator_code:org_t)
- Informa UK Limited, 2012
- 2012
- English.
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In: Stochastic Models. - : Informa UK Limited. - 1532-6349 .- 1532-4214. ; 28:1, s. 15-28
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Abstract
Subject headings
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- Gani and Purdue outlined a matrix-geometric method for determining the total size distribution of an epidemic in a recursive manner. In this article, we explore how this method can be used to study an SIR epidemic model with a generalized mechanism of infection. We are able to obtain an explicit formula for the Laplace transform of the transition probabilities. Using this we derive various other quantities explicitly. Examples of such quantities are the transition probabilities and the expectation of the duration of the epidemic.
Subject headings
- NATURVETENSKAP -- Matematik -- Sannolikhetsteori och statistik (hsv//swe)
- NATURAL SCIENCES -- Mathematics -- Probability Theory and Statistics (hsv//eng)
Keyword
- Duration of an epidemic
- Generalized infection mechanism
- Matrix-geometric
- Transition probabilities
- SIR model
- removal rate-functions
- stochastic epidemic
- infection
- spread
- infection
Publication and Content Type
- ref (subject category)
- art (subject category)
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