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Priors and Posterio...
Priors and Posteriors in Bayesian Timing of Divergence Analyses: The Age of Butterflies Revisited
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- Chazot, Nicolas (author)
- University of Gothenburg,Lund University,Lunds universitet,Gothenburg University,Göteborgs universitet,Institutionen för biologi och miljövetenskap,Department of Biological and Environmental Sciences,Biodiversitet,Biologiska institutionen,Naturvetenskapliga fakulteten,BECC: Biodiversity and Ecosystem services in a Changing Climate,Centrum för miljö- och klimatvetenskap (CEC),Biodiversity,Department of Biology,Faculty of Science,Centre for Environmental and Climate Science (CEC)
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- Wahlberg, Niklas (author)
- Lund University,Lunds universitet,Biodiversitet,Biologiska institutionen,Naturvetenskapliga fakulteten,BECC: Biodiversity and Ecosystem services in a Changing Climate,Centrum för miljö- och klimatvetenskap (CEC),Biodiversity,Department of Biology,Faculty of Science,Centre for Environmental and Climate Science (CEC)
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- Freitas, A. V. L. (author)
- University of Campinas
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- Mitter, C. (author)
- University of Maryland
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- Labandeira, C. (author)
- Smithsonian Institution,Capital Normal University,University of Maryland
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- Sohn, J. C. (author)
- Gongju National University of Education
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- Sahoo, R. K. (author)
- Indian Institute of Science Education and Research, Thiruvananthapuram
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- Seraphim, N. (author)
- Federal Institute of Education, Science and Technology of São Paulo
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- de Jong, R. (author)
- Naturalis Biodiversity Center
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- Heikkila, M. (author)
- University of Helsinki,Finnish Museum of Natural History
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(creator_code:org_t)
- 2019-02-25
- 2019
- English.
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In: Systematic Biology. - : Oxford University Press (OUP). - 1063-5157 .- 1076-836X. ; 68:5, s. 797-813
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Abstract
Subject headings
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- The need for robust estimates of times of divergence is essential for downstream analyses, yet assessing this robustness is still rare. We generated a time-calibrated genus-level phylogeny of butterflies (Papilionoidea), including 994 taxa, up to 10 gene fragments and an unprecedented set of 12 fossils and 10 host-plant node calibration points. We compared marginal priors and posterior distributions to assess the relative importance of the former on the latter. This approach revealed a strong influence of the set of priors on the root age but for most calibrated nodes posterior distributions shifted from the marginal prior, indicating significant information in the molecular data set. Using a very conservative approach we estimated an origin of butterflies at 107.6 Ma, approximately equivalent to the latest Early Cretaceous, with a credibility interval ranging from 89.5 Ma (mid Late Cretaceous) to 129.5 Ma (mid Early Cretaceous). In addition, we tested the effects of changing fossil calibration priors, tree prior, different sets of calibrations and different sampling fractions but our estimate remained robust to these alternative assumptions. With 994 genera, this tree provides a comprehensive source of secondary calibrations for studies on butterflies.
Subject headings
- NATURVETENSKAP -- Biologi (hsv//swe)
- NATURAL SCIENCES -- Biological Sciences (hsv//eng)
- NATURVETENSKAP -- Biologi -- Biologisk systematik (hsv//swe)
- NATURAL SCIENCES -- Biological Sciences -- Biological Systematics (hsv//eng)
Keyword
- Butterflies
- Early Cretaceous
- fossils
- host plants
- marginal prior
- Papilionoidea
- time-calibration
- nymphalidae satyrinae
- fossil
- time
- impact
- calibration
- diversity
- origin
- plants
- biogeography
- uncertainty
- Evolutionary Biology
Publication and Content Type
- ref (subject category)
- art (subject category)
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- By the author/editor
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Chazot, Nicolas
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Wahlberg, Niklas
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Freitas, A. V. L ...
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Mitter, C.
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Labandeira, C.
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Sohn, J. C.
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show more...
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Sahoo, R. K.
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Seraphim, N.
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de Jong, R.
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Heikkila, M.
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show less...
- About the subject
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- NATURAL SCIENCES
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NATURAL SCIENCES
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and Biological Scien ...
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- NATURAL SCIENCES
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NATURAL SCIENCES
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and Biological Scien ...
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and Biological Syste ...
- Articles in the publication
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Systematic Biolo ...
- By the university
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University of Gothenburg
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Lund University