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What to do with all...
What to do with all these Bayes factors: How to make Bayesian reports in deception research more informative
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- Mac Giolla, Erik, 1987 (author)
- Högskolan Väst,Gothenburg University,Göteborgs universitet,Psykologiska institutionen,Department of Psychology,Avdelningen för psykologi, pedagogik och sociologi
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- Ly, Alexander (author)
- Centrum Wiskunde & Informatica, Amsterdam, Netherlands (NLD)
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(creator_code:org_t)
- 2019-12-05
- 2020
- English.
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In: Legal and Criminological Psychology. - : Wiley. - 1355-3259 .- 2044-8333. ; :2, s. 65-71
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Abstract
Subject headings
Close
- Bayes factors quantify the evidence in support of the null (absence of an effect) or the alternative hypothesis (presence of an effect). Based on commonly used cut‐offs, Bayes factors between 1/3 and 3 are interpreted as evidentially weak, and one typically concludes there is an absence of evidence. In this commentary on Warmelink, Subramanian, Tkacheva, and McLatchie (Legal Criminol Psychol 24, 2019, 258), we discuss how a Bayesian report can be made more informative. Firstly, this implies a departure from the labels provided by commonly used cut‐offs when reporting Bayes factors. Instead, we encourage researchers to report the value of the Bayes factors, or to convert these values into nominal support for the hypotheses. Secondly, researchers can provide recommendations to design follow‐up studies by examining the posterior distribution of the magnitude of the effect size. Lastly, we show how individual Bayes factors can be evaluated in the context of large‐scale meta‐analyses.
Subject headings
- SAMHÄLLSVETENSKAP -- Psykologi (hsv//swe)
- SOCIAL SCIENCES -- Psychology (hsv//eng)
- SAMHÄLLSVETENSKAP -- Psykologi -- Tillämpad psykologi (hsv//swe)
- SOCIAL SCIENCES -- Psychology -- Applied Psychology (hsv//eng)
Keyword
- Bayes factors
- deception detection
- sample size
- deception; effect size; follow up; human; meta analysis; note; sample size
- Psychology
Publication and Content Type
- ref (subject category)
- art (subject category)
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