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Benefits of using an optimization methodology for identifying robust process integration investments under uncertainty - A pulp mill example

Svensson, Elin, 1980 (author)
Chalmers tekniska högskola,Chalmers University of Technology
Berntsson, Thore, 1947 (author)
Chalmers tekniska högskola,Chalmers University of Technology
Strömberg, Ann-Brith, 1961 (author)
Gothenburg University,Göteborgs universitet,Institutionen för matematiska vetenskaper, matematik,Department of Mathematical Sciences, Mathematics,University of Gothenburg,Chalmers tekniska högskola,Chalmers University of Technology
 (creator_code:org_t)
Elsevier BV, 2009
2009
English.
In: Energy Policy. - : Elsevier BV. - 0301-4215. ; 37:3, s. 813-824
  • Journal article (peer-reviewed)
Abstract Subject headings
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  • This paper presents a case study on the optimization of process integration investments in a pulp mill considering uncertainties in future electricity and biofuel prices and CO2 emissions charges. The work follows the methodology described in Svensson et al. [Svensson, E., Berntsson, T., Strömberg, A.-B., Patriksson, M., 2008b. An optimization methodology for identifying robust process integration investments under uncertainty. Accepted for publication in EnergyPolicy] where a scenario-based approach is proposed for the modelling of uncertainties. The results show that the proposed methodology provides a way to handle the time dependence and the uncertainties of the parameters. For the analyzed case, a robust solution is found which turns out to be a combination of two opposing investment strategies. The difference between short-term and strategic views for the investment decision is analyzed and it is found that uncertainties are increasingly important to account for as a more strategic view is employed. Furthermore, the results imply that the obvious effect of policy instruments aimed at decreasing CO2 emissions is, in applications like this, an increased profitability for all energy efficiency investments, and not as much a shift between different alternatives.

Subject headings

NATURVETENSKAP  -- Matematik -- Beräkningsmatematik (hsv//swe)
NATURAL SCIENCES  -- Mathematics -- Computational Mathematics (hsv//eng)
TEKNIK OCH TEKNOLOGIER  -- Maskinteknik -- Energiteknik (hsv//swe)
ENGINEERING AND TECHNOLOGY  -- Mechanical Engineering -- Energy Engineering (hsv//eng)
TEKNIK OCH TEKNOLOGIER  -- Maskinteknik -- Annan maskinteknik (hsv//swe)
ENGINEERING AND TECHNOLOGY  -- Mechanical Engineering -- Other Mechanical Engineering (hsv//eng)
TEKNIK OCH TEKNOLOGIER  -- Materialteknik -- Pappers-, massa- och fiberteknik (hsv//swe)
ENGINEERING AND TECHNOLOGY  -- Materials Engineering -- Paper, Pulp and Fiber Technology (hsv//eng)

Keyword

process integration
stochastic programming
investment planning
investment planning

Publication and Content Type

ref (subject category)
art (subject category)

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