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Critical survival periods in prostate cancer in Sweden explored by conditional survival analysis

Hemminki, Kari (author)
Lund University,Lunds universitet,Allmänmedicin och klinisk epidemiologi,Forskargrupper vid Lunds universitet,Family Medicine and Clinical Epidemiology,Lund University Research Groups,Charles University in Prague,German Cancer Research Centre
Zitricky, Frantisek (author)
Charles University in Prague
Sundquist, Kristina (author)
Lund University,Lunds universitet,Allmänmedicin och klinisk epidemiologi,Forskargrupper vid Lunds universitet,LUCC: Lunds universitets cancercentrum,Övriga starka forskningsmiljöer,Family Medicine and Clinical Epidemiology,Lund University Research Groups,LUCC: Lund University Cancer Centre,Other Strong Research Environments,Center for Community-Based Healthcare Research and Education (CoHRE),Shimane University,Icahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai
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Sundquist, Jan (author)
Lund University,Lunds universitet,Allmänmedicin och klinisk epidemiologi,Forskargrupper vid Lunds universitet,LUCC: Lunds universitets cancercentrum,Övriga starka forskningsmiljöer,Family Medicine and Clinical Epidemiology,Lund University Research Groups,LUCC: Lund University Cancer Centre,Other Strong Research Environments,Icahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai,Center for Community-Based Healthcare Research and Education (CoHRE),Shimane University
Försti, Asta (author)
Hopp Children’s Cancer Center Heidelberg (KiTZ),German Cancer Research Centre
Hemminki, Akseli (author)
University of Helsinki,Helsinki University Central Hospital
Hemminki, Otto (author)
Helsinki University Central Hospital,University of Helsinki
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 (creator_code:org_t)
2024
2024
English.
In: Cancer Medicine. - 2045-7634. ; 13:7
  • Journal article (peer-reviewed)
Abstract Subject headings
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  • Backround: We wanted to characterize conditional survival in prostate cancer (PC) in Sweden around and after 2005 when the vast increase in incidence due to the opportunistic testing for prostate specific antigen (PSA) culminated. We hypothesize that analyzing survival data during that time period may help interpret survival trends. We focus on stage-specific analysis using conditional survival in order to define the periods when deaths most commonly occurred. Methods: Data on PC patients were obtained from the Swedish cancer registry for analysis of 1-, 2.5- and 5-year relative survival and conditional relative survival between years 2004 and 2018. Tumor-node-metastatic stage classification at diagnosis was used to specify survival. Results: Small improvements were observed in stage- and age-related relative survival duriring the study period. Applying conditional relative survival showed that survival in stage T3 up to 2.5 years was better than survival between years 2.5 and 5. Survival in stage T4 was approximately equal in the first and the subsequent 2.5-year period. For M1, the first 2.5 year survival period was worse than the subsequent one. The proportion of high risk and M1 disease in old patients (80+ years) remained very high and their survival improved only modestly. Conclusions: The data indicate that M1 metastases kill more patients in the first 2.5 years than between years 2.5 and 5 after diagnosis; T4 deaths are equal in the two periods, and in T3 mortality in the first 2.5-year period is lower than between years 2.5 and 5 after diagnosis. Conditional survival could be applied to explore critical survival periods even past 5 years after diagnoses and to monitor success in novel diagnostic and treatment practices. Improvement of survival in elderly patients may require clinical input.

Subject headings

MEDICIN OCH HÄLSOVETENSKAP  -- Klinisk medicin -- Cancer och onkologi (hsv//swe)
MEDICAL AND HEALTH SCIENCES  -- Clinical Medicine -- Cancer and Oncology (hsv//eng)

Keyword

age
conditional relative survival
prognosis
stage
treatment

Publication and Content Type

art (subject category)
ref (subject category)

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