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Medium-term heat load prediction for an existing residential building based on a wireless on-off control system

Gu, Jihao (author)
Hebei University of Technology
Wang, Jin (author)
Hebei University of Technology
Qi, Chengying (author)
Hebei University of Technology
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Min, Chunhua (author)
Hebei University of Technology
Sundén, Bengt (author)
Lund University,Lunds universitet,Värmeöverföring,Institutionen för energivetenskaper,Institutioner vid LTH,Lunds Tekniska Högskola,Heat Transfer,Department of Energy Sciences,Departments at LTH,Faculty of Engineering, LTH
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 (creator_code:org_t)
Elsevier BV, 2018
2018
English 10 s.
In: Energy. - : Elsevier BV. - 0360-5442. ; 152, s. 709-718
  • Journal article (peer-reviewed)
Abstract Subject headings
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  • For district heating systems, prediction of the heat load is a very important topic for energy storage and optimized operation. For large and complex heating systems, most prediction models in previous publications only considered the influence of outdoor temperature, whereas the indoor temperature and thermal inertia of buildings were not included. For an energy-efficient residential building in Shijiazhuang (China), the heat load prediction is investigated using various prediction models, including a wavelet neural network (WNN), extreme learning machine (ELM), support vector machine (SVM) and back propagation neural network optimized by a genetic algorithm (GA-BP). In these models, the indoor temperature and historical loads are considered as influencing factors. It is found that the prediction accuracies of the ELM and GA-BP are slightly higher than that of WNN, so the ELM and GA-BP models provide feasible methods for the heat load prediction. The SVM shows smaller relative errors in the model prediction compared with three neural network algorithms.

Subject headings

TEKNIK OCH TEKNOLOGIER  -- Maskinteknik -- Energiteknik (hsv//swe)
ENGINEERING AND TECHNOLOGY  -- Mechanical Engineering -- Energy Engineering (hsv//eng)

Keyword

District heating system
Heat load
Neural network
Prediction
Support vector machine

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Gu, Jihao
Wang, Jin
Qi, Chengying
Min, Chunhua
Sundén, Bengt
About the subject
ENGINEERING AND TECHNOLOGY
ENGINEERING AND ...
and Mechanical Engin ...
and Energy Engineeri ...
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Energy
By the university
Lund University

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