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Population responses of bird populations to climate change on two continents vary with species’ ecological traits but not with direction of change in climate suitability

Mason, Lucy R. (author)
Royal Society for the Protection of Birds
Green, Rhys E. (author)
Royal Society for the Protection of Birds,University of Cambridge
Howard, Christine (author)
Durham University
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Stephens, Philip A. (author)
Durham University
Willis, Stephen G. (author)
Durham University
Aunins, Ainars (author)
University of Latvia,Latvian Ornithological Society
Brotons, Lluís (author)
CSIC Spanish National Research Council,Centre for Ecological Research and Forestry (CERAF),Natural History Museum of Barcelona,Forest Technology Centre of Catalonia
Chodkiewicz, Tomasz (author)
Polish Society for the Protection of Birds (OTOP),Museum and Institute of Zoology of the Polish Academy of Sciences
Chylarecki, Przemysław (author)
Museum and Institute of Zoology of the Polish Academy of Sciences
Escandell, Virginia (author)
Spanish Ornithological Society
Foppen, Ruud P.B. (author)
Radboud University Nijmegen,Dutch Centre for Field Ornithology,European Bird Census Council
Herrando, Sergi (author)
Centre for Ecological Research and Forestry (CERAF),Natural History Museum of Barcelona
Husby, Magne (author)
BirdLife Norway,Nord University
Jiguet, Frédéric (author)
Centre d'Écologie et des Sciences de la Conservation (CESCO)
Kålås, John Atle (author)
Norwegian Institute for Nature Research
Lindström, Åke (author)
Lund University,Lunds universitet,Biodiversitet,Biologiska institutionen,Naturvetenskapliga fakulteten,BECC: Biodiversity and Ecosystem services in a Changing Climate,Centrum för miljö- och klimatvetenskap (CEC),Biodiversity,Department of Biology,Faculty of Science,Centre for Environmental and Climate Science (CEC)
Massimino, Dario (author)
British Trust for Ornithology
Moshøj, Charlotte (author)
Dansk Ornitologisk Forening - BirdLife Denmark
Nellis, Renno (author)
Estonian Ornithological Society
Paquet, Jean Yves (author)
Natagora
Reif, Jiří (author)
Charles University in Prague
Sirkiä, Päivi M. (author)
University of Helsinki,Finnish Museum of Natural History
Szép, Tibor (author)
University of Nyíregyháza
Florenzano, Guido Tellini (author)
DREAM Italia
Teufelbauer, Norbert (author)
BirdLife Austria
Trautmann, Sven (author)
Federation of German Avifaunists (DDA)
van Strien, Arco (author)
Statistics Netherlands
van Turnhout, Chris A.M. (author)
Dutch Centre for Field Ornithology,Radboud University Nijmegen
Voříšek, Petr (author)
Palacký University,Czech Society for Ornithology (CSO)
Gregory, Richard D. (author)
Royal Society for the Protection of Birds,University College London
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 (creator_code:org_t)
2019-10-09
2019
English.
In: Climatic Change. - : Springer Science and Business Media LLC. - 0165-0009 .- 1573-1480. ; 157:3-4, s. 337-354
  • Journal article (peer-reviewed)
Abstract Subject headings
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  • Climate change is a major global threat to biodiversity with widespread impacts on ecological communities. Evidence for beneficial impacts on populations is perceived to be stronger and more plentiful than that for negative impacts, but few studies have investigated this apparent disparity, or how ecological factors affect population responses to climatic change. We examined the strength of the relationship between species-specific regional population changes and climate suitability trends (CST), using 30-year datasets of population change for 525 breeding bird species in Europe and the USA. These data indicate a consistent positive relationship between population trend and CST across the two continents. Importantly, we found no evidence that this positive relationship differs between species expected to be negatively and positively impacted across the entire taxonomic group, suggesting that climate change is causing equally strong, quantifiable population increases and declines. Species’ responses to changing climatic suitability varied with ecological traits, however, particularly breeding habitat preference and body mass. Species associated with inland wetlands responded most strongly and consistently to recent climatic change. In Europe, smaller species also appeared to respond more strongly, whilst the relationship with body mass was less clear-cut for North American birds. Overall, our results identify the role of certain traits in modulating responses to climate change and emphasise the importance of long-term data on abundance for detecting large-scale species’ responses to environmental changes.

Subject headings

NATURVETENSKAP  -- Biologi -- Ekologi (hsv//swe)
NATURAL SCIENCES  -- Biological Sciences -- Ecology (hsv//eng)

Publication and Content Type

art (subject category)
ref (subject category)

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