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Predicting the seve...
Predicting the severity of the grass pollen season and the effect of climate change in Northwest Europe
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- Kurganskiy, Alexander (author)
- University of Worcester
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- Creer, Simon (author)
- Bangor University
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- de Vere, Natasha (author)
- National Botanic Garden of Wales
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- Griffith, Gareth W (author)
- Aberystwyth University
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- Osborne, Nicholas J (author)
- University of Exeter
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- Wheeler, Benedict W (author)
- University of Exeter
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- McInnes, Rachel N (author)
- Met Office Hadley Centre for Climate Change
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- Clewlow, Yolanda (author)
- Met Office Hadley Centre for Climate Change
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- Barber, Adam (author)
- Met Office Hadley Centre for Climate Change
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- Brennan, Georgina L (author)
- Lund University,Lunds universitet,Centrum för miljö- och klimatvetenskap (CEC),Naturvetenskapliga fakulteten,Akvatisk ekologi,Forskargrupper vid Lunds universitet,Centre for Environmental and Climate Science (CEC),Faculty of Science,Aquatic Ecology,Lund University Research Groups,Bangor University
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- Hanlon, Helen M (author)
- Met Office Hadley Centre for Climate Change
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Hegarty, Matthew (author)
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- Potter, Caitlin (author)
- Aberystwyth University
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- Rowney, Francis (author)
- University of Exeter
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- Adams-Groom, Beverley (author)
- University of Worcester
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- Petch, Geoff M (author)
- University of Worcester
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- Pashley, Catherine H (author)
- University Hospitals of Leicester NHS Trust
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- Satchwell, Jack (author)
- University of Leicester
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- de Weger, Letty A (author)
- Leiden University Medical Centre
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- Rasmussen, Karen (author)
- Astma-Allergi Danmark
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- Oliver, Gilles (author)
- Réseau National de Surveillance Aérobiologique (R.N.S.A.)
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- Sindt, Charlotte (author)
- Réseau National de Surveillance Aérobiologique (R.N.S.A.)
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- Bruffaerts, Nicolas (author)
- Sciensano
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- Skjøth, Carsten A (author)
- University of Worcester
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(creator_code:org_t)
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- American Association for the Advancement of Science (AAAS), 2021
- 2021
- English 11 s.
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In: Science Advances. - : American Association for the Advancement of Science (AAAS). - 2375-2548. ; 7:13
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Abstract
Subject headings
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- Allergic rhinitis is an inflammation in the nose caused by overreaction of the immune system to allergens in the air. Managing allergic rhinitis symptoms is challenging and requires timely intervention. The following are major questions often posed by those with allergic rhinitis: How should I prepare for the forthcoming season? How will the season's severity develop over the years? No country yet provides clear guidance addressing these questions. We propose two previously unexplored approaches for forecasting the severity of the grass pollen season on the basis of statistical and mechanistic models. The results suggest annual severity is largely governed by preseasonal meteorological conditions. The mechanistic model suggests climate change will increase the season severity by up to 60%, in line with experimental chamber studies. These models can be used as forecasting tools for advising individuals with hay fever and health care professionals how to prepare for the grass pollen season.
Subject headings
- NATURVETENSKAP -- Geovetenskap och miljövetenskap (hsv//swe)
- NATURAL SCIENCES -- Earth and Related Environmental Sciences (hsv//eng)
Publication and Content Type
- art (subject category)
- ref (subject category)
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- By the author/editor
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Kurganskiy, Alex ...
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Creer, Simon
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de Vere, Natasha
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Griffith, Gareth ...
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Osborne, Nichola ...
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Wheeler, Benedic ...
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show more...
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McInnes, Rachel ...
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Clewlow, Yolanda
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Barber, Adam
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Brennan, Georgin ...
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Hanlon, Helen M
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Hegarty, Matthew
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Potter, Caitlin
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Rowney, Francis
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Adams-Groom, Bev ...
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Petch, Geoff M
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Pashley, Catheri ...
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Satchwell, Jack
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de Weger, Letty ...
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Rasmussen, Karen
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Oliver, Gilles
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Sindt, Charlotte
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Bruffaerts, Nico ...
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Skjøth, Carsten ...
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- About the subject
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- NATURAL SCIENCES
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NATURAL SCIENCES
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and Earth and Relate ...
- Articles in the publication
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Science Advances
- By the university
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Lund University