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Determining the lik...
Determining the likely place of HIV acquisition for migrants in Europe combining subject-specific information and biomarkers data
- Article/chapterEnglish2019
Publisher, publication year, extent ...
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2017-12-12
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SAGE Publications,2019
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LIBRIS-ID:oai:prod.swepub.kib.ki.se:141330207
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http://kipublications.ki.se/Default.aspx?queryparsed=id:141330207URI
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https://doi.org/10.1177/0962280217746437DOI
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Language:English
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Summary in:English
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Subject category:art swepub-publicationtype
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In most HIV-positive individuals, infection time is only known to lie between the time an individual started being at risk for HIV and diagnosis time. However, a more accurate estimate of infection time is very important in certain cases. For example, one of the objectives of the Advancing Migrant Access to Health Services in Europe (aMASE) study was to determine if HIV-positive migrants, diagnosed in Europe, were infected pre- or post-migration. We propose a method to derive subject-specific estimates of unknown infection times using information from HIV biomarkers’ measurements, demographic, clinical, and behavioral data. We assume that CD4 cell count (CD4) and HIV-RNA viral load trends after HIV infection follow a bivariate linear mixed model. Using post-diagnosis CD4 and viral load measurements and applying the Bayes’ rule, we derived the posterior distribution of the HIV infection time, whereas the prior distribution was informed by AIDS status at diagnosis and behavioral data. Parameters of the CD4–viral load and time-to-AIDS models were estimated using data from a large study of individuals with known HIV infection times (CASCADE). Simulations showed substantial predictive ability (e.g. 84% of the infections were correctly classified as pre- or post-migration). Application to the aMASE study ( n = 2009) showed that 47% of African migrants and 67% to 72% of migrants from other regions were most likely infected post-migration. Applying a Bayesian method based on bivariate modeling of CD4 and viral load, and subject-specific information, we found that the majority of HIV-positive migrants in aMASE were most likely infected after their migration to Europe.
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Thomadakis, C
(author)
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del Amo, J
(author)
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Alvarez-del Arco, D
(author)
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Burns, FM
(author)
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Fakoya, I
(author)
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Touloumi, G
(author)
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Aerssens, A
(author)
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Aguado, M
(author)
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Alimi, B
(author)
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Alvarez, D
(author)
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Anagnostou, O
(author)
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Anderson, J
(author)
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Antoniadou, A
(author)
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Arando, M
(author)
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Barbera, MJ
(author)
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Barros, H
(author)
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Barthelemy, A
(author)
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Belda-Ibanez, J
(author)
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Bertisch, B
(author)
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Bil, J
(author)
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Blanco, JR
(author)
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Block, K
(author)
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Boesecke, C
(author)
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Boura, M
(author)
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Burgos, J
(author)
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Burns, FM
(author)
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Cabo, J
(author)
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Calabuig, E
(author)
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Campbell, L
(author)
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Cardoso, O
(author)
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Claudia, W
(author)
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Clumeck, N
(author)
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Colucci, A
(author)
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Corrao, S
(author)
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Cuellar, S
(author)
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Cunha, J
(author)
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Daikos, G
(author)
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Darling, K
(author)
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del Amo, J
(author)
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del Romero, J
(author)
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Dellot, P
(author)
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Dixneuf, M
(author)
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Domingo, P
(author)
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Dronda, F
(author)
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Ebeling, F
(author)
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Engelhardt, A
(author)
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Engler, B
(author)
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Fakoya, I
(author)
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Farrell, J
(author)
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Fehr, J
(author)
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Feijo, M
(author)
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Fernandez, E
(author)
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Garcia, EF
(author)
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Fernandez, T
(author)
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Fortes, AL
(author)
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Fox, J
(author)
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de Olalla, PG
(author)
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Garcia, F
(author)
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Gargalianos-Kakolyris, P
(author)
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Gennotte, AF
(author)
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Germano, I
(author)
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Gilleran, G
(author)
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Gilson, R
(author)
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Goepel, S
(author)
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Gogos, HA
(author)
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Sirvent, JLG
(author)
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Gountas, I
(author)
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Gregg, A
(author)
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Gutierrez, F
(author)
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Gutierrez, MM
(author)
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Hermans, I
(author)
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Iribarren, JA
(author)
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Knobel, H
(author)
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Koulai, L
(author)
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Kourkounti, S
(author)
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La Morte, C
(author)
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LeCompte, T
(author)
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Ledergerber, B
(author)
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Leonidou, L
(author)
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Ligero, MC
(author)
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Lindergard, G
(author)
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Lino, S
(author)
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Lopes, MJ
(author)
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Lirola, AL
(author)
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Louhenapessy, M
(author)
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Lourida, G
(author)
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Luzi, AM
(author)
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Maltez, F
(author)
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Manirankunda, L
(author)
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Martin-Perez, A
(author)
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Martins, L
(author)
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Masia, M
(author)
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Mateu, MG
(author)
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Meireles, P
(author)
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Mendes, A
(author)
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Metallidis, S
(author)
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Mguni, S
(author)
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Milinkovic, A
(author)
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Miro, JM
(author)
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Mohrmann, K
(author)
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Monge, S
(author)
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Montero, M
(author)
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Mouhebati, T
(author)
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Moutschen, M
(author)
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Muller, M
(author)
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Murphy, C
(author)
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Nostlinger, C
(author)
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Ocana, I
(author)
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Okumu-Fransche, S
(author)
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Onwuchekwa, G
(author)
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Ospina, JE
(author)
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Otiko, D
(author)
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Pacheco, P
(author)
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Palacios, R
(author)
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Paparizos, V
(author)
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Papastamopoulos, V
(author)
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Paredes, V
(author)
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Patel, N
(author)
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Pellicer, T
(author)
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Pena, A
(author)
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Petrosillo, N
(author)
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Pinheiro, A
(author)
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Pocas, J
(author)
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Portillo, A
(author)
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Post, F
(author)
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Prestileo, F
(author)
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Prestileo, T
(author)
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Prins, M
(author)
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Prins, P
(author)
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Protopapas, K
(author)
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Psichogiou, M
(author)
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Pulido, F
(author)
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Rebollo, J
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Ribeirinho, A
(author)
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Rio, I
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Robau, M
(author)
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Rockstroh, JK
(author)
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Rodrigues, E
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Rodriguez, M
(author)
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Sajani, C
(author)
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Salavert, M
(author)
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Salman, R
(author)
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Sanz, N
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Schuettfort, G
(author)
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Schuttfort, G
(author)
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Schwarze-Zander, C
(author)
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Serrao, R
(author)
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Silva, D
(author)
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Silva, V
(author)
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Silverio, P
(author)
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Skoutelis, A
(author)
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Staehelin, C
(author)
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Stephan, C
(author)
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Stretton, C
(author)
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Styles, F
(author)
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Sutre, AF
(author)
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Taylor, S
(author)
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Teixeira, B
(author)
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Thierfelder, C
(author)
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Touloumi, G
(author)
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Tsachouridou, O
(author)
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Tudor, K
(author)
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Valadas, E
(author)
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van Frankenhuijsen, M
(author)
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Vazquez, M
(author)
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Arribas, MV
(author)
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Vera, M
(author)
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Vinciana, P
(author)
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Volny-Anne, A
(author)
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Voudouri, N
(author)
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Wasmuth, JC
(author)
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Wengenroth, C
(author)
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Wilkins, E
(author)
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Young, L
(author)
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Yurdakul, S
(author)
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Espinosa, TZ
(author)
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Zuure, F
(author)
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Del Amo, J
(author)
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Meyer, L
(author)
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Bucher, HC
(author)
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Chene, G
(author)
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Hamouda, O
(author)
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Pillay, D
(author)
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Prins, M
(author)
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Rosinska, M
(author)
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Sabin, C
(author)
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Touloumi, G
(author)
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Porter, K
(author)
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Olson, A
(author)
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Cartier, A
(author)
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Fradette, L
(author)
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Walker, S
(author)
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Babiker, A
(author)
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Bucher, HC
(author)
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De Luca, A
(author)
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Fisher, M
(author)
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Muga, R
(author)
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Kelleher, T
(author)
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Cooper, D
(author)
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Grey, P
(author)
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Finlayson, R
(author)
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Bloch, M
(author)
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Kelleher, T
(author)
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Ramacciotti, T
(author)
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Gelgor, L
(author)
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Cooper, D
(author)
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Smith, D
(author)
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Zangerle, R
(author)
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Gill, J
(author)
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Lutsar, I
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Dabis, F
(author)
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Thiebaut, R
(author)
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Costagliola, D
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Guiguet, M
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Vanhems, P
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Chaix, ML
(author)
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Ghosn, J
(author)
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Meyer, L
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Boufassa, F
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Hamouda, O
(author)
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Meixenberger, K
(author)
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Bannert, N
(author)
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Bartmeyer, B
(author)
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Antoniadou, A
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Chrysos, G
(author)
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Daikos, GL
(author)
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Touloumi, G
(author)
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Pantazis, N
(author)
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Katsarou, O
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Rezza, G
(author)
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Dorrucci, M
(author)
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Monforte, AD
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De Luca, A
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Prins, M
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Geskus, R
(author)
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van der Helm, J
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Schuitemaker, H
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Sannes, M
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Brubakk, O
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Kran, AMB
(author)
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Rosinska, M
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Tor, J
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de Olalla, PG
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Cayla, J
(author)
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del Amo, J
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Moreno, S
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Monge, S
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Del Amo, J
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del Romero, J
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Perez-Hoyos, S
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Sonnerborg, AKarolinska Institutet
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Bucher, HC
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Gunthard, H
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Scherrer, A
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Malyuta, R
(author)
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Murphy, G
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Porter, K
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Johnson, A
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Phillips, A
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Babiker, A
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Pillay, D
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Morrison, C
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Salata, R
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Mugerwa, R
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Chipato, T
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Price, MA
(author)
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Gilmour, J
(author)
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Kamali, A
(author)
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Karita, E
(author)
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Karolinska Institutet
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In:Statistical methods in medical research: SAGE Publications28:7, s. 1979-19971477-03340962-2802
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Pantazis, N
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Thomadakis, C
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del Amo, J
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Alvarez-del Arco ...
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Burns, FM
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Fakoya, I
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Touloumi, G
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Aerssens, A
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Aguado, M
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Alimi, B
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Alvarez, D
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Anagnostou, O
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Anderson, J
-
Antoniadou, A
-
Arando, M
-
Barbera, MJ
-
Barros, H
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Barthelemy, A
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Belda-Ibanez, J
-
Bertisch, B
-
Bil, J
-
Blanco, JR
-
Block, K
-
Boesecke, C
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Boura, M
-
Burgos, J
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Cabo, J
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Calabuig, E
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Campbell, L
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Cardoso, O
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Claudia, W
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Clumeck, N
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Colucci, A
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Corrao, S
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Cuellar, S
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Cunha, J
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Daikos, G
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Darling, K
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del Romero, J
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Dellot, P
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Dixneuf, M
-
Domingo, P
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Dronda, F
-
Ebeling, F
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Engelhardt, A
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Engler, B
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Farrell, J
-
Fehr, J
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Feijo, M
-
Fernandez, E
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Garcia, EF
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Fernandez, T
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Fortes, AL
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Fox, J
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de Olalla, PG
-
Garcia, F
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Gargalianos-Kako ...
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Gennotte, AF
-
Germano, I
-
Gilleran, G
-
Gilson, R
-
Goepel, S
-
Gogos, HA
-
Sirvent, JLG
-
Gountas, I
-
Gregg, A
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Gutierrez, F
-
Gutierrez, MM
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Hermans, I
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Iribarren, JA
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Knobel, H
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Koulai, L
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Kourkounti, S
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La Morte, C
-
LeCompte, T
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Ledergerber, B
-
Leonidou, L
-
Ligero, MC
-
Lindergard, G
-
Lino, S
-
Lopes, MJ
-
Lirola, AL
-
Louhenapessy, M
-
Lourida, G
-
Luzi, AM
-
Maltez, F
-
Manirankunda, L
-
Martin-Perez, A
-
Martins, L
-
Masia, M
-
Mateu, MG
-
Meireles, P
-
Mendes, A
-
Metallidis, S
-
Mguni, S
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Milinkovic, A
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Miro, JM
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Mohrmann, K
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Monge, S
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Montero, M
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Mouhebati, T
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Moutschen, M
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Muller, M
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Murphy, C
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Nostlinger, C
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Ocana, I
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Okumu-Fransche, ...
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Onwuchekwa, G
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Ospina, JE
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Otiko, D
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Pacheco, P
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Palacios, R
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Paparizos, V
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Papastamopoulos, ...
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Paredes, V
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Patel, N
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Pellicer, T
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Pena, A
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Petrosillo, N
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Pinheiro, A
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Pocas, J
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Portillo, A
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Post, F
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Prestileo, F
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Prestileo, T
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Prins, M
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Prins, P
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Protopapas, K
-
Psichogiou, M
-
Pulido, F
-
Rebollo, J
-
Ribeirinho, A
-
Rio, I
-
Robau, M
-
Rockstroh, JK
-
Rodrigues, E
-
Rodriguez, M
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Sajani, C
-
Salavert, M
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Salman, R
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Sanz, N
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Schuettfort, G
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Schuttfort, G
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Schwarze-Zander, ...
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Serrao, R
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Silva, D
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Silva, V
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Silverio, P
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Skoutelis, A
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Staehelin, C
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Stephan, C
-
Stretton, C
-
Styles, F
-
Sutre, AF
-
Taylor, S
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Teixeira, B
-
Thierfelder, C
-
Tsachouridou, O
-
Tudor, K
-
Valadas, E
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van Frankenhuijs ...
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Vazquez, M
-
Arribas, MV
-
Vera, M
-
Vinciana, P
-
Volny-Anne, A
-
Voudouri, N
-
Wasmuth, JC
-
Wengenroth, C
-
Wilkins, E
-
Young, L
-
Yurdakul, S
-
Espinosa, TZ
-
Zuure, F
-
Del Amo, J
-
Meyer, L
-
Bucher, HC
-
Chene, G
-
Hamouda, O
-
Pillay, D
-
Rosinska, M
-
Sabin, C
-
Porter, K
-
Olson, A
-
Cartier, A
-
Fradette, L
-
Walker, S
-
Babiker, A
-
De Luca, A
-
Fisher, M
-
Muga, R
-
Kelleher, T
-
Cooper, D
-
Grey, P
-
Finlayson, R
-
Bloch, M
-
Ramacciotti, T
-
Gelgor, L
-
Smith, D
-
Zangerle, R
-
Gill, J
-
Lutsar, I
-
Dabis, F
-
Thiebaut, R
-
Costagliola, D
-
Guiguet, M
-
Vanhems, P
-
Chaix, ML
-
Ghosn, J
-
Boufassa, F
-
Meixenberger, K
-
Bannert, N
-
Bartmeyer, B
-
Chrysos, G
-
Daikos, GL
-
Katsarou, O
-
Rezza, G
-
Dorrucci, M
-
Monforte, AD
-
Geskus, R
-
van der Helm, J
-
Schuitemaker, H
-
Sannes, M
-
Brubakk, O
-
Kran, AMB
-
Tor, J
-
Cayla, J
-
Moreno, S
-
Perez-Hoyos, S
-
Sonnerborg, A
-
Gunthard, H
-
Scherrer, A
-
Malyuta, R
-
Murphy, G
-
Johnson, A
-
Phillips, A
-
Morrison, C
-
Salata, R
-
Mugerwa, R
-
Chipato, T
-
Price, MA
-
Gilmour, J
-
Kamali, A
-
Karita, E
-
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