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  • Merisalu, Johanna,1990Chalmers tekniska högskola,Chalmers University of Technology (author)

A Framework for Risk-Based Cost-Benefit Analysis for Decision Support on Hydrogeological Risks in Underground Construction

  • Article/chapterEnglish2021

Publisher, publication year, extent ...

  • 2021-02-12
  • MDPI AG,2021
  • electronicrdacarrier

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  • LIBRIS-ID:oai:research.chalmers.se:314aef15-cfdd-4641-b603-88a7b20d9aba
  • https://research.chalmers.se/publication/522971URI
  • https://doi.org/10.3390/geosciences11020082DOI

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  • Language:English
  • Summary in:English

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  • Subject category:art swepub-publicationtype
  • Subject category:ref swepub-contenttype

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  • Construction below the ground surface and underneath the groundwater table is often associated with groundwater leakage and drawdowns in the surroundings which subsequently can result in a wide variety of risks. To avoid groundwater drawdown-associated damages, risk-reducing measures must often be implemented. Due to the hydrogeological system's inherent variability and our incomplete knowledge of its conditions, the effects of risk-reducing measures cannot be fully known in advance and decisions must inevitably be made under uncertainty. When implementing risk-reducing measures there is always a trade-off between the measures' benefits (reduced risk) and investment costs which needs to be balanced. In this paper, we present a framework for decision support on measures to mitigate hydrogeological risks in underground construction. The framework is developed in accordance with the guidelines from the International Standardization Organization (ISO) and comprises a full risk-management framework with focus on risk analysis and risk evaluation. Cost-benefit analysis (CBA) facilitates monetization of consequences and economic evaluation of risk mitigation. The framework includes probabilistic risk estimation of the entire cause-effect chain from groundwater leakage to the consequences of damage where expert elicitation is combined with data-driven and process-based methods, allowing for continuous updating when new knowledge is obtained.

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  • Sundell, Jonas,1984Trafikverket,The Swedish Transport Administration,Chalmers tekniska högskola,Chalmers University of Technology(Swepub:cth)sundellj (author)
  • Rosen, Lars,1962Chalmers tekniska högskola,Chalmers University of Technology(Swepub:cth)rosen (author)
  • Chalmers tekniska högskolaTrafikverket (creator_code:org_t)

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  • In:Geosciences (Switzerland): MDPI AG11:2, s. 1-192076-3263

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