Allision modelling in IWRAP Mk II - A verification and sensitivity study

• Risk assessment is important both while planning to build new infrastructure and for maintenance of existing structures. The probability of ship-structure allisions could be estimated with IWRAP Mk II, which is a commonly used software for estimating maritime risks. However, the research coverage of the software is limited with regards to groundings and allisions. The aim of this study is to verify how IWRAP Mk II estimates the accident probability. To perform this verification a separate tool is constructed, OMRAT, based on the same theory as IWRAP Mk II. The aim is also to highlight the sensitivity of different parameters in these types of models. It is concluded that IWRAP Mk II estimates the probability of allisions and groundings with the same equations. Another conclusion is that some parameters have a linear effect on the accident probabilities and other parameters are also influenced by the model layout.

Subject headings

TEKNIK OCH TEKNOLOGIER  -- Samhällsbyggnadsteknik -- Infrastrukturteknik (hsv//swe)

ENGINEERING AND TECHNOLOGY  -- Civil Engineering -- Infrastructure Engineering (hsv//eng)

TEKNIK OCH TEKNOLOGIER  -- Maskinteknik -- Farkostteknik (hsv//swe)

ENGINEERING AND TECHNOLOGY  -- Mechanical Engineering -- Vehicle Engineering (hsv//eng)

NATURVETENSKAP  -- Matematik -- Sannolikhetsteori och statistik (hsv//swe)

NATURAL SCIENCES  -- Mathematics -- Probability Theory and Statistics (hsv//eng)

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