A framework for ensemble modelling of climate change impacts on lakes worldwide: the ISIMIP Lake Sector

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A framework for ensemble modelling of climate change impacts on lakes worldwide : the ISIMIP Lake Sector

Golub, Malgorzata (författare): Uppsala universitet,Limnologi

Thiery, Wim (författare): Vrije Univ Brussel, Dept Hydrol & Hydraul Engn, Brussels, Belgium.

Marce, Rafael (författare): Catalan Inst Water Res ICRA, Resources & Ecosyst Area, Girona, Spain.;Univ Girona, Girona, Spain.

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Pierson, Don (författare): Uppsala universitet,Limnologi

Vanderkelen, Inne (författare): Vrije Univ Brussel, Dept Hydrol & Hydraul Engn, Brussels, Belgium.

Mercado-Bettin, Daniel (författare): Catalan Inst Water Res ICRA, Resources & Ecosyst Area, Girona, Spain.;Univ Girona, Girona, Spain.

Woolway, R. Iestyn (författare): Univ Reading, Dept Meteorol, Reading, Berks, England.

Grant, Luke (författare): Vrije Univ Brussel, Dept Hydrol & Hydraul Engn, Brussels, Belgium.

Jennings, Eleanor (författare): Dundalk Inst Technol, Ctr Freshwater & Environm Studies, Dundalk, Ireland.

Kraemer, Benjamin M. (författare): Univ Konstanz, Limnol Inst, Constance, Germany.,Leibniz Assoc, Potsdam Inst Climate Impact Res PIK, Potsdam, Germany.,Wisconsin Dept Nat Resources, Madison, WI USA.

Schewe, Jacob (författare): Leibniz Assoc, Potsdam Inst Climate Impact Res PIK, Potsdam, Germany.

Zhao, Fang (författare): Leibniz Assoc, Potsdam Inst Climate Impact Res PIK, Potsdam, Germany.;East China Normal Univ, Sch Geog Sci, Minist Educ, Key Lab Geog Informat Sci, Shanghai, Peoples R China.

Frieler, Katja (författare): Leibniz Assoc, Potsdam Inst Climate Impact Res PIK, Potsdam, Germany.

Mengel, Matthias (författare): Leibniz Assoc, Potsdam Inst Climate Impact Res PIK, Potsdam, Germany.,Lomonosov Moscow State Univ, Moscow, Russia.

Bogomolov, Vasiliy Y. (författare): Russian Acad Sci, Siberian Branch, Inst Monitoring Climat & Ecol Syst, Tomsk, Russia.;Tomsk State Univ, Tomsk, Russia.;Russian Acad Sci, Obukhov Inst Atmospher Phys, Moscow, Russia.

Bouffard, Damien (författare): Eawag Swiss Fed Inst Aquat Sci & Technol, Surface Waters Res & Management, CH-6047 Kastanienbaum, Switzerland.

Cote, Marianne (författare): Univ Laval, Dept Chem, Quebec City, PQ, Canada.

Couture, Raoul-Marie (författare): Univ Laval, Dept Chem, Quebec City, PQ, Canada.;Ctr Northern Study, Quebec City, PQ G1V 0A6, Canada.

Debolskiy, Andrey, V (författare): Russian Acad Sci, Obukhov Inst Atmospher Phys, Moscow, Russia.;Lomonosov Moscow State Univ, Moscow, Russia.

Droppers, Bram (författare): Wageningen Univ & Res, Water Syst & Global Change Grp, Wageningen, Netherlands.

Gal, Gideon (författare): Israel Oceanog & Limnol Res, Kinneret Limnol Lab, Migdal, Israel.,Wageningen Univ & Res, Water Syst & Global Change Grp, Wageningen, Netherlands.

Guo, Mingyang (författare): Purdue Univ, Dept Earth Atmospher & Planetary Sci, W Lafayette, IN 47907 USA.

Janssen, Annette B. G. (författare): Wageningen Univ & Res, Water Syst & Global Change Grp, Wageningen, Netherlands.

Kirillin, Georgiy (författare): Leibniz Inst Freshwater Ecol & Inland Fisheries, Berlin, Germany.

Ladwig, Robert (författare): Univ Wisconsin, Ctr Limnol, Madison, WI USA.

Magee, Madeline (författare): Wisconsin Dept Nat Resources, Madison, WI USA.

Moore, Tadhg (författare): Dundalk Inst Technol, Dept Appl Sci, Dundalk, Ireland.;Virginia Tech, Dept Biol Sci, Blacksburg, VA USA.

Perroud, Marjorie (författare): Univ Geneva, Inst Environm Sci, Geneva, Switzerland.

Piccolroaz, Sebastiano (författare): Univ Trento, Dept Civil Environm & Mech Engn, Trento, Italy.;Ecole Polytech Fed Laussane, Phys Aquat Syst Lab APHYS, Margaretha Kamprad Chair, Lausanne, Switzerland.

Vinnaa, Love Raaman (författare): Eawag Swiss Fed Inst Aquat Sci & Technol, Surface Waters Res & Management, CH-6047 Kastanienbaum, Switzerland.

Schmid, Martin (författare): Eawag Swiss Fed Inst Aquat Sci & Technol, Surface Waters Res & Management, CH-6047 Kastanienbaum, Switzerland.

Shatwell, Tom (författare): Leibniz Inst Freshwater Ecol & Inland Fisheries, Berlin, Germany.;UFZ Helmholtz Ctr Environm Res, Dept Lake Res, Magdeburg, Germany.

Stepanenko, Victor M. (författare): Lomonosov Moscow State Univ, Moscow, Russia.

Tan, Zeli (författare): Pacific Northwest Natl Lab, Richland, WA 99352 USA.

Woodward, Bronwyn (författare): Univ Western Australia, Sch Civil Environm & Min Engn, Perth, WA, Australia.

Yao, Huaxia (författare): Ontario Minist Environm Conservat & Pk, Dorset Environm Sci Ctr, Dorset, ON, Canada.

Adrian, Rita (författare): Leibniz Inst Freshwater Ecol & Inland Fisheries, Berlin, Germany.;Free Univ Berlin, Inst Biol, Berlin, Germany.

Allan, Mathew (författare): Waikato Reg Council, Hamilton, New Zealand.;Univ Waikato, Environm Res Inst, Hamilton, New Zealand.

Anneville, Orlane (författare): Univ Savoie Mt Blanc, UMR CARRTEL, INRAE, F-74203 Thonon Les Bains, France.

Arvola, Lauri (författare): Univ Helsinki, Lammi Biol Stn, Lammi 16900, Finland.

Atkins, Karen (författare): Univ Calif Davis, Tahoe Environm Res Ctr, Davis, CA 95616 USA.

Boegman, Leon (författare): Queens Univ, Dept Civil Engn, Kingston, ON, Canada.

Carey, Cayelan (författare): Virginia Tech, Dept Biol Sci, Blacksburg, VA USA.

Christianson, Kyle (författare): Univ Colorado, Inst Arctic & Alpine Res, Boulder, CO 80309 USA.

de Eyto, Elvira (författare): Marine Inst, Newport F28 X252, Co Mayo, Ireland.

DeGasperi, Curtis (författare): King Cty Dept Nat Resources & Pk, Water & Land Resources Div, Seattle, WA USA.

Grechushnikova, Maria (författare): Lomonosov Moscow State Univ, Moscow, Russia.

Hejzlar, Josef (författare): Czech Acad Sci, Biol Ctr, Inst Hydrobiol, Ceske Budejovice, Czech Republic.

Joehnk, Klaus (författare): CSIRO Land & Water, Canberra, ACT, Australia.

Jones, Ian D. (författare): Univ Stirling, Biol & Environm Sci, Stirling, Scotland.

Laas, Alo (författare): Estonian Univ Life Sci, Chair Hydrobiol & Fishery, Inst Agr & Environm Sci, Tartu, Estonia.

Mackay, Eleanor B. (författare): UK Ctr Ecol & Hydrol, Lake Ecosyst Grp, Lancaster LA1 4AP, England.

Mammarella, Ivan (författare): Univ Helsinki, Inst Atmospher & Earth Syst Res Phys, Helsinki, Finland.

Markensten, Hampus (författare): Swedish University of Agricultural Sciences,Sveriges lantbruksuniversitet,Institutionen för vatten och miljö,Department of Aquatic Sciences and Assessment,Swedish Univ Agr Sci, Dept Aquat Sci & Assessment, S-75007 Uppsala, Sweden.

McBride, Chris (författare): Univ Waikato, Environm Res Inst, Hamilton, New Zealand.

Ozkundakci, Deniz (författare): Univ Waikato, Environm Res Inst, Hamilton, New Zealand.

Potes, Miguel (författare): Univ Evora, Inst Ciencias Terra ICT Polo Evora, Inst Invest & Formacao Avancada IIFA, Evora, Portugal.;Univ Evora, Earth Remote Sensing Lab EaRSLab, Inst Invest & Formacao Avancada IIFA, Evora, Portugal.

Rinke, Karsten (författare): UFZ Helmholtz Ctr Environm Res, Dept Lake Res, Magdeburg, Germany.

Robertson, Dale (författare): US Geol Survey, Upper Midwest Water Sci Ctr, Madison, WI USA.

Rusak, James A. (författare): Ontario Minist Environm Conservat & Pk, Dorset Environm Sci Ctr, Dorset, ON, Canada.

Salgado, Rui (författare): Univ Evora, Inst Ciencias Terra, Escola Ciencias & Tecnol, Dept Fis, Evora, Portugal.

van der Linden, Leon (författare): South Australian Water Corp, Adelaide, SA, Australia.

Verburg, Piet (författare): Natl Inst Water & Atmospher Res, Hamilton, New Zealand.

Wain, Danielle (författare): 7 Lakes Alliance, Belgrade Lakes, ME 04901 USA.

Ward, Nicole K. (författare): Virginia Tech, Dept Biol Sci, Blacksburg, VA USA.

Wollrab, Sabine (författare): Leibniz Inst Freshwater Ecol & Inland Fisheries, Berlin, Germany.

Zdorovennova, Galina (författare): RAS, Karelian Res Ctr, Northern Water Problems Inst, Petrozavodsk, Russia.

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(creator_code:org_t)

2022-06-16
2022
Engelska.
Ingår i: Geoscientific Model Development. - : Copernicus Publications. - 1991-959X .- 1991-9603. ; 15:11, s. 4597-4623

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Tidskriftsartikel (refereegranskat)

Abstract Ämnesord

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Empirical evidence demonstrates that lakes and reservoirs are warming across the globe. Consequently, there is an increased need to project future changes in lake thermal structure and resulting changes in lake biogeochemistry in order to plan for the likely impacts. Previous studies of the impacts of climate change on lakes have often relied on a single model forced with limited scenario-driven projections of future climate for a relatively small number of lakes. As a result, our understanding of the effects of climate change on lakes is fragmentary, based on scattered studies using different data sources and modelling protocols, and mainly focused on individual lakes or lake regions. This has precluded identification of the main impacts of climate change on lakes at global and regional scales and has likely contributed to the lack of lake water quality considerations in policy-relevant documents, such as the Assessment Reports of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC). Here, we describe a simulation protocol developed by the Lake Sector of the Inter-Sectoral Impact Model Intercomparison Project (ISIMIP) for simulating climate change impacts on lakes using an ensemble of lake models and climate change scenarios for ISIMIP phases 2 and 3. The protocol prescribes lake simulations driven by climate forcing from gridded observations and different Earth system models under various representative greenhouse gas concentration pathways (RCPs), all consistently bias-corrected on a 0.5 degrees x 0.5 degrees global grid. In ISIMIP phase 2, 11 lake models were forced with these data to project the thermal structure of 62 well-studied lakes where data were available for calibration under historical conditions, and using uncalibrated models for 17 500 lakes defined for all global grid cells containing lakes. In ISIMIP phase 3, this approach was expanded to consider more lakes, more models, and more processes. The ISIMIP Lake Sector is the largest international effort to project future water temperature, thermal structure, and ice phenology of lakes at local and global scales and paves the way for future simulations of the impacts of climate change on water quality and biogeochemistry in lakes.

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Av författaren/redakt...: Golub, Malgorzat ...; Thiery, Wim; Marce, Rafael; Pierson, Don; Vanderkelen, Inn ...; Mercado-Bettin, ...; visa fler...; Woolway, R. Iest ...; Grant, Luke; Jennings, Eleano ...; Kraemer, Benjami ...; Schewe, Jacob; Zhao, Fang; Frieler, Katja; Mengel, Matthias; Bogomolov, Vasil ...; Bouffard, Damien; Cote, Marianne; Couture, Raoul-M ...; Debolskiy, Andre ...; Droppers, Bram; Gal, Gideon; Guo, Mingyang; Janssen, Annette ...; Kirillin, Georgi ...; Ladwig, Robert; Magee, Madeline; Moore, Tadhg; Perroud, Marjori ...; Piccolroaz, Seba ...; Vinnaa, Love Raa ...; Schmid, Martin; Shatwell, Tom; Stepanenko, Vict ...; Tan, Zeli; Woodward, Bronwy ...; Yao, Huaxia; Adrian, Rita; Allan, Mathew; Anneville, Orlan ...; Arvola, Lauri; Atkins, Karen; Boegman, Leon; Carey, Cayelan; Christianson, Ky ...; de Eyto, Elvira; DeGasperi, Curti ...; Grechushnikova, ...; Hejzlar, Josef; Joehnk, Klaus; Jones, Ian D.; Laas, Alo; Mackay, Eleanor ...; Mammarella, Ivan; Markensten, Hamp ...; McBride, Chris; Ozkundakci, Deni ...; Potes, Miguel; Rinke, Karsten; Robertson, Dale; Rusak, James A.; Salgado, Rui; van der Linden, ...; Verburg, Piet; Wain, Danielle; Ward, Nicole K.; Wollrab, Sabine; Zdorovennova, Ga ...; visa färre...

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A framework for ensemble modelling of climate change impacts on lakes worldwide : the ISIMIP Lake Sector

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