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Risk Assessment of ...
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Sundell, Jonas,1984Chalmers tekniska högskola,Chalmers University of Technology
(författare)
Risk Assessment of Groundwater Drawdown in Subsidence Sensitive Areas
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Gothenburg,2018
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electronicrdacarrier
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LIBRIS-ID:oai:research.chalmers.se:a4b5b483-caf8-45be-aa55-6e47b6f76550
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ISBN:9789175977911
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https://research.chalmers.se/publication/505182URI
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Språk:engelska
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Sammanfattning på:engelska
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Ämneskategori:dok swepub-publicationtype
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Ämneskategori:vet swepub-contenttype
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Groundwater leakage into sub-surface constructions can result in drawdown, subsidence in compressible materials, and costly damage to buildings and installations. When planning for sub-surface constructions where there is a risk for land subsidence due to groundwater drawdown, the need for safety measures must be carefully evaluated and managed. Since the sub-surface consists of heterogeneous and anisotropic materials, which cannot be fully investigated in all aspects, decisions regarding safety measures must be taken under uncertainty. In this thesis, a generic framework is presented on how to assess the risk of groundwater drawdown-induced subsidence (Paper I). As specific tools for modelling uncertainties in the groundwater drawdown – subsidence – damage chain, a method for probabilistic modelling of bedrock levels and soil stratification (Paper II) and a method for probabilistic modelling of ground subsidence to a large spatial extent (Paper III) are presented. These are combined with a probabilistic groundwater model and cost functions to calculate the economic risks of subsidence damage between different design alternatives (Paper IV). Finally, a novel method for economic valuation of hydrogeological information is presented in Paper V. The methods presented can distinguish between low and high-risk areas, identify the alternative with the highest net benefit compared to a reference alternative, and estimate the expected benefit of additional information. The methods have been demonstrated to provide useful support for decision-making and communication tools when assessing the risk of large-scale groundwater drawdown-induced subsidence in different infrastructure projects in Sweden.
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Chalmers tekniska högskola
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