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Numrering	Referens	Omslagsbild	Hitta
1.	Galison, Peter, et al. (författare) The Next Generation Event Horizon Telescope Collaboration : History, Philosophy, and Culture 2023 Ingår i: Galaxies. - : MDPI AG. - 2075-4434. ; 11:1 Tidskriftsartikel (refereegranskat)abstract This white paper outlines the plans of the History Philosophy Culture Working Group of the Next Generation Event Horizon Telescope Collaboration.
2.	Hansen, Jens Ulrik, et al. (författare) A Logic-Based Approach to Pluralistic Ignorance 2014 Ingår i: Logic and Interactive RAtionality Yearbook 2012, Volume II. ; , s. 226-245 Bokkapitel (övrigt vetenskapligt/konstnärligt)abstract “Pluralistic ignorance” is a phenomenon mainly studied in social psychology. Viewed as an epistemic phenomenon, one way to define it is as a situation where “no one believes, but everyone believes that everyone else believes”. In this paper various versions of pluralistic ignorance are formalized using epistemic/doxastic logic (based on plausibility models). The motive is twofold. Firstly, the formalizations are used to show that the various versions of pluralistic ignorance are all consistent, thus there is nothing in the phenomenon that necessarily goes against logic. Secondly, pluralistic ignorance, is on many occasions, assumed to be fragile. In this paper, however, it is shown that pluralistic ignorance need not be fragile to announcements of the agents’ beliefs. Hence, to dissolve pluralistic ignorance in general, something more than announcements of the subjective views of the agents is needed. Finally, suggestions to further research are outlined.
3.	Pfeiffer, Thomas, et al. (författare) Predicting the replicability of social and behavioural science claims in a crisis: The COVID-19 Preprint Replication Project 2023 Annan publikation (övrigt vetenskapligt/konstnärligt)abstract Replications are important for assessing the reliability of published findings. However, they are costly, and it is infeasible to replicate everything. Accurate, fast, lower-cost alternatives such as eliciting predictions could accelerate assessment for rapid policy implementation in a crisis. We elicited judgments from participants on 100 claims from preprints about an emerging area of research (COVID-19 pandemic) using an interactive structured elicitation protocol, and we conducted 29 new high-powered replications. After interacting with their peers, participant groups with lower task expertise (‘beginners’) updated their estimates and confidence in their judgements significantly more than groups with greater task expertise (‘experienced’). For experienced individuals, the average accuracy was 0.57 (95% CI: [0.53, 0.61]) after interaction, and they correctly classified 61% of claims; beginners’ average accuracy was 0.58 (95% CI: [0.54, 0.62]), correctly classifying 69% of claims. The difference in accuracy between groups was not statistically significant, and their judgments on the full set of claims were correlated (r=.48). These results suggest that both beginners and more experienced participants using a structured process have some ability to make better-than-chance predictions about the reliability of ‘fast science’ under conditions of high uncertainty. However, given the importance of such assessments for making evidence-based critical decisions in a crisis, more research is required to understand who the right experts in forecasting replicability are and how their judgements ought to be elicited.

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Typ av publikation: annan publikation (1); tidskriftsartikel (1); bokkapitel (1)

Typ av innehåll: övrigt vetenskapligt/konstnärligt (2); refereegranskat (1)

Författare/redaktör: Marcoci, Alexandru (3); Liu, Yang (1); Holzmeister, Felix (1); Johannesson, Magnus (1); Nosek, Brian A. (1); Natarajan, Priyamvad ... (1); visa fler...; Galison, Peter (1); Wintle, Bonnie C. (1); Fedor, Anna (1); Kapoor, Hansika (1); Roozenbeek, Jon (1); van der Linden, Sand ... (1); Christoff, Zoé (1); Smets, Sonja (1); Hansen, Jens Ulrik (1); Fidler, Fiona (1); Enander, Jonas (1); Pfeiffer, Thomas (1); Kolczynska, Marta (1); Buchanan, Erin M. (1); Capitán, Sara (1); Schneider, Mike D. (1); Edlund, John E. (1); Baskin, Ernest (1); Kerr, John (1); Doboszewski, Juliusz (1); Elder, Jamee (1); Martens, Niels C. M. (1); Ashtekar, Abhay (1); Gueguen, Marie (1); Kessler, Elizabeth A ... (1); Lalli, Roberto (1); Lesourd, Martin (1); Murgueitio Ramírez, ... (1); Nguyen, James, 1989- (1); Reyes-Galindo, Luis (1); Ritson, Sophie (1); Skulberg, Emilie (1); Sorgner, Helene (1); Stanley, Matthew (1); Thresher, Ann C. (1); Van Dongen, Jeroen (1); Weatherall, James Ow ... (1); Wu, Jingyi (1); Wüthrich, Adrian (1); Galeazzi, Paolo (1); Gierasimczuk, Nina (1); Hong, Sanghyun (1); Schneider, Claudia R ... (1); Dryhurst, Sarah (1); visa färre...

Lärosäte: Stockholms universitet (1); Lunds universitet (1); Handelshögskolan i Stockholm (1)

Språk: Engelska (3)

Forskningsämne (UKÄ/SCB): Samhällsvetenskap (2); Humaniora (2); Naturvetenskap (1)

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