| 1. |
- Lind, Lars, et al.
(author)
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Heterogeneous contributions of change in population distribution of body mass index to change in obesity and underweight NCD Risk Factor Collaboration (NCD-RisC)
- 2021
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In: eLife. - : eLife Sciences Publications Ltd. - 2050-084X. ; 10
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Journal article (peer-reviewed)abstract
- From 1985 to 2016, the prevalence of underweight decreased, and that of obesity and severe obesity increased, in most regions, with significant variation in the magnitude of these changes across regions. We investigated how much change in mean body mass index (BMI) explains changes in the prevalence of underweight, obesity, and severe obesity in different regions using data from 2896 population-based studies with 187 million participants. Changes in the prevalence of underweight and total obesity, and to a lesser extent severe obesity, are largely driven by shifts in the distribution of BMI, with smaller contributions from changes in the shape of the distribution. In East and Southeast Asia and sub-Saharan Africa, the underweight tail of the BMI distribution was left behind as the distribution shifted. There is a need for policies that address all forms of malnutrition by making healthy foods accessible and affordable, while restricting unhealthy foods through fiscal and regulatory restrictions.
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| 2. |
- Bixby, H., et al.
(author)
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Rising rural body-mass index is the main driver of the global obesity epidemic in adults
- 2019
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In: Nature. - : Springer Science and Business Media LLC. - 0028-0836 .- 1476-4687. ; 569:7755, s. 260-4
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Journal article (peer-reviewed)abstract
- Body-mass index (BMI) has increased steadily in most countries in parallel with a rise in the proportion of the population who live in cities(.)(1,2) This has led to a widely reported view that urbanization is one of the most important drivers of the global rise in obesity(3-6). Here we use 2,009 population-based studies, with measurements of height and weight in more than 112 million adults, to report national, regional and global trends in mean BMI segregated by place of residence (a rural or urban area) from 1985 to 2017. We show that, contrary to the dominant paradigm, more than 55% of the global rise in mean BMI from 1985 to 2017-and more than 80% in some low- and middle-income regions-was due to increases in BMI in rural areas. This large contribution stems from the fact that, with the exception of women in sub-Saharan Africa, BMI is increasing at the same rate or faster in rural areas than in cities in low- and middle-income regions. These trends have in turn resulted in a closing-and in some countries reversal-of the gap in BMI between urban and rural areas in low- and middle-income countries, especially for women. In high-income and industrialized countries, we noted a persistently higher rural BMI, especially for women. There is an urgent need for an integrated approach to rural nutrition that enhances financial and physical access to healthy foods, to avoid replacing the rural undernutrition disadvantage in poor countries with a more general malnutrition disadvantage that entails excessive consumption of low-quality calories.
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| 4. |
- Mishra, A, et al.
(author)
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Diminishing benefits of urban living for children and adolescents' growth and development
- 2023
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In: Nature. - : Springer Science and Business Media LLC. - 1476-4687 .- 0028-0836. ; 615:7954, s. 874-883
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Journal article (peer-reviewed)abstract
- Optimal growth and development in childhood and adolescence is crucial for lifelong health and well-being1–6. Here we used data from 2,325 population-based studies, with measurements of height and weight from 71 million participants, to report the height and body-mass index (BMI) of children and adolescents aged 5–19 years on the basis of rural and urban place of residence in 200 countries and territories from 1990 to 2020. In 1990, children and adolescents residing in cities were taller than their rural counterparts in all but a few high-income countries. By 2020, the urban height advantage became smaller in most countries, and in many high-income western countries it reversed into a small urban-based disadvantage. The exception was for boys in most countries in sub-Saharan Africa and in some countries in Oceania, south Asia and the region of central Asia, Middle East and north Africa. In these countries, successive cohorts of boys from rural places either did not gain height or possibly became shorter, and hence fell further behind their urban peers. The difference between the age-standardized mean BMI of children in urban and rural areas was <1.1 kg m–2 in the vast majority of countries. Within this small range, BMI increased slightly more in cities than in rural areas, except in south Asia, sub-Saharan Africa and some countries in central and eastern Europe. Our results show that in much of the world, the growth and developmental advantages of living in cities have diminished in the twenty-first century, whereas in much of sub-Saharan Africa they have amplified.
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| 6. |
- Larsen, Robert, 1980-
(author)
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Risk-Adjustment for Swedish In-Hospital Trauma Mortality using International Classification of disease Injury Severity Score (ICISS) : issues with description and methods
- 2019
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Doctoral thesis (other academic/artistic)abstract
- IntroductionDifferent methods have been used to describe the epidemiology of trauma with varying results. Crude mortality outcome data differ significantly from risk-adjusted information. A previous standard method for risk-adjustment in trauma was the Injury Severity Score (ISS), although it has several shortcomings. In this thesis I examine Swedish injury statistics from an epidemiological perspective using crude and risk-adjusted mortality, and to adjust for injury I used the International Classification of disease Injury Severity Score (ICISS). The groups of most lethal injuries (fall, traffic, and assault) were examined separately using an ICISS mortality prediction model that focused particularly on the effects on the prediction of mortality by adding coexisting conditions (comorbidity) to it. Differences in mortality between the sexes and changes over time were tested separately.Material and MethodsData from all patients with ICD-10 based diagnoses of injury (ICD-10: V01 to Y36) in the Swedish National Patient Registry and Cause of Death Registry were collected from 1999 to 2012 and used for assessment of mortality and comorbidity. A subgroup (patients in hospital) from 2001-2011 were selected as the study group. Their injuries were in the subgroups of falls, traffic, and assaults, and are the focus of this thesis. Mortality within 30 days of injury was used as the endpoint. The severity of injury was adjusted for using the ICISS, which was first described by Osler et al. The model was also adjusted for age, sex, and comorbidities.ResultsThe study group comprised 815 846 patients (of whom 17 721 died). There was a decrease over time in injuries caused by falls and traffic (coefficient -4.71, p=0.047 and coefficient -5.37, p<0.001), whereas there was no change in assault-related injuries/100 000 inhabitants. The risk-adjusted 30-day mortality showed a decrease in injuries related to traffic and assault (OR 0.95, p<0.001 and OR 0.93, p=0.022) whereas for falls it remained unchanged. There was also a risk-adjusted survival benefit for women, which increased with increasing age. Adjusting for comorbidities made the prediction of 30-day mortality by the ICISS model better (accuracy, calibration, and discrimination). However, most of this effect was found to be the result of the other characteristics of the fall related injury group (they were older, and had more coexisting conditions).ConclusionDuring a 10-year period, there has been a significant overall decrease in crude as well as risk-adjusted mortality for these three injury groups combined. Within these groups there is a clear, risk-adjusted, female survival advantage. The ICISS model for the prediction of mortality improves when comorbidities are added, but this effect is minor and seen mainly among the injuries caused by falls, where comorbidity is significant. The ICISS method was a valuable adjunct in the investigation of data on Swedish mortality after injury that has been gathered from health care registry data.
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| 7. |
- Hartley, Philippa, et al.
(author)
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SKA Science Data Challenge 2: analysis and results
- 2023
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In: Monthly Notices of the Royal Astronomical Society. - 0035-8711 .- 1365-2966. ; 523:2, s. 1967-1993
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Journal article (peer-reviewed)abstract
- The Square Kilometre Array Observatory (SKAO) will explore the radio sky to new depths in order to conduct transformational science. SKAO data products made available to astronomers will be correspondingly large and complex, requiring the application of advanced analysis techniques to extract key science findings. To this end, SKAO is conducting a series of Science Data Challenges, each designed to familiarize the scientific community with SKAO data and to drive the development of new analysis techniques. We present the results from Science Data Challenge 2 (SDC2), which invited participants to find and characterize 233 245 neutral hydrogen (H i) sources in a simulated data product representing a 2000 h SKA-Mid spectral line observation from redshifts 0.25-0.5. Through the generous support of eight international supercomputing facilities, participants were able to undertake the Challenge using dedicated computational resources. Alongside the main challenge, 'reproducibility awards' were made in recognition of those pipelines which demonstrated Open Science best practice. The Challenge saw over 100 participants develop a range of new and existing techniques, with results that highlight the strengths of multidisciplinary and collaborative effort. The winning strategy - which combined predictions from two independent machine learning techniques to yield a 20 per cent improvement in overall performance - underscores one of the main Challenge outcomes: that of method complementarity. It is likely that the combination of methods in a so-called ensemble approach will be key to exploiting very large astronomical data sets.
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| 8. |
- De Brabandere, Heidi, 1980-
(author)
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Organic Phosphorus Compounds in Aquatic Sediments : Towards Molecular Identification with Mass Spectrometry
- 2008
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Doctoral thesis (other academic/artistic)abstract
- Phosphorus (P) regulates trophic status in most aquatic systems. However, only bioavailable P contributes to primary production. In most lakes and shallow seas, mineralisation of sediment P into its bioavailable form and its release to the water column is important for maintaining primary production. Sediment organic P forms a substantial proportion of this P to be mineralised and can originate from different sources on land (farmland, forests, etc.) or from primary production in the lake. These organic P forms can thus be expected to have differing composition, degradability and recyclable P content. Knowledge of the chemical structure of sediment organic P compounds is scarce, mainly due to lack of appropriate analytical techniques. The commonly used 31P-nuclear magnetic resonance (31P-NMR) technique, only identifies P binding groups, so a mass spectrometric (MS) analysis method was developed that allows individual sediment organic P compounds to be identified. EDTA as pre-extractant resulted in the highest P yield in subsequent NaOH extraction. Extracted organic P compound groups were identified using 31P-NMR. For identification of specific P compounds with MS, a sample preparation method prior to electrospray tandem mass spectrometry (ESI-MS/MS) analysis was developed. Liquid chromatography (LC) with porous graphitic carbon prior to ESI-MS/MS enhanced sensitivity and selectivity, enabling several of the ions detected to be identified as nucleotides. 31P-NMR analysis showed P monoesters to be the most stabile P compounds throughout a lake sediment profile. The developed LC-ESI-MS/MS analysis method revealed that some monoester-P (nucleotides) were labile, while other P compounds increased in concentration with Baltic Sea sediment depth and were therefore considered stabile. Differences in patterns of P compounds detected were also shown depending on catchment characteristics in relation to Baltic Sea sediment age. For cost-effective management of eutrophication, knowledge of the sources of degradable organic P forms, contributing to internal loading, is needed. This thesis showed the developed LC-ESI-MS/MS analysis method to be a powerful analytical tool for this purpose.
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