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1.
  • Blunden, Jessica, et al. (författare)
  • State of the climate in 2013
  • 2014
  • Ingår i: Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society. - 0003-0007. ; 95
  • Tidskriftsartikel (refereegranskat)abstract
    • © 2014, American Meteorological Society. All rights reserved. In 2013, the vast majority of the monitored climate variables reported here maintained trends established in recent decades. ENSO was in a neutral state during the entire year, remaining mostly on the cool side of neutral with modest impacts on regional weather patterns around the world. This follows several years dominated by the effects of either La Niña or El Niño events. According to several independent analyses, 2013 was again among the 10 warmest years on record at the global scale, both at the Earth’s surface and through the troposphere. Some regions in the Southern Hemisphere had record or near-record high temperatures for the year. Australia observed its hottest year on record, while Argentina and New Zealand reported their second and third hottest years, respectively. In Antarctica, Amundsen-Scott South Pole Station reported its highest annual temperature since records began in 1957. At the opposite pole, the Arctic observed its seventh warmest year since records began in the early 20th century. At 20-m depth, record high temperatures were measured at some permafrost stations on the North Slope of Alaska and in the Brooks Range. In the Northern Hemisphere extratropics, anomalous meridional atmospheric circulation occurred throughout much of the year, leading to marked regional extremes of both temperature and precipitation. Cold temperature anomalies during winter across Eurasia were followed by warm spring temperature anomalies, which were linked to a new record low Eurasian snow cover extent in May. Minimum sea ice extent in the Arctic was the sixth lowest since satellite observations began in 1979. Including 2013, all seven lowest extents on record have occurred in the past seven years. Antarctica, on the other hand, had above-average sea ice extent throughout 2013, with 116 days of new daily high extent records, including a new daily maximum sea ice area of 19.57 million km2 reached on 1 October. ENSO-neutral conditions in the eastern central Pacific Ocean and a negative Pacific decadal oscillation pattern in the North Pacific had the largest impacts on the global sea surface temperature in 2013. The North Pacific reached a historic high temperature in 2013 and on balance the globally-averaged sea surface temperature was among the 10 highest on record. Overall, the salt content in nearsurface ocean waters increased while in intermediate waters it decreased. Global mean sea level continued to rise during 2013, on pace with a trend of 3.2 mm yr-1 over the past two decades. A portion of this trend (0.5 mm yr-1) has been attributed to natural variability associated with the Pacific decadal oscillation as well as to ongoing contributions from the melting of glaciers and ice sheets and ocean warming. Global tropical cyclone frequency during 2013 was slightly above average with a total of 94 storms, although the North Atlantic Basin had its quietest hurricane season since 1994. In the Western North Pacific Basin, Super Typhoon Haiyan, the deadliest tropical cyclone of 2013, had 1-minute sustained winds estimated to be 170 kt (87.5 m s-1) on 7 November, the highest wind speed ever assigned to a tropical cyclone. High storm surge was also associated with Haiyan as it made landfall over the central Philippines, an area where sea level is currently at historic highs, increasing by 200 mm since 1970. In the atmosphere, carbon dioxide, methane, and nitrous oxide all continued to increase in 2013. As in previous years, each of these major greenhouse gases once again reached historic high concentrations. In the Arctic, carbon dioxide and methane increased at the same rate as the global increase. These increases are likely due to export from lower latitudes rather than a consequence of increases in Arctic sources, such as thawing permafrost. At Mauna Loa, Hawaii, for the first time since measurements began in 1958, the daily average mixing ratio of carbon dioxide exceeded 400 ppm on 9 May. The state of these variables, along with dozens of others, and the 2013 climate conditions of regions around the world are discussed in further detail in this 24th edition of the State of the Climate series.
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2.
  • Arndt, D. S., et al. (författare)
  • State of the Climate in 2016
  • 2017
  • Ingår i: Bulletin of The American Meteorological Society - (BAMS). - 0003-0007 .- 1520-0477. ; 98:8, s. S1-S280
  • Tidskriftsartikel (refereegranskat)abstract
    • In 2016, the dominant greenhouse gases released into Earth's atmosphere-carbon dioxide, methane, and nitrous oxide-continued to increase and reach new record highs. The 3.5 +/- 0.1 ppm rise in global annual mean carbon dioxide from 2015 to 2016 was the largest annual increase observed in the 58-year measurement record. The annual global average carbon dioxide concentration at Earth's surface surpassed 400 ppm (402.9 +/- 0.1 ppm) for the first time in the modern atmospheric measurement record and in ice core records dating back as far as 800000 years. One of the strongest El Nino events since at least 1950 dissipated in spring, and a weak La Nina evolved later in the year. Owing at least in part to the combination of El Nino conditions early in the year and a long-term upward trend, Earth's surface observed record warmth for a third consecutive year, albeit by a much slimmer margin than by which that record was set in 2015. Above Earth's surface, the annual lower troposphere temperature was record high according to all datasets analyzed, while the lower stratospheric temperature was record low according to most of the in situ and satellite datasets. Several countries, including Mexico and India, reported record high annual temperatures while many others observed near-record highs. A week-long heat wave at the end of April over the northern and eastern Indian peninsula, with temperatures surpassing 44 degrees C, contributed to a water crisis for 330 million people and to 300 fatalities. In the Arctic the 2016 land surface temperature was 2.0 degrees C above the 1981-2010 average, breaking the previous record of 2007, 2011, and 2015 by 0.8 degrees C, representing a 3.5 degrees C increase since the record began in 1900. The increasing temperatures have led to decreasing Arctic sea ice extent and thickness. On 24 March, the sea ice extent at the end of the growth season saw its lowest maximum in the 37-year satellite record, tying with 2015 at 7.2% below the 1981-2010 average. The September 2016 Arctic sea ice minimum extent tied with 2007 for the second lowest value on record, 33% lower than the 1981-2010 average. Arctic sea ice cover remains relatively young and thin, making it vulnerable to continued extensive melt. The mass of the Greenland Ice Sheet, which has the capacity to contribute similar to 7 m to sea level rise, reached a record low value. The onset of its surface melt was the second earliest, after 2012, in the 37-year satellite record. Sea surface temperature was record high at the global scale, surpassing the previous record of 2015 by about 0.01 degrees C. The global sea surface temperature trend for the 21st century-to-date of +0.162 degrees C decade(-1) is much higher than the longer term 1950-2016 trend of +0.100 degrees C decade(-1). Global annual mean sea level also reached a new record high, marking the sixth consecutive year of increase. Global annual ocean heat content saw a slight drop compared to the record high in 2015. Alpine glacier retreat continued around the globe, and preliminary data indicate that 2016 is the 37th consecutive year of negative annual mass balance. Across the Northern Hemisphere, snow cover for each month from February to June was among its four least extensive in the 47-year satellite record. Continuing a pattern below the surface, record high temperatures at 20-m depth were measured at all permafrost observatories on the North Slope of Alaska and at the Canadian observatory on northernmost Ellesmere Island. In the Antarctic, record low monthly surface pressures were broken at many stations, with the southern annular mode setting record high index values in March and June. Monthly high surface pressure records for August and November were set at several stations. During this period, record low daily and monthly sea ice extents were observed, with the November mean sea ice extent more than 5 standard deviations below the 1981-2010 average. These record low sea ice values contrast sharply with the record high values observed during 2012-14. Over the region, springtime Antarctic stratospheric ozone depletion was less severe relative to the 1991-2006 average, but ozone levels were still low compared to pre-1990 levels. Closer to the equator, 93 named tropical storms were observed during 2016, above the 1981-2010 average of 82, but fewer than the 101 storms recorded in 2015. Three basins-the North Atlantic, and eastern and western North Pacific-experienced above-normal activity in 2016. The Australian basin recorded its least active season since the beginning of the satellite era in 1970. Overall, four tropical cyclones reached the Saffir-Simpson category 5 intensity level. The strong El Nino at the beginning of the year that transitioned to a weak La Nina contributed to enhanced precipitation variability around the world. Wet conditions were observed throughout the year across southern South America, causing repeated heavy flooding in Argentina, Paraguay, and Uruguay. Wetter-than-usual conditions were also observed for eastern Europe and central Asia, alleviating the drought conditions of 2014 and 2015 in southern Russia. In the United States, California had its first wetter-than-average year since 2012, after being plagued by drought for several years. Even so, the area covered by drought in 2016 at the global scale was among the largest in the post-1950 record. For each month, at least 12% of land surfaces experienced severe drought conditions or worse, the longest such stretch in the record. In northeastern Brazil, drought conditions were observed for the fifth consecutive year, making this the longest drought on record in the region. Dry conditions were also observed in western Bolivia and Peru; it was Bolivia's worst drought in the past 25 years. In May, with abnormally warm and dry conditions already prevailing over western Canada for about a year, the human-induced Fort McMurray wildfire burned nearly 590000 hectares and became the costliest disaster in Canadian history, with $3 billion (U.S. dollars) in insured losses.
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3.
  • Arndt, D. S., et al. (författare)
  • STATE OF THE CLIMATE IN 2017
  • 2018
  • Ingår i: Bulletin of The American Meteorological Society - (BAMS). - : American Meteorological Society. - 0003-0007 .- 1520-0477. ; 99:8, s. S1-S310
  • Forskningsöversikt (refereegranskat)
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4.
  • Ades, M., et al. (författare)
  • Global Climate : in State of the climate in 2019
  • 2020
  • Ingår i: Bulletin of The American Meteorological Society - (BAMS). - : American Meteorological Society. - 0003-0007 .- 1520-0477. ; 101:8, s. S17-S127
  • Tidskriftsartikel (refereegranskat)
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5.
  • Ades, M., et al. (författare)
  • GLOBAL CLIMATE
  • 2020
  • Ingår i: BULLETIN OF THE AMERICAN METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY. - 0003-0007 .- 1520-0477. ; 101:8
  • Tidskriftsartikel (refereegranskat)
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6.
  • Agustí-Panareda, Anna, et al. (författare)
  • Global nature run data with realistic high-resolution carbon weather for the year of the Paris Agreement
  • 2022
  • Ingår i: Scientific Data. - : Springer Science and Business Media LLC. - 2052-4463. ; 9:1
  • Tidskriftsartikel (refereegranskat)abstract
    • The CO2 Human Emissions project has generated realistic high-resolution 9 km global simulations for atmospheric carbon tracers referred to as nature runs to foster carbon-cycle research applications with current and planned satellite missions, as well as the surge of in situ observations. Realistic atmospheric CO2, CH4 and CO fields can provide a reference for assessing the impact of proposed designs of new satellites and in situ networks and to study atmospheric variability of the tracers modulated by the weather. The simulations spanning 2015 are based on the Copernicus Atmosphere Monitoring Service forecasts at the European Centre for Medium Range Weather Forecasts, with improvements in various model components and input data such as anthropogenic emissions, in preparation of a CO2 Monitoring and Verification Support system. The relative contribution of different emissions and natural fluxes towards observed atmospheric variability is diagnosed by additional tagged tracers in the simulations. The evaluation of such high-resolution model simulations can be used to identify model deficiencies and guide further model improvements.
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7.
  • Albeck, Michael J, et al. (författare)
  • A controlled comparison of myelography, computed tomography, and magnetic resonance imaging in clinically suspected lumbar disc herniation
  • 1995
  • Ingår i: Spine. - 0362-2436. ; 20:4, s. 443-448
  • Tidskriftsartikel (refereegranskat)abstract
    • STUDY DESIGN. A controlled prospective blinded study. OBJECTIVES. To compare the diagnostic power of myelography, computed tomography and magnetic resonance imaging in the diagnosis of low lumbar disc herniation. METHODS. Eighty patients with monoradicular sciatica were examined by myelography, computed tomography, and magnetic resonance imaging, and all underwent subsequent surgery. The images were evaluated twice in a blinded fashion, and the diagnostic power of the modalities was expressed by a decision-analytic regret function. RESULTS. In 57 patients (71%) a disc herniation at the expected level was disclosed at surgery. The largest amount of diagnostic information was gained from computed tomography, followed by magnetic resonance imaging and myelography. Both computed tomography and magnetic resonance imaging were significantly informative, whereas this was not the case for myelography. CONCLUSION. The results indicate that computed tomography or magnetic resonance imaging should be the first choice for imaging in patients with suspected lumbar disc herniation.
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8.
  • Borrelli, Pablo, et al. (författare)
  • Artificial intelligence-based detection of lymph node metastases by PET/CT predicts prostate cancer-specific survival
  • 2021
  • Ingår i: Clinical Physiology and Functional Imaging. - : Wiley. - 1475-0961 .- 1475-097X. ; 41:1, s. 62-67
  • Tidskriftsartikel (refereegranskat)abstract
    • Introduction Lymph node metastases are a key prognostic factor in prostate cancer (PCa), but detecting lymph node lesions from PET/CT images is a subjective process resulting in inter-reader variability. Artificial intelligence (AI)-based methods can provide an objective image analysis. We aimed at developing and validating an AI-based tool for detection of lymph node lesions. Methods A group of 399 patients with biopsy-proven PCa who had undergone(18)F-choline PET/CT for staging prior to treatment were used to train (n = 319) and test (n = 80) the AI-based tool. The tool consisted of convolutional neural networks using complete PET/CT scans as inputs. In the test set, the AI-based lymph node detections were compared to those of two independent readers. The association with PCa-specific survival was investigated. Results The AI-based tool detected more lymph node lesions than Reader B (98 vs. 87/117;p = .045) using Reader A as reference. AI-based tool and Reader A showed similar performance (90 vs. 87/111;p = .63) using Reader B as reference. The number of lymph node lesions detected by the AI-based tool, PSA, and curative treatment was significantly associated with PCa-specific survival. Conclusion This study shows the feasibility of using an AI-based tool for automated and objective interpretation of PET/CT images that can provide assessments of lymph node lesions comparable with that of experienced readers and prognostic information in PCa patients.
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11.
  • Kaboteh, Reza, et al. (författare)
  • Convolutional neural network based quantification of choline uptake in PET/CT studies is associated with overall survival in patients with prostate cancer
  • 2017
  • Ingår i: European Journal of Nuclear Medicine and Molecular Imaging. - 1619-7070 .- 1619-7089. ; 44:supplement 2
  • Tidskriftsartikel (refereegranskat)abstract
    • Aim : To develop a convolutional neural network (CNN) based automated method for quantification of 18F-choline uptake in the prostate gland in PET/CT studies and to study the association between this measure, clinical data and overall survival in patients with prostate cancer. Methods : A CNN was trained to segment the prostate gland in CT images using manual segmentations performed by a radiologist in a group of 100 patients, who had undergone 18F-FDG PET/CT. After the training process, the CNN automatically segmented the prostate gland in the CT images and SUV values in the corresponding PET images were automatically analyzed in a separate validation group consisting of 45 patients with biopsy-proven hormone-naïve prostate cancer. All patients had undergone an 18F-choline PET/CT as part of a previous research project. Voxels localized in the prostate gland and having a SUV >2.65 were defined as abnormal, as proposed by Reske S et al. (2006). Automated calculation of the following five PET measurements was performed: maximal SUV within the prostate gland - SUVmax; average SUV for voxels with SUV >2.65 - SUVmean; volume of voxels with SUV >2.65 - VOL; fraction of VOL related to the whole volume of the prostate gland - FRAC; product SUVmean x FRAC defined as Total Lesion Uptake - TLU. The association between the automated PET measurements, age, PSA, Gleason score and overall survival (OS) was evaluated using a univariate Cox proportional hazards regression model. Kaplan-Meier analysis was used to estimate the survival difference (log-rank test). Results : TLU and FRAC were significantly associated with OS in the Cox analysis while the other three PET measurements; age, PSA and Gleason score were not. Kaplan-Meier analysis showed that patients with SUVmax <5.3, SUVmean <3.5 and TLU <1 showed significantly longer survival times than patients with values higher than these thresholds. No significant differences were found when patients were stratified based on the other two PET measurements, PSA or Gleason score. Conclusion : Measurements reflecting 18F-choline PET uptake in the prostate gland obtained using a completely automated method were significantly associated with OS in patients with hormone-naïve prostate cancer. This type of objective quantification of PET/CT studies could be of value also for other PET tracers and other cancers in the future.
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12.
  • Larsen, Anders Hostrup, et al. (författare)
  • A randomised, double-blind, placebo-controlled trial of metformin on myocardial efficiency in insulin-resistant chronic heart failure patients without diabetes
  • 2020
  • Ingår i: European Journal of Heart Failure. - : WILEY. - 1388-9842 .- 1879-0844. ; 22:9, s. 1628-1637
  • Tidskriftsartikel (refereegranskat)abstract
    • AimsThe present study tested the hypothesis that metformin treatment may increase myocardial efficiency (stroke work/myocardial oxygen consumption) in insulin-resistant patients with heart failure and reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF) without diabetes. Methods and resultsThirty-six HFrEF patients (ejection fraction 378%; median age 66years) were randomised to metformin (n = 19) or placebo (n = 17) for 3months in addition to standard heart failure therapy. The primary endpoint was change in myocardial efficiency expressed as the work metabolic index (WMI), assessed by C-11-acetate positron emission tomography and transthoracic echocardiography. Compared with placebo, metformin treatment (1450 +/- 550 mg/day) increased WMI [absolute mean difference, 1.0mmHg.mL.m(-2).10(6); 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.1 to 1.8; P = 0.03], equivalent to a 20% relative efficiency increase. Patients with above-median plasma metformin levels displayed greater WMI increase (25% vs. -4%; P = 0.02). Metformin reduced myocardial oxygen consumption (-1.6mL O-2.100 g(-1).min(-1); P = 0.014). Cardiac stroke work was preserved (-2J; 95% CI -11 to 7; P = 0.69). Metformin reduced body weight (-2.2kg; 95% CI -3.6 to -0.8; P = 0.003) and glycated haemoglobin levels (-0.2%; 95% CI -0.3 to 0.0; P = 0.02). Changes in resting and exercise ejection fraction, global longitudinal strain, and exercise capacity did not differ between groups. ConclusionMetformin treatment in non-diabetic HFrEF patients improved myocardial efficiency by reducing myocardial oxygen consumption. Measurement of circulating metformin levels differentiated responders from non-responders. These energy-sparing effects of metformin encourage further large-scale investigations in heart failure patients without diabetes.
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13.
  • Sadik, May, 1970, et al. (författare)
  • Analytical validation of an automated method for segmentation of the prostate gland in CT images
  • 2017
  • Ingår i: European Journal of Nuclear Medicine and Molecular Imaging. - : Springer Science and Business Media LLC. - 1619-7070 .- 1619-7089. ; 44:supplement issue 2
  • Tidskriftsartikel (refereegranskat)abstract
    • Aim : Uptake of PET tracers in the prostate gland may serve as guidance for management of patients with prostate cancer. PET studies alone do, however, not allow for accurate segmentation of the gland, instead the corresponding CT images contain the required anatomical information. Our long-term aim is to develop an objectively measured PET/CT imaging biomarker reflecting PET tracer uptake. In this study we take the first step and develop and validate a completely automated method for 3D-segmentation of the prostate gland in CT images. Methods : A convolutional neural network (CNN) was trained to segment the prostate gland in CT images using manual segmentations performed by a radiologist in a group of 100 patients, who had undergone 18F-FDG PET/CT. After the training process, the CNN automatically segmented the prostate gland in CT images in a separate validation group consisting of 45 patients with prostate cancer. All patients had undergone a 18F-choline PET/CT as part of a previous research project. The CNN segmentations were compared to manual segmentations performed independently by two radiologists. The volume of the prostate gland was calculated based on segmentations by the CNN and radiologists. The Sørensen-Dice index was used to analyse the overlap between the segmentations by the CNN and the two radiologists. Results : The prostate volumes were on average 79mL (range 9-212mL) in the 45 patients, measured as mean volumes for the two radiologists. The mean difference in prostate volumes between the two radiologists was 14mL (SD 29mL). The mean volume difference between the CNN segmentation and the mean values from the two radiologists was 22mL (SD 43mL). For the subgroup of patients with prostate volumes <100 mL (n=36), the difference between the radiologists was 9mL (SD 11mL) compared to difference CNN vs radiologists of 7mL (SD 15mL). The Sørensen-Dice index was 0.69 and 0.70 for the comparison between CNN segmentation and the two radiologists, respectively and 0.83 for the comparison between the two radiologists. The corresponding Sørensen-Dice index in the 36 patients with volumes <100 mL were 0.74, 0.75 and 0.83, respectively  Conclusion : Our CNN based method for automated segmentation of the prostate gland in CT images show good agreement with the corresponding manual segmentations by two radiologists especially for prostade glands with a volume less than 100 mL.
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14.
  • Sadik, May, 1970, et al. (författare)
  • Convolutional neural networks for segmentation of 49 selected bones in CT images show high reproducibility
  • 2017
  • Ingår i: European Journal of Nuclear Medicine and Molecular Imaging. - 1619-7070 .- 1619-7089. ; 44:Supplement 2
  • Tidskriftsartikel (refereegranskat)abstract
    • Aim : An automated method to calculate Bone Scan Index (BSI) from bone scans has recently been established as a first imaging biomarker in patients with metastatic prostate cancer. BSI has shown to be an independent predictor of survival. PET/CT is more accurate than bone scans in detecting bone metastases. We therefore decided to develop an automated PET/CT based imaging biomarker for assessment of tumor burden in bone. The aim of this project was to develop a method for automated segmentation and volume calculation of bones in CT images, which is the first step in the process of developing a PET/CT based imaging biomarker. Materials and Methods : Convolutional neural networks (CNN) were trained to segment 49 selected bones (12 thoracic vertebrae, 5 lumbar vertebrae, sacrum, 2 hip bones, 24 ribs, 2 scapulae, 2 clavicles and the sternum) using manual segmentations in CT images from 23 patients performed by experienced image readers. Anatomical landmarks were detected using a CNN and pruned using a shape model. These landmarks and the CT image were fed to a second CNN, segmenting the 49 selected bones. After the training process, the CNN segmented the bones in CT images in a separate validation group consisting of 46 patients with prostate cancer. All patients had undergone both 18F-Choline and 18F-NaF PET/CT within a time frame of 3 weeks as part of a previous research project. The two CT scans from each patient were segmented by the CNN and the two volumes of each bone were calculated. Results : The total volume of the 49 bones was on average 3,086 mL in the 46 patients. The individual bones ranged in volume from 8 mL (left 12th rib) to 440 mL (left hip bone). The reproducibility measured as ratio volume difference/mean volume was on average less than 2% for all bones except for the ribs. The mean volumes, differences and reproducibility for the bones of five anatomical regions were as follow: thoracic vertebrae 39mL, 0.6mL, 1.5%; lumbar vertebra 71mL, 0.8 mL, 1.2%; sacrum, hip bones 386mL, 0.9mL, 0.3%; ribs 26mL, 2.0mL, 8.5%; scapulae, clavicles, sternum 97mL, -0.1mL, -0.4%. Conclusion : Our CNN based method for automated segmentation of bones in CT images showed high reproducibility. A reproducible way to segment the skeleton and to measure the bone volume will be important in the development of a PET index relating volumes of abnormal PET tracer uptake to the bone volume.
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