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Harnessing advances...
Harnessing advances in computer simulation to inform policy and planning to reduce alcohol-related harms
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Atkinson, Jo-An (author)
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Knowles, Dylan (author)
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Wiggers, John (author)
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Livingston, Michael (author)
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- Room, Robin (author)
- Stockholms universitet,Centrum för socialvetenskaplig alkohol- och drogforskning (SoRAD),La Trobe University, Australia
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Prodan, Ante (author)
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McDonnell, Geoff (author)
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O'Donnell, Eloise (author)
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Jones, Sandra (author)
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Haber, Paul S. (author)
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Muscatello, David (author)
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Ezard, Nadine (author)
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Phung, Nghi (author)
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Freebairn, Louise (author)
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Indig, Devon (author)
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Rychetnik, Lucie (author)
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Ananthapavan, Jaithri (author)
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Wutzke, Sonia (author)
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(creator_code:org_t)
- 2017-10-19
- 2018
- English.
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In: International Journal of Public Health. - : Springer Science and Business Media LLC. - 1661-8556 .- 1661-8564. ; 63:4, s. 537-546
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https://doi.org/10.1...
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Abstract
Subject headings
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- Alcohol misuse is a complex systemic problem. The aim of this study was to explore the feasibility of using a transparent and participatory agent-based modelling approach to develop a robust decision support tool to test alcohol policy scenarios before they are implemented in the real world. A consortium of Australia's leading alcohol experts was engaged to collaboratively develop an agent-based model of alcohol consumption behaviour and related harms. As a case study, four policy scenarios were examined. A 19.5 +/- 2.5% reduction in acute alcohol-related harms was estimated with the implementation of a 3 a.m. licensed venue closing time plus 1 a.m. lockout; and a 9 +/- 2.6% reduction in incidence was estimated with expansion of treatment services to reach 20% of heavy drinkers. Combining the two scenarios produced a 33.3 +/- 2.7% reduction in the incidence of acute alcohol-related harms, suggesting a synergistic effect. This study demonstrates the feasibility of participatory development of a contextually relevant computer simulation model of alcohol-related harms and highlights the value of the approach in identifying potential policy responses that best leverage limited resources.
Subject headings
- MEDICIN OCH HÄLSOVETENSKAP -- Hälsovetenskap (hsv//swe)
- MEDICAL AND HEALTH SCIENCES -- Health Sciences (hsv//eng)
Keyword
- Agent-based modelling
- Alcohol-related harm
- Prevention policy
- Evidence synthesis
Publication and Content Type
- ref (subject category)
- art (subject category)
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- By the author/editor
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Atkinson, Jo-An
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Knowles, Dylan
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Wiggers, John
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Livingston, Mich ...
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Room, Robin
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Prodan, Ante
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show more...
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McDonnell, Geoff
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O'Donnell, Elois ...
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Jones, Sandra
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Haber, Paul S.
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Muscatello, Davi ...
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Ezard, Nadine
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Phung, Nghi
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Freebairn, Louis ...
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Indig, Devon
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Rychetnik, Lucie
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Ananthapavan, Ja ...
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Wutzke, Sonia
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show less...
- About the subject
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- MEDICAL AND HEALTH SCIENCES
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MEDICAL AND HEAL ...
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and Health Sciences
- Articles in the publication
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International Jo ...
- By the university
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Stockholm University
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Karolinska Institutet