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Recent and future t...
Recent and future trends in sea surface temperature across the persian gulf and gulf of Oman
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- Noori, Roohollah (författare)
- University of Tehran,Tsinghua University
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- Tian, Fuqiang (författare)
- Tsinghua University
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- Berndtsson, Ronny (författare)
- Lund University,Lunds universitet,Avdelningen för Teknisk vattenresurslära,Institutionen för bygg- och miljöteknologi,Institutioner vid LTH,Lunds Tekniska Högskola,Centrum för Mellanösternstudier (CMES),Samhällsvetenskapliga institutioner och centrumbildningar,Samhällsvetenskapliga fakulteten,Division of Water Resources Engineering,Department of Building and Environmental Technology,Departments at LTH,Faculty of Engineering, LTH,Centre for Advanced Middle Eastern Studies (CMES),Departments of Administrative, Economic and Social Sciences,Faculty of Social Sciences
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- Abbasi, Mahmud Reza (författare)
- Iranian National Institute for Oceanography and Atmospheric Science
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- Naseh, Mohammadreza Vesali (författare)
- Arak University
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- Modabberi, Anahita (författare)
- University of Tehran
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- Soltani, Ali (författare)
- University of Tehran
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- Kløve, Bjørn (författare)
- University of Oulu
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(creator_code:org_t)
- 2019-02-28
- 2019
- Engelska.
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Ingår i: PLoS ONE. - : Public Library of Science (PLoS). - 1932-6203. ; 14:2
- Relaterad länk:
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http://dx.doi.org/10... (free)
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https://journals.plo...
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https://lup.lub.lu.s...
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https://doi.org/10.1...
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Abstract
Ämnesord
Stäng
- Climate change's effect on sea surface temperature (SST) at the regional scale vary due to driving forces that include potential changes in ocean circulation and internal climate variability, ice cover, thermal stability, and ocean mixing layer depth. For a better understanding of future effects, it is important to analyze historical changes in SST at regional scales and test prediction techniques. In this study, the variation in SST across the Persian Gulf and Gulf of Oman (PG&GO) during the past four decades was analyzed and predicted to the end of 21st century using a proper orthogonal decomposition (POD) model. As input, daily optimum interpolation SST anomaly (DOISSTA) data, available from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration of the United States, were used. Descriptive analyses and POD results demonstrated a gradually increasing trend in DOISSTA in the PG&GO over the past four decades. The spatial distribution of DOISSTA indicated: (1) that shallow parts of the Persian Gulf have experienced minimum and maximum values of DOISSTA and (2) high variability in DOISSTA in shallow parts of the Persian Gulf, including some parts of southern and northwestern coasts. Prediction of future SST using the POD model revealed the highest warming during summer in the entire PG&GO by 2100 and the lowest warming during fall and winter in the Persian Gulf and Gulf of Oman, respectively. The model indicated that monthly SST in the Persian Gulf may increase by up to 4.3 °C in August by the turn of the century. Similarly, mean annual changes in SST across the PG&GO may increase by about 2.2 °C by 2100.
Ämnesord
- NATURVETENSKAP -- Geovetenskap och miljövetenskap -- Oceanografi, hydrologi och vattenresurser (hsv//swe)
- NATURAL SCIENCES -- Earth and Related Environmental Sciences -- Oceanography, Hydrology and Water Resources (hsv//eng)
Publikations- och innehållstyp
- art (ämneskategori)
- ref (ämneskategori)
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