A Hybrid Modelling Approach for Traffic State Estimation at Signalized Intersections

• Traffic state estimation is an important part of the traffic control process and aims to creates an accurate understanding of the current situation in traffic system. Bayesian Filtering is a statistical modelling framework that is useful in representing traffic state update as well as the relation between traffic state and detection data. This study develops a hybrid approach and uses non-parametric Gaussian Process (GP) to model the state-space transition of traffic system. Through representing the system models as either fully data-driven GP or as a hybrid model using a parametric mean function fusing the conventional principle of traffic flow with the data-driven approach, the requirement of an analytical model can be removed or relaxed. The computational results show that the proposed approach for lane based TSE can capture both short-term fluctuations and larger demand changes. In particular, the Bayesian nature of the GP models offer relative ease in quantifying the model uncertainties in combination with a conventional traffic flow model.

Ämnesord

TEKNIK OCH TEKNOLOGIER  -- Samhällsbyggnadsteknik -- Transportteknik och logistik (hsv//swe)

ENGINEERING AND TECHNOLOGY  -- Civil Engineering -- Transport Systems and Logistics (hsv//eng)

Nyckelord

State estimation

Street traffic control

Traffic signals

Bayesian filtering

Control process

Current situation

Gaussian Processes

Hybrid model

Modeling approach

Signalized intersection

Traffic state

Traffic systems

Traffic-state estimations

Uncertainty analysis

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