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Identifying energy model fingerprints in mitigation scenarios

Dekker, Mark M. (författare)
PBL Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency, The Hague, Netherlands; Copernicus Institute of Sustainable Development, Utrecht University, Utrecht, Netherlands
Daioglou, Vassilis (författare)
PBL Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency, The Hague, Netherlands; Copernicus Institute of Sustainable Development, Utrecht University, Utrecht, Netherlands
Pietzcker, Robert (författare)
Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, Potsdam, Germany
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Rodrigues, Renato (författare)
Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, Potsdam, Germany
de Boer, Harmen Sytze (författare)
PBL Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency, The Hague, Netherlands
Dalla Longa, Francesco (författare)
TNO Energy and Materials Transition, Amsterdam, Netherlands
Drouet, Laurent (författare)
RFF‐CMCC European Institute on Economics and the Environment (EIEE), Centro Euro‐Mediterraneo sui Cambiamenti Climatici, Bologna, Italy
Emmerling, Johannes (författare)
RFF‐CMCC European Institute on Economics and the Environment (EIEE), Centro Euro‐Mediterraneo sui Cambiamenti Climatici, Bologna, Italy
Fattahi, Amir (författare)
TNO Energy and Materials Transition, Amsterdam, Netherlands
Fotiou, Theofano (författare)
E3-Modelling SA, Athens, Greece
Fragkos, Panagiotis (författare)
E3-Modelling SA, Athens, Greece
Fricko, Oliver (författare)
Energy, Climate and Environment (ECE) Program, International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (IIASA), Laxenburg, Austria
Gusheva, Ema (författare)
Faculty of Technology, Policy and Management, Delft University of Technology, Delft, Netherlands
Harmsen, Mathijs (författare)
PBL Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency, The Hague, Netherlands; Copernicus Institute of Sustainable Development, Utrecht University, Utrecht, Netherlands
Huppmann, Daniel (författare)
Energy, Climate and Environment (ECE) Program, International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (IIASA), Laxenburg, Austria
Kannavou, Maria (författare)
E3-Modelling SA, Athens, Greece
Krey, Volker (författare)
Energy, Climate and Environment (ECE) Program, International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (IIASA), Laxenburg, Austria
Lombardi, Francesco (författare)
Faculty of Technology, Policy and Management, Delft University of Technology, Delft, Netherlands
Luderer, Gunnar (författare)
Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, Potsdam, Germany; Technical University Berlin, Berlin, Germany
Pfenninger, Stefan (författare)
Faculty of Technology, Policy and Management, Delft University of Technology, Delft, Netherlands
Tsiropoulos, Ioannis (författare)
E3-Modelling SA, Athens, Greece
Zakeri, Behnam (författare)
Energy, Climate and Environment (ECE) Program, International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (IIASA), Laxenburg, Austria
van der Zwaan, Bob (författare)
TNO Energy and Materials Transition, Amsterdam, Netherlands; Faculty of Science, University of Amsterdam, Amsterdam, Netherlands; SAIS Europe, Johns Hopkins University, Bologna, Italy
Usher, William, Dr, 1982- (författare)
KTH,Energisystem
van Vuuren, Detlef (författare)
PBL Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency, The Hague, Netherlands; Copernicus Institute of Sustainable Development, Utrecht University, Utrecht, Netherlands
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 (creator_code:org_t)
Springer Nature, 2023
2023
Engelska.
Ingår i: Nature Energy. - : Springer Nature. - 2058-7546. ; 8:12, s. 1395-1404
  • Tidskriftsartikel (refereegranskat)
Abstract Ämnesord
Stäng  
  • Energy models are used to study emissions mitigation pathways, such as those compatible with the Paris Agreement goals. These models vary in structure, objectives, parameterization and level of detail, yielding differences in the computed energy and climate policy scenarios. To study model differences, diagnostic indicators are common practice in many academic fields, for example, in the physical climate sciences. However, they have not yet been applied systematically in mitigation literature, beyond addressing individual model dimensions. Here we address this gap by quantifying energy model typology along five dimensions: responsiveness, mitigation strategies, energy supply, energy demand and mitigation costs and effort, each expressed through several diagnostic indicators. The framework is applied to a diagnostic experiment with eight energy models in which we explore ten scenarios focusing on Europe. Comparing indicators to the ensemble yields comprehensive ‘energy model fingerprints’, which describe systematic model behaviour and contextualize model differences for future multi-model comparison studies.

Ämnesord

TEKNIK OCH TEKNOLOGIER  -- Naturresursteknik -- Energisystem (hsv//swe)
ENGINEERING AND TECHNOLOGY  -- Environmental Engineering -- Energy Systems (hsv//eng)

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