Lavinprognoser för svenska fjällen : Utvärdering av ett utvecklingsprojekt vintern 2011 och 2012

• This report describes an evaluation of a two-year development project with the overall aim to clarify the conditions for establishing a cost-effective, long-term and sustainable avalanche forecasting service for the entire Swedish mountains based on international guidelines and collaborations.The goal of the evaluation was to answer whether and how the development project three main tasks had been completed. The main tasks were: 1. Develop regional avalanche forecasts for the Swedish mountains 2. Develop communication of avalanche forecasts to end-users3. Develop international collaborationsThe project team has used a formative method to conduct the evaluation. This work has included formal evaluation meetings, methodological studies, participation in research conferences, compilation and analysis of existing work, internal and external interviews and comparisons with international research and experience. The report has also been submitted to all organizations in the Swedish Environmental Protection Agency's Mountain Safety Council as a final quality control.The results of the evaluation shows that the development project has had a high task completion. This report presents a quality-assured method to produce credible and clearly communicated avalanche forecasts based on international guidelines and collaborations. The report stresses that it is both possible and relevant with governmental avalanche forecasts for the whole of the Swedish mountains.The evaluation has also found that the quality of avalanche forecasts was high and most likely has reflect the actual avalanche danger during the forecast periods. The report also highlights the great interest from the public, community and media in avalanche safety. Moreover, it is shown that the development project's avalanche forecasts has been costeffective in an international comparison.In the evaluation project, two important conclusions were drawn. First, it is highly relevant and economically viable with avalanche forecasting in order to alert and educate the public in avalanche safety. Second, it must be decided which authority should be responsible, to be able to established a long term avalanche forecasting service.

Ämnesord

TEKNIK OCH TEKNOLOGIER  -- Samhällsbyggnadsteknik -- Geoteknik (hsv//swe)

ENGINEERING AND TECHNOLOGY  -- Civil Engineering -- Geotechnical Engineering (hsv//eng)

NATURVETENSKAP  -- Geovetenskap och miljövetenskap -- Miljövetenskap (hsv//swe)

NATURAL SCIENCES  -- Earth and Related Environmental Sciences -- Environmental Sciences (hsv//eng)

Nyckelord

Soil Mechanics

Geoteknik

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