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Five challenges for...
Five challenges for stochastic epidemic models involving global transmission
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- Britton, Tom (author)
- Stockholms universitet,Matematiska institutionen
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House, Thomas (author)
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Lloyd, Alun L. (author)
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Mollison, Denis (author)
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Riley, Steven (author)
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- Trapman, Pieter (author)
- Stockholms universitet,Matematiska institutionen
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(creator_code:org_t)
- Elsevier BV, 2015
- 2015
- English.
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In: Epidemics. - : Elsevier BV. - 1755-4365 .- 1878-0067. ; 10, s. 54-57
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Abstract
Subject headings
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- The most basic stochastic epidemic models are those involving global transmission, meaning that infection rates depend only on the type and state of the individuals involved, and not on their location in the population. Simple as they are, there are still several open problems for such models. For example, when will such an epidemic go extinct and with what probability (questions depending on the population being fixed, changing or growing)? How can a model be defined explaining the sometimes observed scenario of frequent mid-sized epidemic outbreaks? How can evolution of the infectious agent transmission rates be modelled and fitted to data in a robust way?
Subject headings
- MEDICIN OCH HÄLSOVETENSKAP -- Hälsovetenskap (hsv//swe)
- MEDICAL AND HEALTH SCIENCES -- Health Sciences (hsv//eng)
- NATURVETENSKAP -- Matematik (hsv//swe)
- NATURAL SCIENCES -- Mathematics (hsv//eng)
Keyword
- Stochastic epidemics
- Global transmission
- Extinction
- Genetic evolution
- Endemicity
Publication and Content Type
- ref (subject category)
- art (subject category)
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