id:"swepub:oai:DiVA.org:su-35471"
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- Camitz, Martin (author)
The effect of time distribution shape on a complex epidemic model
- Article/chapterEnglish2009
Publisher, publication year, extent ...
- 2009-05-28
- Springer Science and Business Media LLC,2009
- printrdacarrier
Numbers
- LIBRIS-ID:oai:DiVA.org:su-35471
- https://urn.kb.se/resolve?urn=urn:nbn:se:su:diva-35471URI
- https://doi.org/10.1007/s11538-009-9430-xDOI
- http://kipublications.ki.se/Default.aspx?queryparsed=id:119482147URI
Supplementary language notes
- Language:English
- Summary in:English
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Notes
- In elaborating a model of the progress of an epidemic, it is necessary to make assumptions about the distributions of latency times and infectious times. In many models, the often implicit assumption is that these times are independent and exponentially distributed. We explore the effects of altering the distribution of latency and infectious times in a complex epidemic model with regional divisions connected by a travel intensity matrix. We show a delay in spread with more realistic latency times. More realistic infectiousness times lead to faster epidemics. The effects are similar but accentuated when compared to a purely homogeneous mixing model.
Subject headings and genre
- NATURVETENSKAP Matematik Sannolikhetsteori och statistik hsv//swe
- NATURAL SCIENCES Mathematics Probability Theory and Statistics hsv//eng
- Prevention and control
- Stochastic process
- Epidemiology
- Infectious time
- Latency time
- Epidemic model
- Mathematical statistics
- Matematisk statistik
- Mathematical Statistics
- matematisk statistik
Added entries (persons, corporate bodies, meetings, titles ...)
- Svensson, Åke,1946-Stockholms universitet,Matematiska institutionen(Swepub:su)akes (author)
- Stockholms universitetMatematiska institutionen (creator_code:org_t)
Related titles
- In:Bulletin of Mathematical Biology: Springer Science and Business Media LLC71:8, s. 1902-19130092-82401522-9602
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- Karolinska Institutet
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