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Biomass offsets lit...
Biomass offsets little or none of permafrost carbon release from soils, streams, and wildfire : an expert assessment
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- Abbott, Benjamin W. (author)
- Univ Rennes 1, OSUR, CNRS, UMR ECOBIO 6553, F-35014 Rennes, France.;Univ Alaska Fairbanks, Inst Arctic Biol, Fairbanks, AK USA.;Univ Alaska Fairbanks, Dept Biology& Wildlife, Fairbanks, AK USA.
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- Jones, Jeremy B. (author)
- Univ Alaska Fairbanks, Inst Arctic Biol, Fairbanks, AK USA.;Univ Alaska Fairbanks, Dept Biology& Wildlife, Fairbanks, AK USA.
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- Schuur, Edward A. G. (author)
- No Arizona Univ, Ctr Ecosyst Sci & Soc, Flagstaff, AZ 86011 USA.
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show more...
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- Chapin, F. Stuart, III (author)
- Univ Alaska Fairbanks, Inst Arctic Biol, Fairbanks, AK USA.;Univ Alaska Fairbanks, Dept Biology& Wildlife, Fairbanks, AK USA.
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- Bowden, William B. (author)
- Univ Vermont, Rubenstein Sch Environm & Nat Resources, Burlington, VT 05405 USA.
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- Bret-Harte, M. Syndonia (author)
- Univ Alaska Fairbanks, Inst Arctic Biol, Fairbanks, AK USA.;Univ Alaska Fairbanks, Dept Biology& Wildlife, Fairbanks, AK USA.
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- Epstein, Howard E. (author)
- Univ Virginia, Dept Environm Sci, Charlottesville, VA 22903 USA.
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- Flannigan, Michael D. (author)
- Univ Alberta, Dept Renewable Resources, Edmonton, AB T6G 2M7, Canada.
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- Harms, Tamara K. (author)
- Univ Alaska Fairbanks, Inst Arctic Biol, Fairbanks, AK USA.;Univ Alaska Fairbanks, Dept Biology& Wildlife, Fairbanks, AK USA.
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- Hollingsworth, Teresa N. (author)
- Univ Alaska Fairbanks, PNW Res Stn, USDA Forest Serv, Fairbanks, AK USA.
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- Mack, Michelle C. (author)
- No Arizona Univ, Ctr Ecosyst Sci & Soc, Flagstaff, AZ 86011 USA.,Ecole Prat Hautes Etud, UMR5023, CNRS Lyon 1, Lyon, France.,Univ Toronto, Toronto, ON M5S 1A1, Canada.
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- McGuire, A. David (author)
- Univ Alaska Fairbanks, Alaska Cooperat Fish & Wildlife Res Unit, US Geol Survey, Anchorage, AK USA.
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- Natali, Susan M. (author)
- Woods Hole Res Ctr, Woods Hole, MA USA.
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- Rocha, Adrian V. (author)
- Univ Notre Dame, Dept Biol Sci, Notre Dame, IN 46556 USA.;Univ Notre Dame, Environm Change Initiat, Notre Dame, IN 46556 USA.
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- Tank, Suzanne E. (author)
- Univ Alberta, Dept Biol Sci, Edmonton, AB T6G 2M7, Canada.
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- Turetsky, Merritt R. (author)
- Univ Guelph, Dept Integrat Biol, Guelph, ON N1G 2W1, Canada.
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- Vonk, Jorien E. (author)
- Vrije Univ Amsterdam, Dept Earth Sci, Amsterdam, Netherlands.
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- Wickland, Kimberly P. (author)
- US Geol Survey, Natl Res Program, Boulder, CO USA.
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- Aiken, George R. (author)
- US Geol Survey, Natl Res Program, Boulder, CO USA.
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- Alexander, Heather D. (author)
- Mississippi State Univ, Forest & Wildlife Res Ctr, Mississippi State, MS 39762 USA.
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- Amon, Rainer M. W. (author)
- Texas A&M Univ, Galveston, TX USA.
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- Benscoter, Brian W. (author)
- Florida Atlantic Univ, Boca Raton, FL 33431 USA.
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- Bergeron, Yves (author)
- Univ Quebec Abitibi Temiscamingue, Forest Res Inst, Rouyn Noranda, PQ, Canada.
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- Bishop, Kevin (author)
- Uppsala universitet,Swedish University of Agricultural Sciences,Sveriges lantbruksuniversitet,Institutionen för vatten och miljö,Department of Aquatic Sciences and Assessment,Luft-, vatten- och landskapslära,wedish Univ Agr Sci, Dept Aquat Sci & Assessment, S-90183 Umea, Sweden.
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- Blarquez, Olivier (author)
- Univ Montreal, Dept Geog, Montreal, PQ H3C 3J7, Canada.
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- Bond-Lamberty, Ben (author)
- Pacific NW Natl Lab, Richland, WA 99352 USA.
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- Breen, Amy L. (author)
- Univ Alaska Fairbanks, Int Arctic Res Ctr, Scenarios Network Alaska & Arctic Planning, Fairbanks, AK USA.
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- Buffam, Ishi (author)
- Swedish University of Agricultural Sciences,Sveriges lantbruksuniversitet,Institutionen för skogens ekologi och skötsel,Department of Forest Ecology and Management,Univ Cincinnati, Cincinnati, OH 45221 USA.
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- Cai, Yihua (author)
- Xiamen Univ, State Key Lab Marine Environm Sci, Xiamen, Peoples R China.
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- Carcaillet, Christopher (author)
- Vrije Univ Amsterdam, Syst Ecol, Amsterdam, Netherlands.,Univ Minnesota, Dept Ecol Evolut & Behav, Minneapolis, MN 55455 USA.,Univ Lapland, Arctic Ctr, Rovaniemi, Finland.
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- Carey, Sean K. (author)
- McMaster Univ, Hamilton, ON L8S 4L8, Canada.
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Chen, Jing M. (author)
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- Chen, Han Y. H. (author)
- Lakehead Univ, Fac Nat Resources Management, Thunder Bay, ON P7B 5E1, Canada.
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- Christensen, Torben R. (author)
- Lund Univ, Arctic Res Ctr, S-22100 Lund, Sweden.;Aarhus Univ, DK-8000 Aarhus C, Denmark.
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- Cooper, Lee W. (author)
- Univ Maryland, Ctr Environm Sci, Bethesda, MD USA.
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Cornelissen, J. Hans C. (author)
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- de Groot, William J. (author)
- Nat Resources Canada, Canadian Forest Serv, Toronto, ON, Canada.
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- DeLuca, Thomas H. (author)
- Univ Washington, Sch Environm & Forest Sci, Seattle, WA 98195 USA.
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- Dorrepaal, Ellen (author)
- Umeå universitet,Institutionen för ekologi, miljö och geovetenskap,Climate Impacts Research Centre (CIRC) ; Arcum,Umea Univ, Dept Ecol & Environm Sci, Climate Impacts Res Ctr, S-90187 Umea, Sweden.
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- Fetcher, Ned (author)
- Wilkes Univ, Inst Environm Sci & Sustainabil, Wilkes Barre, PA 18766 USA.
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Finlay, Jacques C. (author)
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Forbes, Bruce C. (author)
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- French, Nancy H. F. (author)
- Michigan Technol Univ, Michigan Tech Res Inst, Houghton, MI 49931 USA.
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- Gauthier, Sylvie (author)
- Nat Resources Canada, Canadian Forest Serv, Laurentian Forestry Ctr, Toronto, ON, Canada.
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- Girardin, Martin P. (author)
- Nat Resources Canada, Canadian Forest Serv, Laurentian Forestry Ctr, Toronto, ON, Canada.
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- Goetz, Scott J. (author)
- Woods Hole Res Ctr, Woods Hole, MA USA.
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- Goldammer, Johann G. (author)
- Max Planck Inst Chem, Global Fire Monitoring Ctr, Berlin, Germany.
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- Gough, Laura (author)
- Towson Univ, Dept Biol Sci, Towson, MD USA.
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- Grogan, Paul (author)
- Queens Univ, Dept Biol, Kingston, ON K7L 3N6, Canada.
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- Guo, Laodong (author)
- Univ Wisconsin Milwaukee, Sch Freshwater Sci, Milwaukee, WI USA.
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- Higuera, Philip E. (author)
- Univ Montana, Dept Ecosyst & Conservat Sci, Missoula, MT 59812 USA.
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- Hinzman, Larry (author)
- Univ Alaska Fairbanks, Fairbanks, AK USA.
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- Hu, Feng Sheng (author)
- Univ Illinois, Dept Plant Biol, Chicago, IL 60680 USA.;Univ Illinois, Dept Geol, Chicago, IL 60680 USA.
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- Hugelius, Gustaf (author)
- Stockholms universitet,Institutionen för naturgeografi,Stockholm Univ, Dept Phys Geog, Stockholm, Sweden.
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- Jafarov, Elchin E. (author)
- Univ Colorado Boulder, Inst Arctic & Alpine Res, Boulder, CO USA.
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- Jandt, Randi (author)
- Univ Alaska Fairbanks, Alaska Fire Sci Consortium, Fairbanks, AK USA.
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- Johnstone, Jill F. (author)
- Univ Saskatchewan, Dept Biol, Saskatoon, SK S7N 0W0, Canada.
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- Karlsson, Jan (author)
- Umeå universitet,Institutionen för ekologi, miljö och geovetenskap,Climate Impacts Research Centre (CIRC),Umea Univ, Dept Ecol & Environm Sci, Climate Impacts Res Ctr, S-90187 Umea, Sweden.
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- Kasischke, Eric S. (author)
- Univ Maryland, Dept Geog Sci, Bethesda, MD USA.
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- Kattner, Gerhard (author)
- Helmholtz Ctr Polar & Marine Res, Alfred Wegener Inst, Berlin, Germany.
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- Kelly, Ryan (author)
- Neptune & Co Inc, North Wales, PA USA.
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- Keuper, Frida (author)
- Umeå universitet,Institutionen för ekologi, miljö och geovetenskap,Climate Impacts Research Centre (CIRC),Umea Univ, Dept Ecol & Environm Sci, Climate Impacts Res Ctr, S-90187 Umea, Sweden.;INRA, AgroImpact UPR1158, New York, NY USA.
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- Kling, George W. (author)
- Univ Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI 48109 USA.
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- Kortelainen, Pirkko (author)
- Finnish Environm Inst, Helsinki, Finland.
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- Kouki, Jari (author)
- Univ Eastern Finland, Sch Forest Sci, Joensuu, Finland.
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- Kuhry, Peter (author)
- Stockholms universitet,Institutionen för naturgeografi,Stockholm Univ, Dept Phys Geog, Stockholm, Sweden.
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- Laudon, Hjalmar (author)
- Swedish University of Agricultural Sciences,Sveriges lantbruksuniversitet,Institutionen för skogens ekologi och skötsel,Department of Forest Ecology and Management,Swedish Univ Agr Sci, Dept Forest Ecol & Management, S-90183 Umea, Sweden.
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- Laurion, Isabelle (author)
- Inst Natl Rech Sci, Ctr Eau Terre Environm, Toronto, ON, Canada.
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- Macdonald, Robie W. (author)
- Inst Ocean Sci, Dept Fisheries & Oceans, Toronto, ON, Canada.
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- Mann, Paul J. (author)
- Northumbria Univ, Dept Geog, Newcastle Upon Tyne NE1 8ST, Tyne & Wear, England.
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- Martikainen, Pertti J. (author)
- Univ Eastern Finland, Dept Environm & Biol Sci, Joensuu, Finland.
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- McClelland, James W. (author)
- Univ Texas Austin, Inst Marine Sci, Austin, TX 78712 USA.
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- Molau, Ulf, 1951 (author)
- Gothenburg University,Göteborgs universitet,Institutionen för biologi och miljövetenskap,Department of Biological and Environmental Sciences,Univ Gothenburg, Dept Biol & Environm Sci, Gothenburg, Sweden.
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- Oberbauer, Steven F. (author)
- Florida Int Univ, Dept Biol Sci, Miami, FL 33199 USA.
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- Olefeldt, David (author)
- Univ Alberta, Dept Revewable Resources, Edmonton, AB T6G 2M7, Canada.
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- Pare, David (author)
- Nat Resources Canada, Canadian Forest Serv, Laurentian Forestry Ctr, Toronto, ON, Canada.
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- Parisien, Marc-Andre (author)
- Nat Resources Canada, Canadian Forest Serv, No Forestry Ctr, Toronto, ON, Canada.
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- Payette, Serge (author)
- Univ Laval, Ctr Etud Nord, Quebec City, PQ G1K 7P4, Canada.
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- Peng, Changhui (author)
- Univ Quebec, Ctr CEF, ESCER, Montreal, PQ H3C 3P8, Canada.;Northwest A&F Univ, Coll Forestry, State Key Lab Soil Eros & Dryland Farming Loess P, Xian, Peoples R China.
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- Pokrovsky, Oleg S. (author)
- CNRS, Georesources & Environm, Toulouse, France.;Tomsk State Univ, BIO GEO CLIM Lab, Tomsk, Russia.
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- Rastetter, Edward B. (author)
- Marine Biol Lab, Ctr Ecosyst, Woods Hole, MA 02543 USA.
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- Raymond, Peter A. (author)
- Yale Univ, Sch Forestry & Environm Studies, New Haven, CT 06520 USA.
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- Raynolds, Martha K. (author)
- Univ Alaska Fairbanks, Inst Arctic Biol, Fairbanks, AK USA.
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- Rein, Guillermo (author)
- Univ London Imperial Coll Sci Technol & Med, Dept Mech Engn, London SW7 2AZ, England.
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- Reynolds, James F. (author)
- Lanzhou Univ, Sch Life Sci, Lanzhou 730000, Peoples R China.;Duke Univ, Nicholas Sch Environm, Durham, NC 27706 USA.
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- Robards, Martin (author)
- Arctic Beringia Program, Wildlife Conservat Soc, New York, NY USA.
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- Rogers, Brendan M. (author)
- Woods Hole Res Ctr, Woods Hole, MA USA.
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- Schaedel, Christina (author)
- No Arizona Univ, Ctr Ecosyst Sci & Soc, Flagstaff, AZ 86011 USA.
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- Schaefer, Kevin (author)
- Univ Colorado Boulder, Cooperat Inst Res Environm Sci, Natl Snow & Ice Data Ctr, Boulder, CO USA.
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- Schmidt, Inger K. (author)
- Univ Copenhagen, Dept Geosci & Nat Resource Management, DK-1168 Copenhagen, Denmark.
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- Shvidenko, Anatoly (author)
- Int Inst Appl Syst Anal, A-2361 Laxenburg, Austria.;Sukachev Inst Forest, Moscow, Russia.
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- Sky, Jasper (author)
- Cambridge Ctr Climate Change Res, Cambridge, England.
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- Spencer, Robert G. M. (author)
- Florida State Univ, Dept Earth Ocean & Atmospher Sci, Tallahassee, FL 32306 USA.
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- Starr, Gregory (author)
- Univ Alabama, Dept Biol Sci, Tuscaloosa, AL 35487 USA.
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- Striegl, Robert G. (author)
- US Geol Survey, Natl Res Program, Boulder, CO USA.
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- Teisserenc, Roman (author)
- Univ Toulouse, CNRS, INPT, ECOLAB,UPS, Toulouse, France.
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- Tranvik, Lars J. (author)
- Uppsala universitet,Limnologi
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- Virtanen, Tarmo (author)
- Univ Helsinki, Dept Environm Sci, FIN-00014 Helsinki, Finland.
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- Welker, Jeffrey M. (author)
- Univ Alaska Anchorage, Anchorage, AK USA.
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- Zimov, Sergei (author)
- Russian Acad Sci, Northeast Sci Stn, Moscow 117901, Russia.
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Univ Rennes 1, OSUR, CNRS, UMR ECOBIO 6553, F-35014 Rennes, France;Univ Alaska Fairbanks, Inst Arctic Biol, Fairbanks, AK USA.;Univ Alaska Fairbanks, Dept Biology& Wildlife, Fairbanks, AK USA. Univ Alaska Fairbanks, Inst Arctic Biol, Fairbanks, AK USA.;Univ Alaska Fairbanks, Dept Biology& Wildlife, Fairbanks, AK USA. (creator_code:org_t)
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- 2016-03-07
- 2016
- English.
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In: Environmental Research Letters. - : IOP Publishing. - 1748-9326. ; 11:3
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Abstract
Subject headings
Close
- As the permafrost region warms, its large organic carbon pool will be increasingly vulnerable to decomposition, combustion, and hydrologic export. Models predict that some portion of this release will be offset by increased production of Arctic and boreal biomass; however, the lack of robust estimates of net carbon balance increases the risk of further overshooting international emissions targets. Precise empirical or model-based assessments of the critical factors driving carbon balance are unlikely in the near future, so to address this gap, we present estimates from 98 permafrost-region experts of the response of biomass, wildfire, and hydrologic carbon flux to climate change. Results suggest that contrary to model projections, total permafrost-region biomass could decrease due to water stress and disturbance, factors that are not adequately incorporated in current models. Assessments indicate that end-of-the-century organic carbon release from Arctic rivers and collapsing coastlines could increase by 75% while carbon loss via burning could increase four-fold. Experts identified water balance, shifts in vegetation community, and permafrost degradation as the key sources of uncertainty in predicting future system response. In combination with previous findings, results suggest the permafrost region will become a carbon source to the atmosphere by 2100 regardless of warming scenario but that 65%-85% of permafrost carbon release can still be avoided if human emissions are actively reduced.
Subject headings
- NATURVETENSKAP -- Geovetenskap och miljövetenskap -- Klimatforskning (hsv//swe)
- NATURAL SCIENCES -- Earth and Related Environmental Sciences -- Climate Research (hsv//eng)
- NATURVETENSKAP -- Geovetenskap och miljövetenskap (hsv//swe)
- NATURAL SCIENCES -- Earth and Related Environmental Sciences (hsv//eng)
- LANTBRUKSVETENSKAPER -- Lantbruksvetenskap, skogsbruk och fiske -- Skogsvetenskap (hsv//swe)
- AGRICULTURAL SCIENCES -- Agriculture, Forestry and Fisheries -- Forest Science (hsv//eng)
- NATURVETENSKAP -- Biologi -- Ekologi (hsv//swe)
- NATURAL SCIENCES -- Biological Sciences -- Ecology (hsv//eng)
- NATURVETENSKAP -- Geovetenskap och miljövetenskap -- Meteorologi och atmosfärforskning (hsv//swe)
- NATURAL SCIENCES -- Earth and Related Environmental Sciences -- Meteorology and Atmospheric Sciences (hsv//eng)
- NATURVETENSKAP -- Geovetenskap och miljövetenskap -- Miljövetenskap (hsv//swe)
- NATURAL SCIENCES -- Earth and Related Environmental Sciences -- Environmental Sciences (hsv//eng)
Keyword
- permafrost carbon
- Arctic
- boreal
- wildfire
- dissolved organic carbon
- particulate organic carbon
- coastal erosion
- permafrost carbon
- Arctic
- boreal
- wildfire
- dissolved organic carbon
- particulate organic carbon
- climate-change
- boreal forest
- nitrogen deposition
- interior alaska
- arctic tundra
- fire
- sequestration
- vulnerability
- ecosystems
- storage
- Environmental Sciences & Ecology
- Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
Publication and Content Type
- ref (subject category)
- art (subject category)
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- By the author/editor
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Abbott, Benjamin ...
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Jones, Jeremy B.
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Schuur, Edward A ...
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Chapin, F. Stuar ...
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Bowden, William ...
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Bret-Harte, M. S ...
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show more...
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Epstein, Howard ...
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Flannigan, Micha ...
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Harms, Tamara K.
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Hollingsworth, T ...
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Mack, Michelle C ...
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McGuire, A. Davi ...
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Natali, Susan M.
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Rocha, Adrian V.
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Tank, Suzanne E.
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Turetsky, Merrit ...
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Vonk, Jorien E.
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Wickland, Kimber ...
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Aiken, George R.
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Alexander, Heath ...
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Amon, Rainer M. ...
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Benscoter, Brian ...
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Bergeron, Yves
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Bishop, Kevin
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Blarquez, Olivie ...
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Bond-Lamberty, B ...
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Breen, Amy L.
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Buffam, Ishi
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Cai, Yihua
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Carcaillet, Chri ...
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Carey, Sean K.
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Chen, Jing M.
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Chen, Han Y. H.
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Christensen, Tor ...
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Cooper, Lee W.
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Cornelissen, J. ...
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de Groot, Willia ...
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DeLuca, Thomas H ...
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Dorrepaal, Ellen
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Fetcher, Ned
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Finlay, Jacques ...
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Forbes, Bruce C.
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French, Nancy H. ...
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Gauthier, Sylvie
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Girardin, Martin ...
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Goetz, Scott J.
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Goldammer, Johan ...
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Gough, Laura
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Grogan, Paul
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Guo, Laodong
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Higuera, Philip ...
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Hinzman, Larry
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Hu, Feng Sheng
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Hugelius, Gustaf
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Jafarov, Elchin ...
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Jandt, Randi
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Johnstone, Jill ...
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Karlsson, Jan
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Kasischke, Eric ...
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Kattner, Gerhard
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Kelly, Ryan
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Keuper, Frida
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Kling, George W.
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Kortelainen, Pir ...
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Kouki, Jari
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Kuhry, Peter
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Laudon, Hjalmar
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Laurion, Isabell ...
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Macdonald, Robie ...
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Mann, Paul J.
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Martikainen, Per ...
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McClelland, Jame ...
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Molau, Ulf, 1951
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Oberbauer, Steve ...
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Olefeldt, David
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Pare, David
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Parisien, Marc-A ...
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Payette, Serge
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Peng, Changhui
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Pokrovsky, Oleg ...
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Rastetter, Edwar ...
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Raymond, Peter A ...
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Raynolds, Martha ...
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Rein, Guillermo
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Reynolds, James ...
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Robards, Martin
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Rogers, Brendan ...
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Schaedel, Christ ...
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Schaefer, Kevin
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Schmidt, Inger K ...
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Shvidenko, Anato ...
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Sky, Jasper
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Spencer, Robert ...
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Starr, Gregory
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Striegl, Robert ...
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Teisserenc, Roma ...
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Tranvik, Lars J.
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Virtanen, Tarmo
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Welker, Jeffrey ...
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Zimov, Sergei
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- About the subject
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- NATURAL SCIENCES
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NATURAL SCIENCES
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and Earth and Relate ...
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and Climate Research
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- NATURAL SCIENCES
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NATURAL SCIENCES
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and Earth and Relate ...
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- AGRICULTURAL SCIENCES
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AGRICULTURAL SCI ...
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and Agriculture Fore ...
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and Forest Science
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- NATURAL SCIENCES
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NATURAL SCIENCES
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and Biological Scien ...
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and Ecology
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- NATURAL SCIENCES
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NATURAL SCIENCES
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and Earth and Relate ...
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and Meteorology and ...
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- NATURAL SCIENCES
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NATURAL SCIENCES
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and Earth and Relate ...
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and Environmental Sc ...
- Articles in the publication
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Environmental Re ...
- By the university
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Umeå University
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Swedish University of Agricultural Sciences
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University of Gothenburg
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Stockholm University
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Uppsala University