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Geographical Variat...
Geographical Variations of the Minimum Mortality Temperature at a Global Scale : A Multicountry Study
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Tobías, Aurelio (author)
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Hashizume, Masahiro (author)
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Honda, Yasushi (author)
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Sera, Francesco (author)
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Ng, Chris Fook Sheng (author)
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Kim, Yoonhee (author)
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Roye, Dominic (author)
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Chung, Yeonseung (author)
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Dang, Tran Ngoc (author)
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Kim, Ho (author)
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Lee, Whanhee (author)
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Íñiguez, Carmen (author)
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Vicedo-Cabrera, Ana (author)
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Abrutzky, Rosana (author)
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Guo, Yuming (author)
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Tong, Shilu (author)
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Coelho, Micheline de Sousa Zanotti Stagliorio (author)
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Saldiva, Paulo Hilario Nascimento (author)
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Lavigne, Eric (author)
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Correa, Patricia Matus (author)
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Ortega, Nicolás Valdés (author)
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Kan, Haidong (author)
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Osorio, Samuel (author)
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Kyselý, Jan (author)
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Urban, Aleš (author)
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- Orru, Hans (author)
- Department of Family Medicine and Public Health, University of Tartu, Tartu, Estonia.
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Indermitte, Ene (author)
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Jaakkola, Jouni J K (author)
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Ryti, Niilo R I (author)
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Pascal, Mathilde (author)
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Huber, Veronika (author)
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Schneider, Alexandra (author)
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Katsouyanni, Klea (author)
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Analitis, Antonis (author)
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Entezari, Alireza (author)
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Mayvaneh, Fatemeh (author)
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Goodman, Patrick (author)
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Zeka, Ariana (author)
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Michelozzi, Paola (author)
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de'Donato, Francesca (author)
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Alahmad, Barrak (author)
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Diaz, Magali Hurtado (author)
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De la Cruz Valencia, César (author)
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Overcenco, Ala (author)
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Houthuijs, Danny (author)
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Ameling, Caroline (author)
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Rao, Shilpa (author)
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Di Ruscio, Francesco (author)
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Carrasco, Gabriel (author)
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Seposo, Xerxes (author)
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Nunes, Baltazar (author)
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Madureira, Joana (author)
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Holobaca, Iulian-Horia (author)
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Scovronick, Noah (author)
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Acquaotta, Fiorella (author)
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- Forsberg, Bertil, professor, 1956- (author)
- Umeå universitet,Avdelningen för hållbar hälsa
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- Åström, Christofer, 1983- (author)
- Umeå universitet,Avdelningen för hållbar hälsa
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Ragettli, Martina S (author)
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Guo, Yue-Liang Leon (author)
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Chen, Bing-Yu (author)
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Li, Shanshan (author)
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Colistro, Valentina (author)
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Zanobetti, Antonella (author)
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Schwartz, Joel (author)
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Dung, Do Van (author)
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Armstrong, Ben (author)
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Gasparrini, Antonio (author)
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Department of Family Medicine and Public Health, University of Tartu, Tartu, Estonia Avdelningen för hållbar hälsa (creator_code:org_t)
- Wolters Kluwer, 2021
- 2021
- English.
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In: Environmental epidemiology. - : Wolters Kluwer. - 2474-7882. ; 5:5
- Related links:
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https://doi.org/10.1...
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https://umu.diva-por... (primary) (Raw object)
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https://urn.kb.se/re...
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https://doi.org/10.1...
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Abstract
Subject headings
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- Background: Minimum mortality temperature (MMT) is an important indicator to assess the temperature-mortality association, indicating long-term adaptation to local climate. Limited evidence about the geographical variability of the MMT is available at a global scale.Methods: We collected data from 658 communities in 43 countries under different climates. We estimated temperature-mortality associations to derive the MMT for each community using Poisson regression with distributed lag nonlinear models. We investigated the variation in MMT by climatic zone using a mixed-effects meta-analysis and explored the association with climatic and socioeconomic indicators.Results: The geographical distribution of MMTs varied considerably by country between 14.2 and 31.1 °C decreasing by latitude. For climatic zones, the MMTs increased from alpine (13.0 °C) to continental (19.3 °C), temperate (21.7 °C), arid (24.5 °C), and tropical (26.5 °C). The MMT percentiles (MMTPs) corresponding to the MMTs decreased from temperate (79.5th) to continental (75.4th), arid (68.0th), tropical (58.5th), and alpine (41.4th). The MMTs indreased by 0.8 °C for a 1 °C rise in a community's annual mean temperature, and by 1 °C for a 1 °C rise in its SD. While the MMTP decreased by 0.3 centile points for a 1 °C rise in a community's annual mean temperature and by 1.3 for a 1 °C rise in its SD.Conclusions: The geographical distribution of the MMTs and MMTPs is driven mainly by the mean annual temperature, which seems to be a valuable indicator of overall adaptation across populations. Our results suggest that populations have adapted to the average temperature, although there is still more room for adaptation.
Subject headings
- MEDICIN OCH HÄLSOVETENSKAP -- Hälsovetenskap -- Folkhälsovetenskap, global hälsa, socialmedicin och epidemiologi (hsv//swe)
- MEDICAL AND HEALTH SCIENCES -- Health Sciences -- Public Health, Global Health, Social Medicine and Epidemiology (hsv//eng)
- NATURVETENSKAP -- Geovetenskap och miljövetenskap -- Klimatforskning (hsv//swe)
- NATURAL SCIENCES -- Earth and Related Environmental Sciences -- Climate Research (hsv//eng)
- NATURVETENSKAP -- Geovetenskap och miljövetenskap -- Naturgeografi (hsv//swe)
- NATURAL SCIENCES -- Earth and Related Environmental Sciences -- Physical Geography (hsv//eng)
Keyword
- Adaptation
- Climate
- Distributed lag nonlinear models
- Minimum mortality temperature
- Multi-city
- Multi-country
- Time-series
Publication and Content Type
- ref (subject category)
- art (subject category)
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- By the author/editor
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Tobías, Aurelio
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Hashizume, Masah ...
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Honda, Yasushi
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Sera, Francesco
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Ng, Chris Fook S ...
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Kim, Yoonhee
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show more...
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Roye, Dominic
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Chung, Yeonseung
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Dang, Tran Ngoc
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Kim, Ho
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Lee, Whanhee
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Íñiguez, Carmen
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Vicedo-Cabrera, ...
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Abrutzky, Rosana
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Guo, Yuming
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Tong, Shilu
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Coelho, Michelin ...
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Saldiva, Paulo H ...
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Lavigne, Eric
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Correa, Patricia ...
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Ortega, Nicolás ...
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Kan, Haidong
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Osorio, Samuel
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Kyselý, Jan
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Urban, Aleš
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Orru, Hans
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Indermitte, Ene
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Jaakkola, Jouni ...
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Ryti, Niilo R I
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Pascal, Mathilde
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Huber, Veronika
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Schneider, Alexa ...
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Katsouyanni, Kle ...
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Analitis, Antoni ...
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Entezari, Alirez ...
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Mayvaneh, Fateme ...
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Goodman, Patrick
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Zeka, Ariana
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Michelozzi, Paol ...
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de'Donato, Franc ...
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Alahmad, Barrak
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Diaz, Magali Hur ...
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De la Cruz Valen ...
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Overcenco, Ala
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Houthuijs, Danny
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Ameling, Carolin ...
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Rao, Shilpa
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Di Ruscio, Franc ...
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Carrasco, Gabrie ...
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Seposo, Xerxes
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Nunes, Baltazar
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Madureira, Joana
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Holobaca, Iulian ...
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Scovronick, Noah
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Acquaotta, Fiore ...
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Forsberg, Bertil ...
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Åström, Christof ...
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Ragettli, Martin ...
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Guo, Yue-Liang L ...
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Chen, Bing-Yu
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Li, Shanshan
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Colistro, Valent ...
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Zanobetti, Anton ...
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Schwartz, Joel
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Dung, Do Van
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Armstrong, Ben
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Gasparrini, Anto ...
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- About the subject
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- MEDICAL AND HEALTH SCIENCES
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MEDICAL AND HEAL ...
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and Health Sciences
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and Public Health Gl ...
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- NATURAL SCIENCES
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NATURAL SCIENCES
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and Earth and Relate ...
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and Climate Research
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- NATURAL SCIENCES
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NATURAL SCIENCES
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and Earth and Relate ...
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and Physical Geograp ...
- Articles in the publication
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Environmental ep ...
- By the university
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Umeå University