Geographical Variations of the Minimum Mortality Temperature at a Global Scale: A Multicountry Study

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Tobías, Aurelio (author)

Geographical Variations of the Minimum Mortality Temperature at a Global Scale : A Multicountry Study

Article/chapterEnglish2021

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Wolters Kluwer,2021
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LIBRIS-ID:oai:DiVA.org:umu-190753
https://urn.kb.se/resolve?urn=urn:nbn:se:umu:diva-190753URI
https://doi.org/10.1097/EE9.0000000000000169DOI

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Language:English
Summary in:English

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SwePubSwePub

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Subject category:ref swepub-contenttype
Subject category:art swepub-publicationtype

Notes

Background: Minimum mortality temperature (MMT) is an important indicator to assess the temperature-mortality association, indicating long-term adaptation to local climate. Limited evidence about the geographical variability of the MMT is available at a global scale.Methods: We collected data from 658 communities in 43 countries under different climates. We estimated temperature-mortality associations to derive the MMT for each community using Poisson regression with distributed lag nonlinear models. We investigated the variation in MMT by climatic zone using a mixed-effects meta-analysis and explored the association with climatic and socioeconomic indicators.Results: The geographical distribution of MMTs varied considerably by country between 14.2 and 31.1 °C decreasing by latitude. For climatic zones, the MMTs increased from alpine (13.0 °C) to continental (19.3 °C), temperate (21.7 °C), arid (24.5 °C), and tropical (26.5 °C). The MMT percentiles (MMTPs) corresponding to the MMTs decreased from temperate (79.5th) to continental (75.4th), arid (68.0th), tropical (58.5th), and alpine (41.4th). The MMTs indreased by 0.8 °C for a 1 °C rise in a community's annual mean temperature, and by 1 °C for a 1 °C rise in its SD. While the MMTP decreased by 0.3 centile points for a 1 °C rise in a community's annual mean temperature and by 1.3 for a 1 °C rise in its SD.Conclusions: The geographical distribution of the MMTs and MMTPs is driven mainly by the mean annual temperature, which seems to be a valuable indicator of overall adaptation across populations. Our results suggest that populations have adapted to the average temperature, although there is still more room for adaptation.

Subject headings and genre

MEDICIN OCH HÄLSOVETENSKAP Hälsovetenskap Folkhälsovetenskap, global hälsa, socialmedicin och epidemiologi hsv//swe
MEDICAL AND HEALTH SCIENCES Health Sciences Public Health, Global Health, Social Medicine and Epidemiology hsv//eng
NATURVETENSKAP Geovetenskap och miljövetenskap Klimatforskning hsv//swe
NATURAL SCIENCES Earth and Related Environmental Sciences Climate Research hsv//eng
NATURVETENSKAP Geovetenskap och miljövetenskap Naturgeografi hsv//swe
NATURAL SCIENCES Earth and Related Environmental Sciences Physical Geography hsv//eng
Adaptation
Climate
Distributed lag nonlinear models
Minimum mortality temperature
Multi-city
Multi-country
Time-series

Added entries (persons, corporate bodies, meetings, titles ...)

Hashizume, Masahiro (author)
Honda, Yasushi (author)
Sera, Francesco (author)
Ng, Chris Fook Sheng (author)
Kim, Yoonhee (author)
Roye, Dominic (author)
Chung, Yeonseung (author)
Dang, Tran Ngoc (author)
Kim, Ho (author)
Lee, Whanhee (author)
Íñiguez, Carmen (author)
Vicedo-Cabrera, Ana (author)
Abrutzky, Rosana (author)
Guo, Yuming (author)
Tong, Shilu (author)
Coelho, Micheline de Sousa Zanotti Stagliorio (author)
Saldiva, Paulo Hilario Nascimento (author)
Lavigne, Eric (author)
Correa, Patricia Matus (author)
Ortega, Nicolás Valdés (author)
Kan, Haidong (author)
Osorio, Samuel (author)
Kyselý, Jan (author)
Urban, Aleš (author)
Orru, HansDepartment of Family Medicine and Public Health, University of Tartu, Tartu, Estonia.(Swepub:umu)haor0004 (author)
Indermitte, Ene (author)
Jaakkola, Jouni J K (author)
Ryti, Niilo R I (author)
Pascal, Mathilde (author)
Huber, Veronika (author)
Schneider, Alexandra (author)
Katsouyanni, Klea (author)
Analitis, Antonis (author)
Entezari, Alireza (author)
Mayvaneh, Fatemeh (author)
Goodman, Patrick (author)
Zeka, Ariana (author)
Michelozzi, Paola (author)
de'Donato, Francesca (author)
Alahmad, Barrak (author)
Diaz, Magali Hurtado (author)
De la Cruz Valencia, César (author)
Overcenco, Ala (author)
Houthuijs, Danny (author)
Ameling, Caroline (author)
Rao, Shilpa (author)
Di Ruscio, Francesco (author)
Carrasco, Gabriel (author)
Seposo, Xerxes (author)
Nunes, Baltazar (author)
Madureira, Joana (author)
Holobaca, Iulian-Horia (author)
Scovronick, Noah (author)
Acquaotta, Fiorella (author)
Forsberg, Bertil,professor,1956-Umeå universitet,Avdelningen för hållbar hälsa(Swepub:umu)befo0001 (author)
Åström, Christofer,1983-Umeå universitet,Avdelningen för hållbar hälsa(Swepub:umu)chas0002 (author)
Ragettli, Martina S (author)
Guo, Yue-Liang Leon (author)
Chen, Bing-Yu (author)
Li, Shanshan (author)
Colistro, Valentina (author)
Zanobetti, Antonella (author)
Schwartz, Joel (author)
Dung, Do Van (author)
Armstrong, Ben (author)
Gasparrini, Antonio (author)
Department of Family Medicine and Public Health, University of Tartu, Tartu, Estonia.Avdelningen för hållbar hälsa (creator_code:org_t)

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By the author/editor: Tobías, Aurelio; Hashizume, Masah ...; Honda, Yasushi; Sera, Francesco; Ng, Chris Fook S ...; Kim, Yoonhee; show more...; Roye, Dominic; Chung, Yeonseung; Dang, Tran Ngoc; Kim, Ho; Lee, Whanhee; Íñiguez, Carmen; Vicedo-Cabrera, ...; Abrutzky, Rosana; Guo, Yuming; Tong, Shilu; Coelho, Michelin ...; Saldiva, Paulo H ...; Lavigne, Eric; Correa, Patricia ...; Ortega, Nicolás ...; Kan, Haidong; Osorio, Samuel; Kyselý, Jan; Urban, Aleš; Orru, Hans; Indermitte, Ene; Jaakkola, Jouni ...; Ryti, Niilo R I; Pascal, Mathilde; Huber, Veronika; Schneider, Alexa ...; Katsouyanni, Kle ...; Analitis, Antoni ...; Entezari, Alirez ...; Mayvaneh, Fateme ...; Goodman, Patrick; Zeka, Ariana; Michelozzi, Paol ...; de'Donato, Franc ...; Alahmad, Barrak; Diaz, Magali Hur ...; De la Cruz Valen ...; Overcenco, Ala; Houthuijs, Danny; Ameling, Carolin ...; Rao, Shilpa; Di Ruscio, Franc ...; Carrasco, Gabrie ...; Seposo, Xerxes; Nunes, Baltazar; Madureira, Joana; Holobaca, Iulian ...; Scovronick, Noah; Acquaotta, Fiore ...; Forsberg, Bertil ...; Åström, Christof ...; Ragettli, Martin ...; Guo, Yue-Liang L ...; Chen, Bing-Yu; Li, Shanshan; Colistro, Valent ...; Zanobetti, Anton ...; Schwartz, Joel; Dung, Do Van; Armstrong, Ben; Gasparrini, Anto ...; show less...

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MEDICAL AND HEALTH SCIENCES: MEDICAL AND HEAL ...; and Health Sciences; and Public Health Gl ...

NATURAL SCIENCES: NATURAL SCIENCES; and Earth and Relate ...; and Climate Research

NATURAL SCIENCES: NATURAL SCIENCES; and Earth and Relate ...; and Physical Geograp ...

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By the university: Umeå University

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