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Optimal national prioritization policies for hospital care during the SARS-CoV-2 pandemic

D’Aeth, Josh C. (författare)
MRC Centre for Global Infectious Disease Analysis and WHO Collaborating Centre for Infectious Disease Modelling, School of Public Health, Imperial College London, London, United Kingdom; Abdul Latif Jameel Institute for Disease and Emergency Analytics (J-IDEA), School of Public Health, Imperial College London, London, United Kingdom
Ghosal, Shubhechyya (författare)
Department of Analytics, Marketing and Operations, Imperial College Business School, Imperial College London, London, United Kingdom
Grimm, Fiona (författare)
The Health Foundation, London, United Kingdom
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Haw, David (författare)
MRC Centre for Global Infectious Disease Analysis and WHO Collaborating Centre for Infectious Disease Modelling, School of Public Health, Imperial College London, London, United Kingdom; Abdul Latif Jameel Institute for Disease and Emergency Analytics (J-IDEA), School of Public Health, Imperial College London, London, United Kingdom
Koca, Esma (författare)
Department of Analytics, Marketing and Operations, Imperial College Business School, Imperial College London, London, United Kingdom
Lau, Krystal (författare)
Department of Economics and Public Policy, Imperial College Business School, Imperial College London, London, United Kingdom; Centre for Health Economics and Policy Innovation, Imperial College Business School, Imperial College London, London, United Kingdom
Moret, Stefano (författare)
Department of Analytics, Marketing and Operations, Imperial College Business School, Imperial College London, London, United Kingdom
Rizmie, Dheeya (författare)
Department of Economics and Public Policy, Imperial College Business School, Imperial College London, London, United Kingdom; Centre for Health Economics and Policy Innovation, Imperial College Business School, Imperial College London, London, United Kingdom
Deeny, Sarah R. (författare)
The Health Foundation, London, United Kingdom
Perez-Guzman, Pablo N. (författare)
MRC Centre for Global Infectious Disease Analysis and WHO Collaborating Centre for Infectious Disease Modelling, School of Public Health, Imperial College London, London, United Kingdom; Abdul Latif Jameel Institute for Disease and Emergency Analytics (J-IDEA), School of Public Health, Imperial College London, London, United Kingdom
Ferguson, Neil (författare)
MRC Centre for Global Infectious Disease Analysis and WHO Collaborating Centre for Infectious Disease Modelling, School of Public Health, Imperial College London, London, United Kingdom; Abdul Latif Jameel Institute for Disease and Emergency Analytics (J-IDEA), School of Public Health, Imperial College London, London, United Kingdom
Hauck, Katharina (författare)
MRC Centre for Global Infectious Disease Analysis and WHO Collaborating Centre for Infectious Disease Modelling, School of Public Health, Imperial College London, London, United Kingdom; Abdul Latif Jameel Institute for Disease and Emergency Analytics (J-IDEA), School of Public Health, Imperial College London, London, United Kingdom
Smith, Peter C. (författare)
Department of Economics and Public Policy, Imperial College Business School, Imperial College London, London, United Kingdom; Centre for Health Economics and Policy Innovation, Imperial College Business School, Imperial College London, London, United Kingdom; Centre for Health Economics, University of York, York, United Kingdom
Forchini, Giovanni (författare)
Umeå universitet,Handelshögskolan vid Umeå universitet,MRC Centre for Global Infectious Disease Analysis and WHO Collaborating Centre for Infectious Disease Modelling, School of Public Health, Imperial College London, London, United Kingdom; Abdul Latif Jameel Institute for Disease and Emergency Analytics (J-IDEA), School of Public Health, Imperial College London, London, United Kingdom
Wiesemann, Wolfram (författare)
Department of Analytics, Marketing and Operations, Imperial College Business School, Imperial College London, London, United Kingdom
Miraldo, Marisa (författare)
Department of Economics and Public Policy, Imperial College Business School, Imperial College London, London, United Kingdom; Centre for Health Economics and Policy Innovation, Imperial College Business School, Imperial College London, London, United Kingdom
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 (creator_code:org_t)
2021-08-13
2021
Engelska.
Ingår i: Nature Computational Science. - : Springer Nature. - 2662-8457. ; 1:8, s. 521-531
  • Tidskriftsartikel (refereegranskat)
Abstract Ämnesord
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  • In response to unprecedented surges in the demand for hospital care during the SARS-CoV-2 pandemic, health systems have prioritized patients with COVID-19 to life-saving hospital care to the detriment of other patients. In contrast to these ad hoc policies, we develop a linear programming framework to optimally schedule elective procedures and allocate hospital beds among all planned and emergency patients to minimize years of life lost. Leveraging a large dataset of administrative patient medical records, we apply our framework to the National Health Service in England and show that an extra 50,750–5,891,608 years of life can be gained compared with prioritization policies that reflect those implemented during the pandemic. Notable health gains are observed for neoplasms, diseases of the digestive system, and injuries and poisoning. Our open-source framework provides a computationally efficient approximation of a large-scale discrete optimization problem that can be applied globally to support national-level care prioritization policies.

Ämnesord

MEDICIN OCH HÄLSOVETENSKAP  -- Hälsovetenskap -- Hälso- och sjukvårdsorganisation, hälsopolitik och hälsoekonomi (hsv//swe)
MEDICAL AND HEALTH SCIENCES  -- Health Sciences -- Health Care Service and Management, Health Policy and Services and Health Economy (hsv//eng)

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