Sökning: onr:"swepub:oai:DiVA.org:uu-299838" >
Facets of uncertain...
-
Beven, KeithUppsala universitet,Luft-, vatten- och landskapslära,Univ Lancaster, Lancaster Environm Ctr, Lancaster, England.
(författare)
Facets of uncertainty : epistemic uncertainty, non-stationarity, likelihood, hypothesis testing, and communication
- Artikel/kapitelEngelska2016
Förlag, utgivningsår, omfång ...
-
2016-06-07
-
Informa UK Limited,2016
-
electronicrdacarrier
Nummerbeteckningar
-
LIBRIS-ID:oai:DiVA.org:uu-299838
-
https://urn.kb.se/resolve?urn=urn:nbn:se:uu:diva-299838URI
-
https://doi.org/10.1080/02626667.2015.1031761DOI
Kompletterande språkuppgifter
-
Språk:engelska
-
Sammanfattning på:engelska
Ingår i deldatabas
Klassifikation
-
Ämneskategori:ref swepub-contenttype
-
Ämneskategori:art swepub-publicationtype
Anmärkningar
-
This paper presents a discussion of some of the issues associated with the multiple sources of uncertainty and non-stationarity in the analysis and modelling of hydrological systems. Different forms of aleatory, epistemic, semantic, and ontological uncertainty are defined. The potential for epistemic uncertainties to induce disinformation in calibration data and arbitrary non-stationarities in model error characteristics, and surprises in predicting the future, are discussed in the context of other forms of non-stationarity. It is suggested that a condition tree is used to be explicit about the assumptions that underlie any assessment of uncertainty. This also provides an audit trail for providing evidence to decision makers.
Ämnesord och genrebeteckningar
Biuppslag (personer, institutioner, konferenser, titlar ...)
-
Uppsala universitetLuft-, vatten- och landskapslära
(creator_code:org_t)
Sammanhörande titlar
-
Ingår i:Hydrological Sciences Journal: Informa UK Limited61:9, s. 1652-16650262-66672150-3435
Internetlänk
Hitta via bibliotek
Till lärosätets databas