High-Dimensional Filtering Using Nested Sequential Monte Carlo

• Sequential Monte Carlo (SMC) methods comprise one of the most successful approaches to approximate Bayesian filtering. However, SMC without a good proposal distribution can perform poorly, in particular in high dimensions. We propose nested sequential Monte Carlo, a methodology that generalizes the SMC framework by requiring only approximate, properly weighted, samples from the SMC proposal distribution, while still resulting in a correctSMCalgorithm. This way, we can compute an "exact approximation" of, e. g., the locally optimal proposal, and extend the class of models forwhichwe can perform efficient inference using SMC. We showimproved accuracy over other state-of-the-art methods on several spatio-temporal state-space models.

Ämnesord

TEKNIK OCH TEKNOLOGIER  -- Elektroteknik och elektronik -- Signalbehandling (hsv//swe)

ENGINEERING AND TECHNOLOGY  -- Electrical Engineering, Electronic Engineering, Information Engineering -- Signal Processing (hsv//eng)

NATURVETENSKAP  -- Matematik -- Sannolikhetsteori och statistik (hsv//swe)

NATURAL SCIENCES  -- Mathematics -- Probability Theory and Statistics (hsv//eng)

Nyckelord

Particle filtering

spatio-temporal models

state space models

approximate Bayesian inference

backward simulation

Publikations- och innehållstyp

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