Modeling Human Activity With Seasonality Bursty Dynamics

Wen, QuansiSouth China Univ Technol, Sch Comp Sci & Engn, Guangzhou 510641, Peoples R China (författare)

The public's purchase incentive increases dramatically during the holiday season and subsequently returns to normal levels. This seasonality is common in various scenarios and highlights the following questions: how does the public's purchase incentive fluctuate over the course of a year? Which factors are conducive to this seasonal behavior and how can they be modeled? In this paper, we propose a model that explicitly integrates temporal point process theory with the construction of a networked community, to describe the dynamics of collective action propagation with seasonal fluctuation. Furthermore, a database is constructed of sales records for 21 video game consoles and 13 237 video games in France, Germany, Japan, the U.K., the USA, and worldwide from 1989 to 2018. Experimental results suggest that peak desire always appears in the holiday season about one week before Christmas and is about four times higher than consumption desire in a normal period in all areas.

Zhan, ChoujunSouth China Normal Univ, Sch Comp Sci, Guangzhou 510641, Guangdong, Peoples R China; Sun Yat Sen Univ, Nanfang Coll, Guangzhou 510970, Peoples R China (författare)
Gao, YingSouth China Univ Technol, Sch Comp Sci & Engn, Guangzhou 510641, Peoples R China (författare)
Hu, XipingChinese Acad Sci, Shenzhen Inst Adv Technol, Shenzhen 518055, Peoples R China (författare)
Ngai, EdithUppsala universitet,Datorteknik,Avdelningen för datorteknik(Swepub:uu)eding810 (författare)
Hu, BinLanzhou Univ, Sch Informat Sci & Engn, Lanzhou 730000, Peoples R China (författare)
South China Univ Technol, Sch Comp Sci & Engn, Guangzhou 510641, Peoples R ChinaSouth China Normal Univ, Sch Comp Sci, Guangzhou 510641, Guangdong, Peoples R China; Sun Yat Sen Univ, Nanfang Coll, Guangzhou 510970, Peoples R China (creator_code:org_t)

Ingår i:IEEE Transactions on Industrial Informatics: Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers (IEEE)16:2, s. 1130-11391551-32031941-0050

Av författaren/redakt...: Wen, Quansi; Zhan, Choujun; Gao, Ying; Hu, Xiping; Ngai, Edith; Hu, Bin

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