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Potential for Zika virus transmission by mosquitoes in temperate climates

Blagrove, Marcus S. C. (författare)
Univ Liverpool, Inst Infect & Global Hlth, Dept Epidemiol & Populat Hlth, Liverpool Sci Pk,Innovat Ctr 2, Liverpool L3 5TF, Merseyside, England.;Univ Liverpool, Natl Inst Hlth Res, Hlth Protect Res Unit Emerging & Zoonot Infect, Liverpool, Merseyside, England.
Caminade, Cyril (författare)
Univ Liverpool, Inst Infect & Global Hlth, Dept Epidemiol & Populat Hlth, Liverpool Sci Pk,Innovat Ctr 2, Liverpool L3 5TF, Merseyside, England.;Univ Liverpool, Natl Inst Hlth Res, Hlth Protect Res Unit Emerging & Zoonot Infect, Liverpool, Merseyside, England.
Diggle, Peter J. (författare)
Univ Lancaster, Lancaster Med Sch, Lancaster, England.
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Patterson, Edward, I (författare)
Univ Liverpool Liverpool Sch Trop Med, Dept Vector Biol, Ctr Neglected Trop Dis, Liverpool, Merseyside, England.;Univ Liverpool Liverpool Sch Trop Med, Dept Trop Dis Biol, Ctr Neglected Trop Dis, Liverpool, Merseyside, England.
Sherlock, Ken (författare)
Univ Liverpool, Inst Infect & Global Hlth, Dept Epidemiol & Populat Hlth, Liverpool Sci Pk,Innovat Ctr 2, Liverpool L3 5TF, Merseyside, England.
Chapman, Gail E. (författare)
Univ Liverpool, Inst Infect & Global Hlth, Dept Epidemiol & Populat Hlth, Liverpool Sci Pk,Innovat Ctr 2, Liverpool L3 5TF, Merseyside, England.
Hesson, Jenny C., 1980- (författare)
Uppsala universitet,Institutionen för medicinsk biokemi och mikrobiologi,Univ Liverpool, Inst Infect & Global Hlth, Dept Epidemiol & Populat Hlth, Liverpool Sci Pk,Innovat Ctr 2, Liverpool L3 5TF, Merseyside, England.
Metelmann, Soeren (författare)
Univ Liverpool, Inst Infect & Global Hlth, Dept Epidemiol & Populat Hlth, Liverpool Sci Pk,Innovat Ctr 2, Liverpool L3 5TF, Merseyside, England.;Univ Liverpool, Natl Inst Hlth Res, Hlth Protect Res Unit Emerging & Zoonot Infect, Liverpool, Merseyside, England.
McCall, Philip J. (författare)
Univ Liverpool Liverpool Sch Trop Med, Vector Biol Dept, Liverpool, Merseyside, England.
Lycett, Gareth (författare)
Univ Liverpool Liverpool Sch Trop Med, Vector Biol Dept, Liverpool, Merseyside, England.
Medlock, Jolyon (författare)
Publ Hlth England, HPA, Med Entomol & Zoonoses Ecol, Salisbury, Wilts, England.
Hughes, Grant L. (författare)
Univ Liverpool Liverpool Sch Trop Med, Dept Vector Biol, Ctr Neglected Trop Dis, Liverpool, Merseyside, England.;Univ Liverpool Liverpool Sch Trop Med, Dept Trop Dis Biol, Ctr Neglected Trop Dis, Liverpool, Merseyside, England.
della Torre, Alessandra (författare)
Sapienza Univ Rome, Inst Pasteur Italia, Dept Publ Hlth & Infect Dis, Fdn Cenci Bolognetti, Rome, Italy.
Baylis, Matthew (författare)
Univ Liverpool, Inst Infect & Global Hlth, Dept Epidemiol & Populat Hlth, Liverpool Sci Pk,Innovat Ctr 2, Liverpool L3 5TF, Merseyside, England.;Univ Liverpool, Natl Inst Hlth Res, Hlth Protect Res Unit Emerging & Zoonot Infect, Liverpool, Merseyside, England.
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Univ Liverpool, Inst Infect & Global Hlth, Dept Epidemiol & Populat Hlth, Liverpool Sci Pk,Innovat Ctr 2, Liverpool L3 5TF, Merseyside, England;Univ Liverpool, Natl Inst Hlth Res, Hlth Protect Res Unit Emerging & Zoonot Infect, Liverpool, Merseyside, England. Univ Lancaster, Lancaster Med Sch, Lancaster, England. (creator_code:org_t)
2020-07-08
2020
Engelska.
Ingår i: Proceedings of the Royal Society of London. Biological Sciences. - : The Royal Society. - 0962-8452 .- 1471-2954. ; 287:1930
  • Tidskriftsartikel (refereegranskat)
Abstract Ämnesord
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  • Mosquito-borne Zika virus (ZIKV) transmission has almost exclusively been detected in the tropics despite the distributions of its primary vectors extending farther into temperate regions. Therefore, it is unknown whether ZIKV's range has reached a temperature-dependent limit, or if it can spread into temperate climates. Using field-collected mosquitoes for biological relevance, we found that two common temperate mosquito species,Aedes albopictusandOchlerotatus detritus, were competent for ZIKV. We orally exposed mosquitoes to ZIKV and held them at between 17 and 31 degrees C, estimated the time required for mosquitoes to become infectious, and applied these data to a ZIKV spatial risk model. We identified a minimum temperature threshold for the transmission of ZIKV by mosquitoes between 17 and 19 degrees C. Using these data, we generated standardized basic reproduction numberR(0)-based risk maps and we derived estimates for the length of the transmission season for recent and future climate conditions. Our standardizedR(0)-based risk maps show potential risk of ZIKV transmission beyond the current observed range in southern USA, southern China and southern European countries. Transmission risk is simulated to increase over southern and Eastern Europe, northern USA and temperate regions of Asia (northern China, southern Japan) in future climate scenarios.

Ämnesord

MEDICIN OCH HÄLSOVETENSKAP  -- Klinisk medicin -- Infektionsmedicin (hsv//swe)
MEDICAL AND HEALTH SCIENCES  -- Clinical Medicine -- Infectious Medicine (hsv//eng)
MEDICIN OCH HÄLSOVETENSKAP  -- Medicinska och farmaceutiska grundvetenskaper -- Mikrobiologi inom det medicinska området (hsv//swe)
MEDICAL AND HEALTH SCIENCES  -- Basic Medicine -- Microbiology in the medical area (hsv//eng)

Nyckelord

EIP
climate change
Aedes
R-0
Zika

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