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Fluctuating optimum and temporally variable selection on breeding date in birds and mammals

de Villemereuil, Pierre (författare)
Univ Paul Valery Montpellier 3, Univ Montpellier, Ecole Prat Hautes Etud, Paris Sci & Lettres,Inst Rech Dev,CNRS,Ctr Ecol F, F-34000 Montpellier, France.;Univ Antilles, Sorbonne Univ, Museum Natl Hist Nat,Biodiversite,Inst Systemat, CNRS,Paris Sci & Lettres,Ecole Prat Hautes Etud,E, F-75005 Paris, France.
Charmantier, Anne (författare)
Univ Paul Valery Montpellier 3, Univ Montpellier, Ecole Prat Hautes Etud, Paris Sci & Lettres,Inst Rech Dev,CNRS,Ctr Ecol F, F-34000 Montpellier, France.
Arlt, Debora (författare)
Swedish University of Agricultural Sciences,Sveriges lantbruksuniversitet,Institutionen för ekologi,Department of Ecology,Swedish Univ Agr Sci, Dept Ecol, S-75007 Uppsala, Sweden.
visa fler...
Bize, Pierre (författare)
Univ Aberdeen, Sch Biol Sci, Aberdeen AB24 2TZ, Scotland.
Brekke, Patricia (författare)
Zool Soc London, Inst Zool, London NW1 4RY, England.
Brouwer, Lyanne (författare)
Australian Natl Univ, Res Sch Biol, Div Ecol & Evolut, Canberra, ACT 2600, Australia.;Netherlands Inst Ecol, Dept Anim Ecol, NL-6700 AB Wageningen, Netherlands.;Radboud Univ Nijmegen, Inst Water & Wetland Res, Dept Anim Ecol & Physiol, NL-6500 GL Nijmegen, Netherlands.
Cockburn, Andrew (författare)
Australian Natl Univ, Res Sch Biol, Div Ecol & Evolut, Canberra, ACT 2600, Australia.
Cote, Steeve D. (författare)
Univ Laval, Dept Biol, Quebec City, PQ G1V 0A6, Canada.;Univ Laval, Ctr Etud Nord, Quebec City, PQ G1V 0A6, Canada.
Dobson, F. Stephen (författare)
Auburn Univ, Dept Biol Sci, Auburn, AL 36849 USA.
Evans, Simon R. (författare)
Univ Oxford, Edward Grey Inst, Dept Zool, Oxford OX1 3PS, England.;Univ Exeter, Ctr Ecol & Conservat, Penryn TR10 9FE, England.
Festa-Bianchet, Marco (författare)
Australian Natl Univ, Res Sch Biol, Div Ecol & Evolut, Canberra, ACT 2600, Australia.;Univ Sherbrooke, Dept Biol, Sherbrooke, PQ J1K 2R1, Canada.
Gamelon, Marlene (författare)
Norwegian Univ Sci & Technol, Ctr Biodivers Dynam, Dept Biol, N-7491 Trondheim, Norway.
Hamel, Sandra (författare)
Univ Laval, Dept Biol, Quebec City, PQ G1V 0A6, Canada.
Hegelbach, Johann (författare)
Univ Zurich, Inst Evolutionary Biol & Environm Studies, CH-8057 Zurich, Switzerland.
Jerstad, Kurt (författare)
Jerstad Viltforvaltning, N-4516 Mandal, Norway.
Kempenaers, Bart (författare)
Max Planck Inst Ornithol, Dept Behav Ecol & Evolutionary Genet, D-82319 Seewiesen, Germany.
Kruuk, Loeske E. B. (författare)
Australian Natl Univ, Res Sch Biol, Div Ecol & Evolut, Canberra, ACT 2600, Australia.
Kumpula, Jouko (författare)
Nat Resources Inst Finland, Terr Populat Dynam, FIN-999870 Inari, Finland.
Kvalnes, Thomas (författare)
Norwegian Univ Sci & Technol, Ctr Biodivers Dynam, Dept Biol, N-7491 Trondheim, Norway.
McAdam, Andrew G. (författare)
Univ Colorado, Dept Ecol & Evolutionary Biol, Boulder, CO 80309 USA.
McFarlane, S. Eryn (författare)
Uppsala universitet,Zooekologi,Univ Edinburgh, Sch Biol Sci, Inst Evolutionary Biol, Edinburgh EH9 3FL, Midlothian, Scotland.
Morrissey, Michael B. (författare)
Univ St Andrews, Sch Biol, St Andrews KY16 9TH, Fife, Scotland.
Pärt, Tomas (författare)
Swedish University of Agricultural Sciences,Sveriges lantbruksuniversitet,Institutionen för ekologi,Department of Ecology,Swedish Univ Agr Sci, Dept Ecol, S-75007 Uppsala, Sweden.
Pemberton, Josephine M. (författare)
Univ Edinburgh, Sch Biol Sci, Inst Evolutionary Biol, Edinburgh EH9 3FL, Midlothian, Scotland.
Qvarnström, Anna (författare)
Uppsala universitet,Zooekologi
Röstad, Ole Wiggo (författare)
Norwegian Univ Life Sci, Fac Environm Sci & Nat Resource Management, N-1432 As, Norway.
Schroeder, Julia (författare)
Imperial Coll London, Dept Life Sci, Ascot SL5 7PY, Berks, England.
Senar, Juan Carlos (författare)
Museu Ciencies Nat Barcelona, Behav & Evolutionary Ecol Res Unit, E-08003 Barcelona, Spain.
Sheldon, Ben C. (författare)
Univ Oxford, Edward Grey Inst, Dept Zool, Oxford OX1 3PS, England.
van de Pol, Martijn (författare)
Netherlands Inst Ecol, Dept Anim Ecol, NL-6700 AB Wageningen, Netherlands.
Visser, Marcel E. (författare)
Netherlands Inst Ecol, Dept Anim Ecol, NL-6700 AB Wageningen, Netherlands.
Wheelwright, Nathaniel T. (författare)
Bowdoin Coll, Dept Biol, Brunswick, ME 04011 USA.
Tufto, Jarle (författare)
Norwegian Univ Sci & Technol, Ctr Biodivers Dynam, Dept Math, NO-7491 Trondheim, Norway.
Chevin, Luis-Miguel (författare)
Univ Paul Valery Montpellier 3, Univ Montpellier, Ecole Prat Hautes Etud, Paris Sci & Lettres,Inst Rech Dev,CNRS,Ctr Ecol F, F-34000 Montpellier, France.
visa färre...
Univ Paul Valery Montpellier 3, Univ Montpellier, Ecole Prat Hautes Etud, Paris Sci & Lettres,Inst Rech Dev,CNRS,Ctr Ecol F, F-34000 Montpellier, France;Univ Antilles, Sorbonne Univ, Museum Natl Hist Nat,Biodiversite,Inst Systemat, CNRS,Paris Sci & Lettres,Ecole Prat Hautes Etud,E, F-75005 Paris, France. Univ Paul Valery Montpellier 3, Univ Montpellier, Ecole Prat Hautes Etud, Paris Sci & Lettres,Inst Rech Dev,CNRS,Ctr Ecol F, F-34000 Montpellier, France. (creator_code:org_t)
 
2020-11-30
2020
Engelska.
Ingår i: Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America. - : NATL ACAD SCIENCES. - 0027-8424 .- 1091-6490. ; 117:50, s. 31969-31978
  • Tidskriftsartikel (refereegranskat)
Abstract Ämnesord
Stäng  
  • Temporal variation in natural selection is predicted to strongly impact the evolution and demography of natural populations, with consequences for the rate of adaptation, evolution of plasticity, and extinction risk. Most of the theory underlying these predictions assumes a moving optimum phenotype, with predictions expressed in terms of the temporal variance and auto-correlation of this optimum. However, empirical studies seldom estimate patterns of fluctuations of an optimum phenotype, precluding further progress in connecting theory with observations. To bridge this gap, we assess the evidence for temporal variation in selection on breeding date by modeling a fitness function with a fluctuating optimum, across 39 populations of 21 wild animals, one of the largest compilations of long-term datasets with individual measurements of trait and fitness components. We find compelling evidence for fluctuations in the fitness function, causing temporal variation in the magnitude, but not the direction of selection. However, fluctuations of the optimum phenotype need not directly translate into variation in selection gradients, because their impact can be buffered by partial tracking of the optimum by the mean phenotype. Analyzing individuals that reproduce in consecutive years, we find that plastic changes track movements of the optimum phenotype across years, especially in bird species, reducing temporal variation in directional selection. This suggests that phenological plasticity has evolved to cope with fluctuations in the optimum, despite their currently modest contribution to variation in selection.

Ämnesord

NATURVETENSKAP  -- Biologi -- Evolutionsbiologi (hsv//swe)
NATURAL SCIENCES  -- Biological Sciences -- Evolutionary Biology (hsv//eng)
NATURVETENSKAP  -- Biologi -- Ekologi (hsv//swe)
NATURAL SCIENCES  -- Biological Sciences -- Ecology (hsv//eng)

Nyckelord

adaptation
fluctuating environment
fitness landscape
meta-analysis
phenotypic plasticity

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