Longitudinal survey data for diversifying temporal dynamics in flood risk modelling

Mondino, ElenaUppsala universitet,Luft-, vatten- och landskapslära,Centre of Natural Hazards and Disaster Science (CNDS) (author)

Scholars have unravelled the complexities and underlying uncertainties in coupled human and water systems in various fields and disciplines. These complexities, however, are not always reflected in the way in which the dynamics of human–water systems are modelled. One reason is the lack of social data time series, which may be provided by longitudinal surveys. Here, we show the value of collecting longitudinal survey data to enrich sociohydrological modelling of flood risk. To illustrate, we compare and contrast two different approaches (repeated cross-sectional and panel) for collecting longitudinal data and explore changes in flood risk awareness and preparedness in a municipality hit by a flash flood in 2018. We found that risk awareness has not changed significantly in the timeframe under study (1 year). Perceived preparedness increased only among those respondents who suffered low damage during the flood event. We also found gender differences across both approaches for most of the variables explored. Lastly, we argue that results that are consistent across the two approaches can be used for the parametrisation of sociohydrological models. We posit that there is a need to enhance the representation of socio-demographic heterogeneity in modelling human–water systems in order to better support risk management.

Scolobig, AnnaUniversity of Geneva (author)
Borga, MarcoUniversity of Padova (author)
Di Baldassarre, GiulianoUppsala universitet,Luft-, vatten- och landskapslära,Centre of Natural Hazards and Disaster Science (CNDS)(Swepub:uu)giudi514 (author)
Uppsala universitetLuft-, vatten- och landskapslära (creator_code:org_t)

In:Natural hazards and earth system sciences: Copernicus Publications21:9, s. 2811-28281561-86331684-9981

By the author/editor: Mondino, Elena; Scolobig, Anna; Borga, Marco; Di Baldassarre, ...

About the subject

NATURAL SCIENCES: NATURAL SCIENCES; and Earth and Relate ...; and Environmental Sc ...

NATURAL SCIENCES: NATURAL SCIENCES; and Earth and Relate ...; and Oceanography Hyd ...

Kungliga biblioteket hanterar dina personuppgifter i enlighet med EU:s dataskyddsförordning (2018), GDPR. Läs mer om hur det funkar här.
Så här hanterar KB dina uppgifter vid användning av denna tjänst.