Does high unemployment mobilize the unemployed? Evidence using Swedish register data

Österman, Marcus,PhD,1982-Uppsala universitet,Statsvetenskapliga institutionen,Uppsala Center for Labor Studies (UCLS) (author)

This article contributes to recent scholarship on the effects of economic hardship on political participation, and particularly on the issue of how individual and contextual effects interact. More specifically, we study whether the effect of individual unemployment on turnout depends on the level of aggregate unemployment. In contrast to most existing researchers on this topic, we argue that contextual unemployment may reinforce the negative effects of individual unemployment. We also contend that previous studies have not adequately considered how the composition of the unemployed population differs across times of high and low unemployment. Our empirical approach uses state-of-the-art Swedish register panel data, which gives us good opportunities to control for the selection of the unemployed population over the business cycle. We find that once this problem of dynamic selection is taken into account, the negative effect of individual unemployment on electoral turnout is actually stronger in high unemployment contexts.

Lindgren, Karl-Oskar,1976-Uppsala universitet,Statsvetenskapliga institutionen,Institutet för arbetsmarknadspolitisk utvärdering (IFAU),Uppsala Center for Labor Studies (UCLS)(Swepub:uu)kaoslind (author)
Uppsala universitetStatsvetenskapliga institutionen (creator_code:org_t)

In:Socio-Economic Review: Oxford University Press21:1, s. 341-3651475-14611475-147X

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