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Wind Power Forecasting Error Distributions : An International Comparison

Hodge, Bri-Mathias (author)
National Renewable Energy Laboratory, USA
Lew, Debra (author)
National Renewable Energy Laboratory, USA
Milligan, Michael (author)
National Renewable Energy Laboratory, USA
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Holttinen, Hannele (author)
VTT, Finland
Sillanpää, Samuli (author)
VTT, Finland
Gómez-Lázaro, Emilio (author)
University of Castilla-La Mancha
Scharff, Richard (author)
KTH,Elektriska energisystem
Söder, Lennart (author)
KTH,Elektriska energisystem
Larsén, Xiaoli Guo (author)
Technical University of Denmark
Giebel, Gregor (author)
Technical University of Denmark
Flynn, Damian (author)
University College Dublin, Ireland
Dobschinski, Jan (author)
Fraunhofer Institute for Wind Energy and Energy System Technology, Germany
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 (creator_code:org_t)
2012
2012
English.
  • Conference paper (peer-reviewed)
Abstract Subject headings
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  • Wind power forecasting is essential for greater penetration of wind power into electricity systems. Because no wind forecasting system is perfect, a thorough understanding of the errors that may occur is a critical factor for system operation functions, such as the setting of operating reserve levels. This paper provides an international comparison of the distribution of wind power forecasting errors from operational systems, based on real forecast data. The paper concludes with an assessment of similarities and differences between the errors observed in different locations.

Subject headings

TEKNIK OCH TEKNOLOGIER  -- Naturresursteknik -- Energisystem (hsv//swe)
ENGINEERING AND TECHNOLOGY  -- Environmental Engineering -- Energy Systems (hsv//eng)

Keyword

wind power forecasting
power system operation
power system reliability
power systems
wind power generation

Publication and Content Type

ref (subject category)
kon (subject category)

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