WFRF:(Yang Qinghua)
Search: WFRF:(Yang Qinghua) > Real-Time Forecast ...
- 8 of 20
- Previous record
- Next record
- To hitlist
- Lei, QinghuaUppsala universitet,Luft-, vatten- och landskapslära,Swiss Fed Inst Technol, Dept Earth Sci, Zurich, Switzerland (author)
Real-Time Forecast of Catastrophic Landslides via Dragon-King Detection
- Article/chapterEnglish2023
Publisher, publication year, extent ...
- American Geophysical Union (AGU),2023
- electronicrdacarrier
Numbers
- LIBRIS-ID:oai:DiVA.org:uu-499910
- https://urn.kb.se/resolve?urn=urn:nbn:se:uu:diva-499910URI
- https://doi.org/10.1029/2022GL100832DOI
Supplementary language notes
- Language:English
- Summary in:English
Part of subdatabase
- SwePubSwePub
Classification
Notes
- Catastrophic landslides characterized by runaway slope failures remain difficult to predict. Here, we develop a physics-based framework to prospectively assess slope failure potential. Our method builds upon the physics of extreme events in natural systems: the extremes so-called "dragon-kings" (e.g., slope tertiary creeps prior to failure) exhibit statistically different properties than other smaller-sized events (e.g., slope secondary creeps). We develop statistical tools to detect the emergence of dragon-kings during landslide evolution, with the secondary-to-tertiary creep transition quantitatively captured. We construct a phase diagram characterizing the detectability of dragon-kings against "black-swans" and informing on whether the slope evolves toward a catastrophic or slow landslide. We test our method on synthetic and real data sets, demonstrating how it might have been used to forecast three representative historical landslides. Our method can in principle considerably reduce the number of false alarms and identify with high confidence the presence of true hazards of catastrophic landslides.
Subject headings and genre
- NATURVETENSKAP Geovetenskap och miljövetenskap Multidisciplinär geovetenskap hsv//swe
- NATURAL SCIENCES Earth and Related Environmental Sciences Geosciences, Multidisciplinary hsv//eng
- NATURVETENSKAP Geovetenskap och miljövetenskap Geofysik hsv//swe
- NATURAL SCIENCES Earth and Related Environmental Sciences Geophysics hsv//eng
- landslides
- catastrophic failure
- prediction
- dragon-king
- phase diagram
- risk
Added entries (persons, corporate bodies, meetings, titles ...)
- Sornette, DidierSouthern Univ Sci & Technol, Inst Risk Anal Predict & Management, Acad Adv Interdisciplinary Studies, Shenzhen, Peoples R China. (author)
- Yang, HaonanSwiss Fed Inst Technol, Dept Earth Sci, Zurich, Switzerland. (author)
- Loew, SimonSwiss Fed Inst Technol, Dept Earth Sci, Zurich, Switzerland. (author)
- Uppsala universitetLuft-, vatten- och landskapslära (creator_code:org_t)
Related titles
- In:Geophysical Research Letters: American Geophysical Union (AGU)50:60094-82761944-8007
Internet link
Find in a library
- Geophysical Research Letters (Search for host publication in LIBRIS)
To the university's database
- 8 of 20
- Previous record
- Next record
- To hitlist
Find more in SwePub
- By the author/editor
- Lei, Qinghua
- Sornette, Didier
- Yang, Haonan
- Loew, Simon
- About the subject
-
- NATURAL SCIENCES
- NATURAL SCIENCES
- and Earth and Relate ...
- and Geosciences Mult ...
-
- NATURAL SCIENCES
- NATURAL SCIENCES
- and Earth and Relate ...
- and Geophysics
- Articles in the publication
- Geophysical Rese ...
- By the university
- Uppsala University
Search outside SwePub
- Extend your search to:
- Google Book Search
- Google Scholar
Kungliga biblioteket hanterar dina personuppgifter i enlighet med EU:s dataskyddsförordning (2018), GDPR. Läs mer om hur det funkar här.
Så här hanterar KB dina uppgifter vid användning av denna tjänst.
- Copyright © LIBRIS - National Library Systems
- LIBRIS.kb.se
