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Predicting the futu...
Predicting the future of our oceans : Evaluating genomic forecasting approaches in marine species
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- Layton, K. K. S. (author)
- Univ Toronto Mississauga, Dept Biol, Mississauga, ON, Canada.;Univ Aberdeen, Sch Biol Sci, Aberdeen, Scotland.
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- Brieuc, M. S. O. (author)
- Inst Marine Res, Bergen, Norway.
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- Castilho, R. (author)
- Univ Algarve, Faro, Portugal.;Univ Algarve, Ctr Marine Sci, Faro, Portugal.;Pattern Inst, Faro, Portugal.
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- Diaz-Arce, N. (author)
- Basque Res & Technol Alliance BRTA, AZTI Marine Res, Sukarrieta, Spain.
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- Estévez-Barcia, D. (author)
- Greenland Inst Nat Resources, Dept Fish & Shellfish, Nuuk, Greenland.
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- Fonseca, V. G. (author)
- Ctr Environm Fisheries & Aquaculture Sci, Weymouth, England.
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- Fuentes-Pardo, Angela P. (author)
- Uppsala universitet,Science for Life Laboratory, SciLifeLab,Institutionen för immunologi, genetik och patologi
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- Jeffery, N. W. (author)
- Fisheries & Oceans Canada, Bedford Inst Oceanog, Dartmouth, NS, Canada.
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- Jiménez-Mena, B. (author)
- Tech Univ Denmark, Natl Inst Aquat Resources, Sect Marine Living Resources, Silkeborg, Denmark.
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- Junge, C. (author)
- Inst Marine Res, Tromso, Norway.
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- Kaufmann, J. (author)
- Marine Inst, Newport, Ireland.
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- Leinonen, T. (author)
- Nat Resources Inst Finland, Helsinki, Finland.
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- Maes, S. M. (author)
- Flanders Res Inst Agr Fisheries & Food, Oostende, Belgium.
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- Mcginnity, P. (author)
- Univ Coll Cork, Sch Biol Earth & Environm Sci, Cork, Ireland.
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- Reed, T. E. (author)
- Univ Coll Cork, Sch Biol Earth & Environm Sci, Cork, Ireland.
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- Reisser, C. M. O. (author)
- Univ Montpellier, MARBEC, CNRS, IFREMER,IRD, Montpellier, France.
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- Silva, G. (author)
- ISPA Inst Univ, ARNET Aquat Res Network, MARE Marine & Environm Sci Ctr, Lisbon, Portugal.
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- Vasemägi, A. (author)
- Swedish Univ Agr Sci, Drottningholm, Sweden.;Estonian Univ Life Sci, Tartu, Estonia.
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- Bradbury, I. R. (author)
- Fisheries & Oceans Canada, Northwest Atlantic Fisheries Ctr, St John, NF, Canada.
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Univ Toronto Mississauga, Dept Biol, Mississauga, ON, Canada;Univ Aberdeen, Sch Biol Sci, Aberdeen, Scotland. Inst Marine Res, Bergen, Norway. (creator_code:org_t)
- John Wiley & Sons, 2024
- 2024
- English.
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In: Global Change Biology. - : John Wiley & Sons. - 1354-1013 .- 1365-2486. ; 30:3
- Related links:
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https://doi.org/10.1...
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https://urn.kb.se/re...
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Abstract
Subject headings
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- Climate change is restructuring biodiversity on multiple scales and there is a pressing need to understand the downstream ecological and genomic consequences of this change. Recent advancements in the field of eco-evolutionary genomics have sought to include evolutionary processes in forecasting species' responses to climate change (e.g., genomic offset), but to date, much of this work has focused on terrestrial species. Coastal and offshore species, and the fisheries they support, may be even more vulnerable to climate change than their terrestrial counterparts, warranting a critical appraisal of these approaches in marine systems. First, we synthesize knowledge about the genomic basis of adaptation in marine species, and then we discuss the few examples where genomic forecasting has been applied in marine systems. Next, we identify the key challenges in validating genomic offset estimates in marine species, and we advocate for the inclusion of historical sampling data and hindcasting in the validation phase. Lastly, we describe a workflow to guide marine managers in incorporating these predictions into the decision-making process. Predicting climate change impacts is of central importance in marine ecosystems that provide a major source of nutrition to global communities and this work must be based on a sound understanding of both ecological and genomic impacts. This opinion synthesizes knowledge about the genomic basis of adaptation in marine species, highlights the few examples where genomic forecasting has been applied in marine systems, identifies the key challenges in validating genomic offset estimates in marine species, and provides a workflow to guide marine managers in incorporating these predictions into the decision-making process.
Subject headings
- NATURVETENSKAP -- Biologi -- Ekologi (hsv//swe)
- NATURAL SCIENCES -- Biological Sciences -- Ecology (hsv//eng)
Keyword
- adaptation
- climate change
- genomic offset
- marine species
- validation
Publication and Content Type
- ref (subject category)
- for (subject category)
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- By the author/editor
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Layton, K. K. S.
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Brieuc, M. S. O.
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Castilho, R.
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Diaz-Arce, N.
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Estévez-Barcia, ...
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Fonseca, V. G.
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show more...
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Fuentes-Pardo, A ...
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Jeffery, N. W.
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Jiménez-Mena, B.
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Junge, C.
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Kaufmann, J.
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Leinonen, T.
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Maes, S. M.
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Mcginnity, P.
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Reed, T. E.
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Reisser, C. M. O ...
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Silva, G.
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Vasemägi, A.
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Bradbury, I. R.
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- About the subject
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- NATURAL SCIENCES
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NATURAL SCIENCES
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and Biological Scien ...
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and Ecology
- Articles in the publication
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Global Change Bi ...
- By the university
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Uppsala University