The Stability of the Winner-Loser Gap in Political Support: Evidence from a Swedish citizen panel.

• Several studies have demonstrated a gap in support for the political system between electoral winners and losers. This research has generated a large stock of knowledge about the causes and effects of this winner-loser gap. However, we know little about the dynamics of the winner-loser gap over time. Drawing on a unique Swedish panel survey this study investigates the stability of the winner-loser gap among Swedish voters over an electoral cycle of four years. The empirical analyses demonstrate a substantial consistency of the gap over time also when controlling for other determinants. The winner-loser gap thus seems to be a stable phenomenon rather than a short-lived election effect. The results are robust to different specifications and statistical techniques.

Ämnesord

SAMHÄLLSVETENSKAP  -- Statsvetenskap -- Statsvetenskap (hsv//swe)

SOCIAL SCIENCES  -- Political Science -- Political Science (hsv//eng)

Nyckelord

Winner-loser gap

Satisfaction with democracy

Political support

Panel data

Elections

Sweden

Publikations- och innehållstyp

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