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  • Reusch, T. B. H.GEOMAR Helmholtz Centre for Ocean Research Kiel, Marine Ecology, Germany,Department of Environmental Science, Aarhus University, Roskilde, Denmark,GEOMAR Helmholtz Ctr Ocean Res Kiel, Germany,Aarhus Univ, Denmark (author)

The Baltic Sea as a time machine for the future coastal ocean

  • Article/chapterEnglish2018

Publisher, publication year, extent ...

  • American Association for the Advancement of Science (AAAS),2018

Numbers

  • LIBRIS-ID:oai:gup.ub.gu.se/268659
  • https://gup.ub.gu.se/publication/268659URI
  • https://doi.org/10.1126/sciadv.aar8195DOI
  • https://res.slu.se/id/publ/95594URI
  • https://urn.kb.se/resolve?urn=urn:nbn:se:su:diva-157812URI
  • https://urn.kb.se/resolve?urn=urn:nbn:se:ltu:diva-68711URI
  • https://urn.kb.se/resolve?urn=urn:nbn:se:liu:diva-148256URI

Supplementary language notes

  • Language:English

Part of subdatabase

Classification

  • Subject category:ref swepub-contenttype
  • Subject category:art swepub-publicationtype

Notes

  • Validerad;2018;Nivå 2;2018-05-14(andbra);Full text license: CC BY-NC 4.0
  • Funding Agencies|BONUS; EU; Innovation Fund Denmark (Denmark); Estonian Research Council (Estonia); Academy of Finland (Finland); German Federal Ministry of Education and Research (BMBF, Germany); National Centre for Research and Development (Poland); Swedish Research Council (FORMAS, Sweden); Swedish Environmental Protection Agency (Sweden); German Cluster of Excellence "The Future Ocean"
  • Coastal global oceans are expected to undergo drastic changes driven by climate change and increasing anthropogenic pressures in coming decades. Predicting specific future conditions and assessing the best management strategies to maintain ecosystem integrity and sustainable resource use are difficult, because of multiple interacting pressures, uncertain projections, and a lack of test cases for management. We argue that the Baltic Sea can serve as a time machine to study consequences and mitigation of future coastal perturbations, due to its unique combination of an early history of multistressor disturbance and ecosystem deterioration and early implementation of cross-border environmental management to address these problems. The Baltic Sea also stands out in providing a strong scientific foundation and accessibility to long-term data series that provide a unique opportunity to assess the efficacy of management actions to address the breakdown of ecosystem functions. Trend reversals such as the return of top predators, recovering fish stocks, and reduced input of nutrient and harmful substances could be achieved only by implementing an international, cooperative governance structure transcending its complex multistate policy setting, with integrated management of watershed and sea. The Baltic Sea also demonstrates how rapidly progressing global pressures, particularly warming of Baltic waters and the surrounding catchment area, can offset the efficacy of current management approaches. This situation calls for management that is (i) conservative to provide a buffer against regionally unmanageable global perturbations, (ii) adaptive to react to new management challenges, and, ultimately, (iii) multisectorial and integrative to address conflicts associated with economic trade-offs.

Subject headings and genre

Added entries (persons, corporate bodies, meetings, titles ...)

  • Dierking, J.GEOMAR Helmholtz Centre for Ocean Research Kiel, Marine Ecology, Germany,GEOMAR Helmholtz Ctr Ocean Res Kiel, Germany (author)
  • Andersson, H. C.Swedish Meteorological and Hydrological Institute, Norrköping, Sweden,Swedish Meteorol and Hydrol Inst, Sweden (author)
  • Bonsdorff, E.Abo Akademi University, Turku, Finland,Abo Akad Univ, Finland (author)
  • Carstensen, J.Department of Bioscience, Aarhus University, Roskilde, Denmark,Aarhus Univ, Denmark (author)
  • Casini, MicheleSwedish University of Agricultural Sciences,Sveriges lantbruksuniversitet,Institutionen för akvatiska resurser,Department of Aquatic Resources,Department of Aquatic Resources, Institute of Marine Research, Swedish University of Agricultural Sciences, Lysekil, Sweden,Swedish Univ Agr Sci, Sweden(Swepub:slu)50882 (author)
  • Czajkowski, M.Department of Aquatic Resources, Institute of Marine Research, Swedish University of Agricultural Sciences, Lysekil, Sweden,Univ Warsaw, Poland (author)
  • Hasler, B. (author)
  • Hinsby, K.Geological Survey of Denmark and Greenland, Copenhagen, Denmark,Geol Survey Denmark and Greenland, Denmark (author)
  • Hyytiainen, K.University of Helsinki, Helsinki, Finland,Univ Helsinki, Finland (author)
  • Johannesson, Kerstin,1955Gothenburg University,Göteborgs universitet,Institutionen för marina vetenskaper,Department of marine sciences,University of Gothenburg, Tjärnö Marine Station, Strömstad, Sweden,Univ Gothenburg, Sweden(Swepub:gu)xjoker (author)
  • Jomaa, S.Department of Aquatic Ecosystem Analysis and Management, Helmholtz Centre for Environmental Research-UFZ Magdeburg, Germany,UFZ Helmholtz Ctr Environm Res, Germany (author)
  • Jormalainen, V.University of Turku, Turku, Finland,Univ Turku, Finland (author)
  • Kuosa, H.Finnish Environment Institute (SYKE), Helsinki, Finland,Finnish Environm Inst SYKE, Finland (author)
  • Kurland, SaraStockholms universitet,Zoologiska institutionen,Department of Zoology, Stockholm University, Stockholm, Sweden,Stockholm Univ, Sweden(Swepub:su)skurl (author)
  • Laikre, LindaStockholms universitet,Zoologiska institutionen,Department of Zoology, Stockholm University, Stockholm, Sweden,Stockholm Univ, Sweden(Swepub:su)laikre (author)
  • MacKenzie, B. R.National Institute of Aquatic Resources, Technical University of Denmark, Kongens Lyngby, Denmark,Tech Univ Denmark, Denmark (author)
  • Margonski, P.National Marine Fisheries Research Institute, Gdynia, Poland,Natl Marine Fisheries Res Inst, Poland (author)
  • Melzner, F.GEOMAR Helmholtz Centre for Ocean Research Kiel, Marine Ecology, Germany,GEOMAR Helmholtz Ctr Ocean Res Kiel, Germany (author)
  • Oesterwind, D.Thuenen Institute–Institute of Baltic Sea Fisheries, Rostock, Germany,Inst Balt Sea Fisheries, Germany (author)
  • Ojaveer, H.Estonian Marine Institute, University of Tartu, Tartu, Estonia,Univ Tartu, Estonia (author)
  • Refsgaard, J. C.Geological Survey of Denmark and Greenland, Copenhagen, Denmark,Geol Survey Denmark and Greenland, Denmark (author)
  • Sandström, AnnicaLuleå tekniska universitet,Samhällsvetenskap,Lulea Univ Technol, Sweden(Swepub:ltu)annicas (author)
  • Schwarz, G.Thuenen Institute of Farm Economics, Braunschweig, Germany,Thuenen Inst Farm Econ, Germany (author)
  • Tonderski, KarinLinköpings universitet,Biologi,Tekniska fakulteten(Swepub:liu)karsu52 (author)
  • Winder, MonikaStockholms universitet,Institutionen för ekologi, miljö och botanik,Department of Ecology, Environment, and Plant Sciences, Stockholm University, Stockholm, Sweden,Stockholm Univ, Sweden(Swepub:su)mwind (author)
  • Zandersen, M.Department of Environmental Science, Aarhus University, Roskilde, Denmark,Aarhus Univ, Denmark (author)
  • GEOMAR Helmholtz Centre for Ocean Research Kiel, Marine Ecology, GermanyDepartment of Environmental Science, Aarhus University, Roskilde, Denmark (creator_code:org_t)
  • Sveriges lantbruksuniversitet

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  • In:Science Advances: American Association for the Advancement of Science (AAAS)4:52375-2548

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