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Two-Step Approach f...
Two-Step Approach for the Prediction of Future Type 2 Diabetes Risk
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Abdul-Ghani, Muhammad A. (author)
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Abdul-Ghani, Tamam (author)
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Stern, Michael P. (author)
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Karavic, Jasmina (author)
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- Tuomi, Tiinamaija (author)
- Lund University,Lunds universitet,Genomik, diabetes och endokrinologi,Forskargrupper vid Lunds universitet,Genomics, Diabetes and Endocrinology,Lund University Research Groups
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Bo, Insoma (author)
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DeFronzo, Ralph A. (author)
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- Groop, Leif (author)
- Lund University,Lunds universitet,Genomik, diabetes och endokrinologi,Forskargrupper vid Lunds universitet,Genomics, Diabetes and Endocrinology,Lund University Research Groups
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(creator_code:org_t)
- 2011-08-19
- 2011
- English.
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In: Diabetes Care. - : American Diabetes Association. - 1935-5548 .- 0149-5992. ; 34:9, s. 2108-2112
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http://dx.doi.org/10...
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https://europepmc.or...
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https://lup.lub.lu.s...
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Abstract
Subject headings
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- OBJECTIVE-To develop a model for the prediction of type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) risk on the basis of a multivariate logistic model and 1-h plasma glucose concentration (1-h PG). RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS-The model was developed in a cohort of 1,562 non-diabetic subjects from the San Antonio Heart Study (SAHS) and validated in 2,395 nondiabetic subjects in the Botnia Study. A risk score on the basis of anthropometric parameters, plasma glucose and lipid profile, and blood pressure was computed for each subject. Subjects with a risk score above a certain cut point were considered to represent high-risk individuals, and their 1-h PG concentration during the oral glucose tolerance test was used to further refine their future T2DM risk. RESULTS-We used the San Antonio Diabetes Prediction Model (SADPM) to generate the initial risk score. A risk-score value of 0.065 was found to be an optimal cut point for initial screening and selection of high-risk individuals. A 1-h PG concentration >140 mg/dL in high-risk individuals (whose risk score was >0.065) was the optimal cut point for identification of subjects at increased risk. The two cut points had 77.8, 77.4, and 44.8% (for the SAHS) and 75.8, 71.6, and 11.9% (for the Botnia Study) sensitivity, specificity, and positive predictive value, respectively, in the SAHS and Botnia Study. CONCLUSIONS-A two-step model, based on the combination of the SADPM and 1-h PG, is a useful tool for the identification of high-risk Mexican-American and Caucasian individuals. Diabetes Care 34:2108-2112, 2011
Subject headings
- MEDICIN OCH HÄLSOVETENSKAP -- Klinisk medicin -- Endokrinologi och diabetes (hsv//swe)
- MEDICAL AND HEALTH SCIENCES -- Clinical Medicine -- Endocrinology and Diabetes (hsv//eng)
Publication and Content Type
- art (subject category)
- ref (subject category)
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