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Sudden Cardiac Death Prediction in Arrhythmogenic Right Ventricular Cardiomyopathy : A Multinational Collaboration

Cadrin-Tourigny, Julia (author)
Department of Medicine, Division of Cardiology, Johns Hopkins Hospital, USA; Cardiovascular Genetics Center, Montreal Heart Institute, Université de Montréal, Canada,Johns Hopkins Hospital
Bosman, Laurens P. (author)
University Medical Center Utrecht,Interuniversity Cardiology Institute of the Netherlands,Netherlands Heart Institute, Netherlands
Wang, Weijia (author)
Department of Medicine, Division of Cardiology, Johns Hopkins Hospital, USA,Netherlands Heart Institute Department of Cardiology University Medical Center Utrecht, Utrecht University, the Netherlands; Institute of Cardiovascular Science & Institute of Health Informatics, Faculty of Population Health Sciences, University College London, United Kingdom
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Tadros, Rafik (author)
Cardiovascular Genetics Center, Montreal Heart Institute, Université de Montréal, Canada
Bhonsale, Aditya (author)
Department of Medicine, Division of Cardiology, Johns Hopkins Hospital, USA
Bourfiss, Mimount (author)
University Medical Center Utrecht,Department of Cardiology, Utrecht University, the Netherlands
Lie, Oyvind H. (author)
Norwegian Radium Hospital,Department of Cardiology and Research group for Cardiogenetics and Sudden Cardiac Death, Oslo University Hospital, Rikshospitalet, Norway
Saguner, Ardan M. (author)
University Hospital of Zurich,Department of Cardiology, University Heart Center Zurich, Switzerland
Svensson, Anneli, 1972- (author)
Linköpings universitet,Linköping University,Avdelningen för diagnostik och specialistmedicin,Medicinska fakulteten,Region Östergötland, Kardiologiska kliniken US,Department of Medicine, Division of Cardiology, Johns Hopkins Hospital, USA
Andorin, Antoine (author)
Cardiovascular Genetics Center, Montreal Heart Institute, Université de Montréal, Canada,Amsterdam UMC, University of Amsterdam, Heart Center, the Netherlands,Department of Medicine, Division of Cardiology, Johns Hopkins Hospital, USA
Tichnell, Crystal (author)
Department of Medicine, Division of Cardiology, Johns Hopkins Hospital, USA
Murray, Brittney (author)
Department of Medicine, Division of Cardiology, Johns Hopkins Hospital, USA
Zeppenfeld, Katja (author)
Department of Cardiology, Leiden University Medical Center, Netherlands
Van Den Berg, Maarten P. (author)
Department of Cardiology, University Medical Center Groningen, University of Groningen, the Netherlands
Asselbergs, Folkert W. (author)
University Medical Center Utrecht,Interuniversity Cardiology Institute of the Netherlands,University College London
Wilde, Arthur A.M. (author)
Academic Medical Center of University of Amsterdam (AMC)
Krahn, Andrew D. (author)
Division of Cardiology, University of British Columbia, Vancouver, Canada
Talajic, Mario (author)
Cardiovascular Genetics Center, Montreal Heart Institute, Université de Montréal, Canada
Rivard, Lena (author)
Cardiovascular Genetics Center, Montreal Heart Institute, Université de Montréal, Canada
Chelko, Stephen (author)
Department of Medicine, Division of Cardiology Johns Hopkins Hospital, Baltimore, USA; Department of Biomedical Sciences, Florida State University College of Medicine, USA,Florida State University
Zimmerman, Stefan L. (author)
The Russell H. Morgan Department of Radiology and Radiological Science , Johns Hopkins Hospital, USA
Kamel, Ihab R. (author)
The Russell H. Morgan Department of Radiology and Radiological Science, Johns Hopkins Hospital, USA
Crosson, Jane E. (author)
Department of Medicine, Division of Cardiology, Johns Hopkins Hospital, USA
Judge, Daniel P. (author)
Department of Medicine, Division of Cardiology, Johns Hopkins Hospital, USA
Yap, Sing Chien (author)
Erasmus University Medical Center,Department of Cardiology, Erasmus Medical Center, Rotterdam
Van Der Heijden, Jeroen F. (author)
Department of Cardiology, University Medical Center Utrecht, Utrecht University, the Netherlands
Tandri, Harikrishna (author)
Department of Medicine, Division of Cardiology, Johns Hopkins Hospital, Baltimore, USA
Jongbloed, Jan D.H. (author)
Department of Genetics, University Medical Center Groningen, University of Groningen, the Netherlands
Van Tintelen, J. Peter (author)
Netherlands Heart Institute, University Medical Center Utrecht, Utrecht University, the Netherlands; Department of Clinical Genetics, Amsterdam UMC, University of Amsterdam, the Netherlands,Interuniversity Cardiology Institute of the Netherlands,Academic Medical Center of University of Amsterdam (AMC)
Platonov, Pyotr G. (author)
Lund University,Lunds universitet,Kardiologi,Sektion II,Institutionen för kliniska vetenskaper, Lund,Medicinska fakulteten,Electrocardiology Research Group - CIEL,Forskargrupper vid Lunds universitet,Cardiology,Section II,Department of Clinical Sciences, Lund,Faculty of Medicine,Lund University Research Groups,Department of Medicine, Division of Cardiology, Johns Hopkins Hospital, Baltimore, USA
Duru, Firat (author)
Department of Medicine, Division of Cardiology, Johns Hopkins Hospital, USA
Haugaa, Kristina H. (author)
Department of Medicine, Division of Cardiology, Johns Hopkins Hospital, Baltimore, USA,Norwegian Radium Hospital
Khairy, Paul (author)
Montreal Heart Institute,Department of Medicine, Division of Cardiology, Johns Hopkins Hospital, Baltimore, USA
Hauer, Richard N.W. (author)
Johns Hopkins Hospital,Interuniversity Cardiology Institute of the Netherlands
Calkins, Hugh (author)
Department of Medicine, Division of Cardiology, Johns Hopkins Hospital, USA
Te Riele, Anneline S.J.M. (author)
University Medical Center Utrecht,Interuniversity Cardiology Institute of the Netherlands,Johns Hopkins Hospital
James, Cynthia A. (author)
Johns Hopkins Hospital
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 (creator_code:org_t)
Lippincott Williams & Wilkins, 2021
2021
English 11 s.
In: Circulation: Arrhythmia and Electrophysiology. - : Lippincott Williams & Wilkins. - 1941-3149 .- 1941-3084. ; 14:1
  • Journal article (peer-reviewed)
Abstract Subject headings
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  • Background: Arrhythmogenic right ventricular cardiomyopathy (ARVC) is associated with ventricular arrhythmias (VA) and sudden cardiac death (SCD). A model was recently developed to predict incident sustained VA in patients with ARVC. However, since this outcome may overestimate the risk for SCD, we aimed to specifically predict life-threatening VA (LTVA) as a closer surrogate for SCD. Methods: We assembled a retrospective cohort of definite ARVC cases from 15 centers in North America and Europe. Association of 8 prespecified clinical predictors with LTVA (SCD, aborted SCD, sustained, or implantable cardioverter-defibrillator treated ventricular tachycardia >250 beats per minute) in follow-up was assessed by Cox regression with backward selection. Candidate variables included age, sex, prior sustained VA (≥30s, hemodynamically unstable, or implantable cardioverter-defibrillator treated ventricular tachycardia; or aborted SCD), syncope, 24-hour premature ventricular complexes count, the number of anterior and inferior leads with T-wave inversion, left and right ventricular ejection fraction. The resulting model was internally validated using bootstrapping. Results: A total of 864 patients with definite ARVC (40±16 years; 53% male) were included. Over 5.75 years (interquartile range, 2.77-10.58) of follow-up, 93 (10.8%) patients experienced LTVA including 15 with SCD/aborted SCD (1.7%). Of the 8 prespecified clinical predictors, only 4 (younger age, male sex, premature ventricular complex count, and number of leads with T-wave inversion) were associated with LTVA. Notably, prior sustained VA did not predict subsequent LTVA (P=0.850). A model including only these 4 predictors had an optimism-corrected C-index of 0.74 (95% CI, 0.69-0.80) and calibration slope of 0.95 (95% CI, 0.94-0.98) indicating minimal over-optimism. Conclusions: LTVA events in patients with ARVC can be predicted by a novel simple prediction model using only 4 clinical predictors. Prior sustained VA and the extent of functional heart disease are not associated with subsequent LTVA events.

Subject headings

MEDICIN OCH HÄLSOVETENSKAP  -- Klinisk medicin -- Kardiologi (hsv//swe)
MEDICAL AND HEALTH SCIENCES  -- Clinical Medicine -- Cardiac and Cardiovascular Systems (hsv//eng)

Keyword

arrhythmogenic right ventricular dysplasia
calibration
sudden cardiac death
syncope
ventricular tachycardia
arrhythmogenic right ventricular dysplasia; calibration; sudden cardiac death; syncope; ventricular tachycardia

Publication and Content Type

art (subject category)
ref (subject category)

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