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Implications of fut...
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Karan, KunalCentral University of Jharkhand
(författare)
Implications of future climate change on crop and irrigation water requirements in a semi-arid river basin using CMIP6 GCMs
- Artikel/kapitelEngelska2022
Förlag, utgivningsår, omfång ...
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2022-10-07
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Springer Science and Business Media LLC,2022
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24 s.
Nummerbeteckningar
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LIBRIS-ID:oai:lup.lub.lu.se:3c7f5eb9-0b5a-4da0-bc09-01e36e9af5a8
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https://lup.lub.lu.se/record/3c7f5eb9-0b5a-4da0-bc09-01e36e9af5a8URI
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https://doi.org/10.1007/s40333-022-0081-1DOI
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Språk:engelska
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Sammanfattning på:engelska
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Ämneskategori:art swepub-publicationtype
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Ämneskategori:ref swepub-contenttype
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Agriculture faces risks due to increasing stress from climate change, particularly in semi-arid regions. Lack of understanding of crop water requirement (CWR) and irrigation water requirement (IWR) in a changing climate may result in crop failure and socioeconomic problems that can become detrimental to agriculture-based economies in emerging nations worldwide. Previous research in CWR and IWR has largely focused on large river basins and scenarios from the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 3 (CMIP3) and Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5 (CMIP5) to account for the impacts of climate change on crops. Smaller basins, however, are more susceptible to regional climate change, with more significant impacts on crops. This study estimates CWRs and IWRs for five crops (sugarcane, wheat, cotton, sorghum, and soybean) in the Pravara River Basin (area of 6537 km2) of India using outputs from the most recent Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 (CMIP6) General Circulation Models (GCMs) under Shared Socio-economic Pathway (SSP)245 and SSP585 scenarios. An increase in mean annual rainfall is projected under both scenarios in the 2050s and 2080s using ten selected CMIP6 GCMs. CWRs for all crops may decline in almost all of the CMIP6 GCMs in the 2050s and 2080s (with the exceptions of ACCESS-CM-2 and ACCESS-ESM-1.5) under SSP245 and SSP585 scenarios. The availability of increasing soil moisture in the root zone due to increasing rainfall and a decrease in the projected maximum temperature may be responsible for this decline in CWR. Similarly, except for soybean and cotton, the projected IWRs for all other three crops under SSP245 and SSP585 scenarios show a decrease or a small increase in the 2050s and 2080s in most CMIP6 GCMs. These findings are important for agricultural researchers and water resource managers to implement long-term crop planning techniques and to reduce the negative impacts of climate change and associated rainfall variability to avert crop failure and agricultural losses.
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Biuppslag (personer, institutioner, konferenser, titlar ...)
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Singh, DharmaveerSymbiosis Institute of Geoinformatics
(författare)
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Singh, Pushpendra K.National Institute of Hydrology, India
(författare)
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Bharati, BirendraCentral University of Jharkhand
(författare)
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Singh, Tarun P.Symbiosis Institute of Geoinformatics
(författare)
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Berndtsson, RonnyLund University,Lunds universitet,Avdelningen för Teknisk vattenresurslära,Institutionen för bygg- och miljöteknologi,Institutioner vid LTH,Lunds Tekniska Högskola,Centrum för Mellanösternstudier (CMES),Samhällsvetenskapliga institutioner och centrumbildningar,Samhällsvetenskapliga fakulteten,Division of Water Resources Engineering,Department of Building and Environmental Technology,Departments at LTH,Faculty of Engineering, LTH,Centre for Advanced Middle Eastern Studies (CMES),Departments of Administrative, Economic and Social Sciences,Faculty of Social Sciences(Swepub:lu)tvrl-rbe
(författare)
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Central University of JharkhandSymbiosis Institute of Geoinformatics
(creator_code:org_t)
Sammanhörande titlar
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Ingår i:Journal of Arid Land: Springer Science and Business Media LLC14:11, s. 1234-12571674-67672194-7783
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