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Cross-sectoral impa...
Cross-sectoral impacts of the 2018–2019 Central European drought and climate resilience in the German part of the Elbe River basin
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- Conradt, Tobias (author)
- Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research
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- Engelhardt, Henry (author)
- Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research
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- Menz, Christoph (author)
- Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research
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- Vicente‑Serrano, Sergio M. (author)
- CSIC Instituto Pirenaico de Ecología (IPE)
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- Farizo, Begoña Alvarez (author)
- CSIC Instituto Pirenaico de Ecología (IPE)
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- Peña‑Angulo, Dhais (author)
- CSIC Instituto Pirenaico de Ecología (IPE)
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- Domínguez‑Castro, Fernando (author)
- Aragonese Agency for Research and Development Researcher (ARAID),University of Zaragoza
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- Eklundh, Lars (author)
- Lund University,Lunds universitet,BECC: Biodiversity and Ecosystem services in a Changing Climate,Centrum för miljö- och klimatvetenskap (CEC),Naturvetenskapliga fakulteten,MERGE: ModElling the Regional and Global Earth system,Institutionen för naturgeografi och ekosystemvetenskap,LU profilområde: Naturbaserade framtidslösningar,Lunds universitets profilområden,Centre for Environmental and Climate Science (CEC),Faculty of Science,Dept of Physical Geography and Ecosystem Science,LU Profile Area: Nature-based future solutions,Lund University Profile areas
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- Jin, Hongxiao (author)
- Lund University,Lunds universitet,BECC: Biodiversity and Ecosystem services in a Changing Climate,Centrum för miljö- och klimatvetenskap (CEC),Naturvetenskapliga fakulteten,Institutionen för naturgeografi och ekosystemvetenskap,Centre for Environmental and Climate Science (CEC),Faculty of Science,Dept of Physical Geography and Ecosystem Science
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- Boincean, Boris (author)
- Research Institute of Field Crops "Selectia"
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- Murphy, Conor (author)
- Maynooth University
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- López‑Moreno, J. Ignacio (author)
- CSIC Instituto Pirenaico de Ecología (IPE)
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(creator_code:org_t)
- 2023-02-01
- 2023
- English 18 s.
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In: Regional Environmental Change. - : Springer Science and Business Media LLC. - 1436-378X .- 1436-3798. ; 23, s. 1-18
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http://dx.doi.org/10... (free)
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Abstract
Subject headings
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- The 2018–2019 Central European drought was probably the most extreme in Germany since the early sixteenth century. We assess the multiple consequences of the drought for natural systems, the economy and human health in the German part of the Elbe River basin, an area of 97,175 km2 including the cities of Berlin and Hamburg and contributing about 18% to the German GDP. We employ meteorological, hydrological and socio-economic data to build a comprehensive picture of the drought severity, its multiple effects and cross-sectoral consequences in the basin. Time series of different drought indices illustrate the severity of the 2018–2019 drought and how it progressed from meteorological water deficits via soil water depletion towards low groundwater levels and river runoff, and losses in vegetation productivity. The event resulted in severe production losses in agriculture (minus 20–40% for staple crops) and forestry (especially through forced logging of damaged wood: 25.1 million tons in 2018–2020 compared to only 3.4 million tons in 2015–2017), while other economic sectors remained largely unaffected. However, there is no guarantee that this socio-economic stability will be sustained in future drought events; this is discussed in the light of 2022, another dry year holding the potential for a compound crisis. Given the increased probability for more intense and long-lasting droughts in most parts of Europe, this example of actual cross-sectoral drought impacts will be relevant for drought awareness and preparation planning in other regions.
Subject headings
- NATURVETENSKAP -- Geovetenskap och miljövetenskap -- Klimatforskning (hsv//swe)
- NATURAL SCIENCES -- Earth and Related Environmental Sciences -- Climate Research (hsv//eng)
- NATURVETENSKAP -- Geovetenskap och miljövetenskap -- Miljövetenskap (hsv//swe)
- NATURAL SCIENCES -- Earth and Related Environmental Sciences -- Environmental Sciences (hsv//eng)
- NATURVETENSKAP -- Geovetenskap och miljövetenskap -- Naturgeografi (hsv//swe)
- NATURAL SCIENCES -- Earth and Related Environmental Sciences -- Physical Geography (hsv//eng)
Keyword
- Central European drought
- Elbe River basin
- Eastern Germany
- Drought indices
- Drought impacts
- Cross-sectoral
Publication and Content Type
- art (subject category)
- ref (subject category)
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- By the author/editor
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Conradt, Tobias
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Engelhardt, Henr ...
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Menz, Christoph
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Vicente‑Serrano, ...
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Farizo, Begoña A ...
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Peña‑Angulo, Dha ...
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Domínguez‑Castro ...
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Eklundh, Lars
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Jin, Hongxiao
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Boincean, Boris
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Murphy, Conor
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López‑Moreno, J. ...
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- About the subject
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- NATURAL SCIENCES
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NATURAL SCIENCES
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and Earth and Relate ...
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and Climate Research
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- NATURAL SCIENCES
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NATURAL SCIENCES
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and Earth and Relate ...
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and Environmental Sc ...
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- NATURAL SCIENCES
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NATURAL SCIENCES
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and Earth and Relate ...
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and Physical Geograp ...
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Regional Environ ...
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Lund University