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Exploring Global Cl...
Exploring Global Climate Policy Futures and Their Representation in Integrated Assessment Models
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- Hickmann, Thomas (author)
- Lund University,Lunds universitet,BECC: Biodiversity and Ecosystem services in a Changing Climate,Centrum för miljö- och klimatvetenskap (CEC),Naturvetenskapliga fakulteten,Statsvetenskapliga institutionen,Samhällsvetenskapliga institutioner och centrumbildningar,Samhällsvetenskapliga fakulteten,Centre for Environmental and Climate Science (CEC),Faculty of Science,Department of Political Science,Departments of Administrative, Economic and Social Sciences,Faculty of Social Sciences
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- Bertram, Christoph (author)
- Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research
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- Biermann, Frank (author)
- Lund University,Lunds universitet,LUCSUS,Samhällsvetenskapliga institutioner och centrumbildningar,Samhällsvetenskapliga fakulteten,LUCSUS (Lund University Centre for Sustainability Studies),Departments of Administrative, Economic and Social Sciences,Faculty of Social Sciences
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- Brutschin, Elina (author)
- International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis
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- Kriegler, Elmar (author)
- Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research
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- Livingston, Jasmine E. (author)
- Lund University,Lunds universitet,BECC: Biodiversity and Ecosystem services in a Changing Climate,Centrum för miljö- och klimatvetenskap (CEC),Naturvetenskapliga fakulteten,Centre for Environmental and Climate Science (CEC),Faculty of Science
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- Pianta, Silvia (author)
- European University Institute
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- Riahi, Keywan (author)
- International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis
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- Van Ruijven, Bas (author)
- International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis
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- Van Vuuren, Detlef (author)
- Utrecht University
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(creator_code:org_t)
- 2022-09-21
- 2022
- English.
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In: Politics and Governance. - : Cogitatio. - 2183-2463. ; 10:3, s. 171-185
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https://www.cogitati... (free)
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http://dx.doi.org/10... (free)
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https://lup.lub.lu.s...
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https://doi.org/10.1...
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Abstract
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- The Paris Agreement, adopted in 2015, paved the way for a new hybrid global climate governance architecture with both bottom-up and top-down elements. While governments can choose individual climate goals and actions, a global stocktake and a ratcheting-up mechanism have been put in place with the overall aim to ensure that collective efforts will prevent increasing adverse impacts of climate change. Integrated assessment models show that current combined climate commitments and policies of national governments fall short of keeping global warming to 1.5 °C or 2 °C above preindustrial levels. Although major greenhouse gas emitters, such as China, the European Union, India, the United States under the Biden administration, and several other countries, have made new pledges to take more ambitious climate action, it is highly uncertain where global climate policy is heading. Scenarios in line with long-term temperature targets typically assume a simplistic and hardly realistic level of harmonization of climate policies across countries. Against this backdrop, this article develops four archetypes for the further evolution of the global climate governance architecture and matches them with existing sets of scenarios developed by integrated assessment models. By these means, the article identifies knowledge gaps in the current scenario literature and discusses possible research avenues to explore the pre-conditions for successful coordination of national policies towards achieving the long-term target stipulated in the Paris Agreement.
Subject headings
- SAMHÄLLSVETENSKAP -- Statsvetenskap (hsv//swe)
- SOCIAL SCIENCES -- Political Science (hsv//eng)
- SAMHÄLLSVETENSKAP -- Annan samhällsvetenskap -- Tvärvetenskapliga studier inom samhällsvetenskap (hsv//swe)
- SOCIAL SCIENCES -- Other Social Sciences -- Social Sciences Interdisciplinary (hsv//eng)
Publication and Content Type
- art (subject category)
- ref (subject category)
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- By the author/editor
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Hickmann, Thomas
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Bertram, Christo ...
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Biermann, Frank
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Brutschin, Elina
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Kriegler, Elmar
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Livingston, Jasm ...
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show more...
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Pianta, Silvia
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Riahi, Keywan
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Van Ruijven, Bas
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Van Vuuren, Detl ...
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show less...
- About the subject
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- SOCIAL SCIENCES
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SOCIAL SCIENCES
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and Political Scienc ...
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- SOCIAL SCIENCES
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SOCIAL SCIENCES
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and Other Social Sci ...
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and Social Sciences ...
- Articles in the publication
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Politics and Gov ...
- By the university
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Lund University