Clinical risk factors, DNA variants, and the development of type 2 diabetes.

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Lyssenko, ValeriyaLund University,Lunds universitet,Genomik, diabetes och endokrinologi,Forskargrupper vid Lunds universitet,Genomics, Diabetes and Endocrinology,Lund University Research Groups (author)

Clinical risk factors, DNA variants, and the development of type 2 diabetes.

Article/chapterEnglish2008

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2008

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LIBRIS-ID:oai:lup.lub.lu.se:7f9ef5c7-7803-4adc-a3bb-7fe395834ee0
https://lup.lub.lu.se/record/1271300URI
https://doi.org/10.1056/NEJMoa0801869DOI

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Language:English
Summary in:English

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BACKGROUND: Type 2 diabetes mellitus is thought to develop from an interaction between environmental and genetic factors. We examined whether clinical or genetic factors or both could predict progression to diabetes in two prospective cohorts. METHODS: We genotyped 16 single-nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) and examined clinical factors in 16,061 Swedish and 2770 Finnish subjects. Type 2 diabetes developed in 2201 (11.7%) of these subjects during a median follow-up period of 23.5 years. We also studied the effect of genetic variants on changes in insulin secretion and action over time. RESULTS: Strong predictors of diabetes were a family history of the disease, an increased body-mass index, elevated liver-enzyme levels, current smoking status, and reduced measures of insulin secretion and action. Variants in 11 genes (TCF7L2, PPARG, FTO, KCNJ11, NOTCH2, WFS1, CDKAL1, IGF2BP2, SLC30A8, JAZF1, and HHEX) were significantly associated with the risk of type 2 diabetes independently of clinical risk factors; variants in 8 of these genes were associated with impaired beta-cell function. The addition of specific genetic information to clinical factors slightly improved the prediction of future diabetes, with a slight increase in the area under the receiver-operating-characteristic curve from 0.74 to 0.75; however, the magnitude of the increase was significant (P=1.0x10(-4)). The discriminative power of genetic risk factors improved with an increasing duration of follow-up, whereas that of clinical risk factors decreased. CONCLUSIONS: As compared with clinical risk factors alone, common genetic variants associated with the risk of diabetes had a small effect on the ability to predict the future development of type 2 diabetes. The value of genetic factors increased with an increasing duration of follow-up.

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Jonsson, AnnaLund University,Lunds universitet,Genomik, diabetes och endokrinologi,Forskargrupper vid Lunds universitet,Genomics, Diabetes and Endocrinology,Lund University Research Groups(Swepub:lu)med-jsa (author)
Almgren, PeterLund University,Lunds universitet,Genomik, diabetes och endokrinologi,Forskargrupper vid Lunds universitet,Genomics, Diabetes and Endocrinology,Lund University Research Groups(Swepub:lu)endo-pal (author)
Pulizzi, NicoloLund University,Lunds universitet,Genomik, diabetes och endokrinologi,Forskargrupper vid Lunds universitet,Genomics, Diabetes and Endocrinology,Lund University Research Groups(Swepub:lu)med-npz (author)
Isomaa, Bo (author)
Tuomi, TiinamaijaLund University,Lunds universitet,Genomik, diabetes och endokrinologi,Forskargrupper vid Lunds universitet,Genomics, Diabetes and Endocrinology,Lund University Research Groups(Swepub:lu)ti8736tu (author)
Berglund, GöranLund University,Lunds universitet,Internmedicin - epidemiologi,Forskargrupper vid Lunds universitet,Internal Medicine - Epidemiology,Lund University Research Groups(Swepub:lu)medf-gbe (author)
Altshuler, David (author)
Nilsson, PeterLund University,Lunds universitet,Internmedicin - epidemiologi,Forskargrupper vid Lunds universitet,Internal Medicine - Epidemiology,Lund University Research Groups(Swepub:lu)medf-pni (author)
Groop, LeifLund University,Lunds universitet,Genomik, diabetes och endokrinologi,Forskargrupper vid Lunds universitet,Genomics, Diabetes and Endocrinology,Lund University Research Groups(Swepub:lu)endo-lgr (author)
Genomik, diabetes och endokrinologiForskargrupper vid Lunds universitet (creator_code:org_t)

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In:New England Journal of Medicine359:21, s. 2220-22320028-4793

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