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An assessment of cl...
An assessment of climate extremes in Mbale Municipality in Eastern Uganda
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- George, Oriangi (author)
- Uppsala University,Lund University,Lunds universitet,Institutionen för naturgeografi och ekosystemvetenskap,Naturvetenskapliga fakulteten,Dept of Physical Geography and Ecosystem Science,Faculty of Science,Gulu University,Makerere University
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- Di Baldassarre, Giuliano (author)
- Uppsala University
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- Elena, Ridolfi (author)
- Uppsala University
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- Alex, Nimusiima (author)
- Makerere University
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- Bamutaze, Yazidhi (author)
- Makerere University
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- Jonas, Ardö (author)
- Lund University,Lunds universitet,BECC: Biodiversity and Ecosystem services in a Changing Climate,Centrum för miljö- och klimatvetenskap (CEC),Naturvetenskapliga fakulteten,Institutionen för naturgeografi och ekosystemvetenskap,Centre for Environmental and Climate Science (CEC),Faculty of Science,Dept of Physical Geography and Ecosystem Science
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- Pilesjö, Petter (author)
- Lund University,Lunds universitet,BECC: Biodiversity and Ecosystem services in a Changing Climate,Centrum för miljö- och klimatvetenskap (CEC),Naturvetenskapliga fakulteten,Centrum för geografiska informationssystem (GIS-centrum),Institutionen för naturgeografi och ekosystemvetenskap,Centrum för Mellanösternstudier (CMES),Samhällsvetenskapliga institutioner och centrumbildningar,Samhällsvetenskapliga fakulteten,Centre for Environmental and Climate Science (CEC),Faculty of Science,Centre for Geographical Information Systems (GIS Centre),Dept of Physical Geography and Ecosystem Science,Centre for Advanced Middle Eastern Studies (CMES),Departments of Administrative, Economic and Social Sciences,Faculty of Social Sciences
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(creator_code:org_t)
- 2023
- 2023
- English 21 s.
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In: Hydro-Meteorological Hazards, Risks, and Disasters. - 9780128191019 ; , s. 301-321
- Related links:
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http://dx.doi.org/10...
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https://lup.lub.lu.s...
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https://doi.org/10.1...
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Abstract
Subject headings
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- This study investigated historic and future characteristics of precipitation periods in Mbale Municipality. Observed historic (1982–2014) and modeled future (2021–50) precipitation data were analyzed using Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI). Modeled data depict a likelihood of more frequent extremely wet and dry periods in near future as compared to historic period. In particular, there is a likelihood of more frequent extremely wet periods in 2020s and 2030s and more frequent extremely dry periods during 2030s and 2040s as opposed to findings from regional z-indices. Both historic and future precipitation extremes are pronounced between August and January. These findings imply that livelihoods in Mbale are likely to be threatened by precipitation extremes. Thus, researchers, practitioners, and policy makers need to assess influential factors that can enhance resilience. In conclusion, localized rather than regional indices are more able to distill local conditions, at the same time provide more accurate predictions of future extremes.
Subject headings
- NATURVETENSKAP -- Geovetenskap och miljövetenskap -- Klimatforskning (hsv//swe)
- NATURAL SCIENCES -- Earth and Related Environmental Sciences -- Climate Research (hsv//eng)
Keyword
- Climate
- Extreme precipitation
- Index
- Mbale
- SPI
- Uganda
Publication and Content Type
- kap (subject category)
- ref (subject category)
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