Search: id:"swepub:oai:lup.lub.lu.se:a4e81a9d-3751-451f-85f0-abcd540c300c" >
Development and val...
-
Johnsen, M. B.Norwegian University of Science and Technology,Oslo university hospital,University of Oslo
(author)
Development and validation of a prediction model for incident hand osteoarthritis in the HUNT study
- Article/chapterEnglish2020
Publisher, publication year, extent ...
Numbers
-
LIBRIS-ID:oai:lup.lub.lu.se:a4e81a9d-3751-451f-85f0-abcd540c300c
-
https://lup.lub.lu.se/record/a4e81a9d-3751-451f-85f0-abcd540c300cURI
-
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.joca.2020.04.005DOI
Supplementary language notes
-
Language:English
-
Summary in:English
Part of subdatabase
Classification
-
Subject category:art swepub-publicationtype
-
Subject category:ref swepub-contenttype
Notes
-
Objective: To develop and externally validate prediction models for incident hand osteoarthritis (OA) in a large population-based cohort of middle aged and older men and women. Design: We included 17,153 men and 18,682 women from a population-based cohort, aged 35–70 years at baseline (1995–1997). Incident hand OA were obtained from diagnostic codes in the Norwegian National Patient Register (1995–2018). We studied whether a range of self-reported and clinically measured predictors could predict hand OA, using the Area Under the receiver-operating Curve (AUC) from logistic regression. External validation of an existing prediction model for male hand OA was tested on discrimination in a sample of men. Bootstrapping was used to avoid overfitting. Results: The model for men showed modest discriminatory ability (AUC = 0.67, 95% CI 0.62–0.71). Adding a genetic risk score did not improve prediction. Similar discrimination was observed in the model for women (AUC = 0.62, 95% CI 0.59–0.64). Prediction was not improved by adding a genetic risk score or hormonal and reproductive factors. Applying external validation, similar results were observed among men in HUNT (The Nord-Trøndelag Health Study) as in the developmental sample (AUC = 0.62, 95% CI 0.57–0.65). Conclusion: We developed prediction models for incident hand OA in men and women. For women, the model included body mass index (BMI), heavy physical work, high physical activity and perceived poor health. The model showed moderate discrimination. For men, we have shown that a prediction model including BMI, education and information on sleep can predict incident hand OA in several populations with moderate discriminative ability.
Subject headings and genre
Added entries (persons, corporate bodies, meetings, titles ...)
-
Magnusson, K.Lund University,Lunds universitet,Ortopedi, Lund,Sektion III,Institutionen för kliniska vetenskaper, Lund,Medicinska fakulteten,Orthopaedics (Lund),Section III,Department of Clinical Sciences, Lund,Faculty of Medicine,National Advisory Unit on Rehabilitation in Rheumatology,Diakonhjemmet Hospital(Swepub:lu)ka5014ma
(author)
-
Børte, S.University of Oslo,Norwegian University of Science and Technology,Oslo university hospital
(author)
-
Gabrielsen, M. E.Norwegian University of Science and Technology
(author)
-
Winsvold, B. S.Oslo university hospital,Norwegian University of Science and Technology
(author)
-
Skogholt, A. H.Norwegian University of Science and Technology
(author)
-
Thomas, L.Norwegian University of Science and Technology
(author)
-
Storheim, K.Oslo university hospital
(author)
-
Hveem, K.Norwegian University of Science and Technology
(author)
-
Zwart, J. A.University of Oslo,Oslo university hospital,Norwegian University of Science and Technology
(author)
-
Norwegian University of Science and TechnologyOslo university hospital
(creator_code:org_t)
Related titles
-
In:Osteoarthritis and Cartilage: Elsevier BV28:7, s. 932-9401063-4584
Internet link
Find in a library
To the university's database
- By the author/editor
-
Johnsen, M. B.
-
Magnusson, K.
-
Børte, S.
-
Gabrielsen, M. E ...
-
Winsvold, B. S.
-
Skogholt, A. H.
-
show more...
-
Thomas, L.
-
Storheim, K.
-
Hveem, K.
-
Zwart, J. A.
-
show less...
- About the subject
-
- MEDICAL AND HEALTH SCIENCES
-
MEDICAL AND HEAL ...
-
and Health Sciences
-
and Public Health Gl ...
-
- MEDICAL AND HEALTH SCIENCES
-
MEDICAL AND HEAL ...
-
and Clinical Medicin ...
-
and Orthopaedics
- Articles in the publication
-
Osteoarthritis a ...
- By the university
-
Lund University